@inflectioneconi
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High conviction ideas, research and musings from the PMs of Logos LP. Disclaimer: Not financial advice. May buy and sell securities without disclosures.
Toronto ON Canada
Joined April 2014
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Without further ado: The Logos LP X is now The Inflection Economy.
Same high-conviction framework. New focus on structural breaks.
Our first deep dive drops this weekend: “The Structural Case for Post-Acute & Managed Care”.
Subscribe below:
theinflectioneconomy.substac…
The Inflection Economy retweeted
I increasingly love this take from @ericvishria
We are seeing such an explosion of capabilities and innovation that I think it’s quite likely it all works
$GNRC inflecting…🙏
$GNRC SIGNS UP TO $8B $AMZN DATA CENTER POWER DEAL
Generac has entered into a long-term agreement to supply backup power generators for Amazon data centers, with aggregate payments under the deal potentially reaching $8 billion.
Initial generator deliveries are expected to total about $2.4 billion across 2027 and 2028.
As part of the agreement, Amazon received warrants to purchase up to 1.69 million Generac shares at $200.93 each. About 308,000 shares vested immediately, while the rest will vest in stages as Amazon’s payments to Generac increase toward the $8B threshold.
The warrants can be exercised through September 2033.
The deal gives Generac a major long-term customer as hyperscalers continue expanding data center capacity and the power infrastructure needed to support it.
Step in the right direction for Canada.
BREAKING NEWS: CANADA EXPANDS TAX BREAK TO BROAD RANGE OF INVESTMENTS INCLUDING PIPELINES — BLOOMBERG.COM
And…..we’re going to rotate out of AI and back to software for the 4th time this year aren’t we…
Shares of AI-linked companies fell as much as 13% after the heads of leading groups including Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX called for a slowdown in AI development. ft.trib.al/jFVWSLv
The Inflection Economy retweeted
*ANTHROPIC HAS CHOSEN NASDAQ FOR IPO LISTING: BUSINESS INSIDER
No "pacing" the multi-trillion dollar IPO
This market is dizzying lol $ORCL
$ORCL call strengthened the thesis. Compute: 97.9% GPU utilization; renewals priced 20% higher. Conversion: 850MW and 300K+ GPUs delivered. Growth: OCI acceleration expected. Funding: new RPO largely prepaid/BYOH. Attach: multicloud database +353%
$ORCL: "Of all the GPUs that came up for renewal in Q1, that capacity was renewed or resold at a 20% premium to prior contracts. The majority of those GPUs are four years or older."
@Silicon_Data was validated in yesterdays Oracle call.
1) what?
OPENAI CONSIDERS SLOWING CUTTING-EDGE AI DEVELOPMENT
Sam Altman told employees OpenAI could potentially slow the pace of advanced AI development, possibly in coordination with other major AI labs.
OpenAI has already slowed parts of model development and paused certain internal AI training over safety concerns.
Chief scientist Jakub Pachocki has also called for voluntary slowdowns until shared safety standards are established.
Source: Bloomberg
Initial read on $ORCL positive. OCI +121% as 850MW came online, while AI training and inference demand still exceeds supply. Booked $30B+ of new AI-cloud contracts and delivered 300K+ GPUs. Excited for the call.
The AI-compute thesis isn’t hidden. But think $ORCL is mispriced after the 50% drawdown.
Think the R/R is compelling here even before earnings.
$AVAV up nice on heavy volume pushing into its 50-day. Chart improving 👀
Initial read on $AVAV print: solid, not full confirmation. Rev/EPS beat and funded backlog $1.5B. AxS +21% validates demand. But SCDE -21% and lower YoY EBITDA show profitability still needs proving. Even after the brutal defence selloff since Q1 bottoming still unclear...
Know where we are. What’s wild is that this is probably just the amuse bouche of the pre election promises….
Initial read on $AVAV print: solid, not full confirmation. Rev/EPS beat and funded backlog $1.5B. AxS +21% validates demand. But SCDE -21% and lower YoY EBITDA show profitability still needs proving. Even after the brutal defence selloff since Q1 bottoming still unclear...
Full long thesis on $AVAV and whether it makes sense to put on a position here. One of the better IRRs in defence technology but hard to find clean entries in a tape that's been pretty hostile to the whole defence theme of late.