Mexico City bureau chief for The New York Times. I lead coverage of Mexico, Central America and the Caribbean. Before: The NYT correspondent in Brazil.
Mexico City
Joined December 2008
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You can reach me securely on Signal here.
Tell me what we should be reporting about Latin America, especially if the public doesn't know about it. I protect sources.
signal.me/#eu/nwND7FADR_4XB3…
Jack Nicas retweeted
Breaking news: Cuauhtémoc Cárdenas, whose attempts to win Mexico’s presidency helped break the ruling party’s grip on power, has died at 92.
nyti.ms/4BxKyB6
Flávio Bolsonaro declared himself Brazil’s true president-elect, and then quickly deleted it.
About an hour ago, his team issued a statement from him declaring himself the “president-elect” because he claimed the election was stolen.
Less than an hour later, after that caused a controversy, they reissued the statement and changed that term to “leader.”
Screenshots below.
Deu no New York Times: @AndreJanonesMG.
nyti.ms/4BDa1tc
Jack Nicas retweeted
U.S. ramps up military campaign against drug traffickers as leaders meet in Caribbean to plan next steps w/@anniecorreal
nytimes.com/2026/10/27/us/po…
Jack Nicas retweeted
UPDATE: The State Department plans to issue visas to Flávio Bolsonaro and his family to allow them entry into the United States, a senior State Department official said.
NEW from @nytimes: Flávio Bolsonaro has left Brazil for the US, one day after Brazilian authorities asked him to hand over his passports, US officials say. He lost the election to Lula and is being investigated over ties to a lawyer accused of laundering more than $1 billion.
Jack Nicas retweeted
Lula made a stunning comeback in Brazil's elections. How did he do it?
Our @nytimes story about the digital army that lifted him to victory. With @aellick and @jacknicas.
nyti.ms/3W89ZJq
Jack Nicas retweeted
Remarkable that Lula relied on Janones so much again in 2026. This was my story about how he helped Lula win in 2022. reuters.com/world/americas/h…
Join us on the NYT live blog analyzing the Brazilian election results: nytimes.com/live/2026/10/25/…
Leaders from across Latin America are congratulating Lula, including right-wing presidents in Chile, Peru and Paraguay.
But there is notable silence so far from the biggest country in the hemisphere. The Trump administration has yet to weigh in, as Flávio Bolsonaro calls to throw out the results.
An incredible showing by Lula tonight. He proved every pollster and doubter wrong.
And this is an important point: The margin of victory is so big that the controversy over the polling hours becomes far less relevant. He would’ve won if they closed an hour early.
Jack Nicas retweeted
Elections, turns out you still have to let people vote
🇧🇷Brazil runoff on @Kalshi, in one chart.
Bolsonaro traded at 80%+ for two days. In the space of about an hour this afternoon, Lula went from 20% to 70% and Bolsonaro collapsed to 31%, on the heaviest volume of the market's life.
The bottom panel tells the story: low volumes all weekend, then everything at once as results came in.
Track live on @TheTerminal
All forecast models and predictions markets say the same thing:
Lula was just re-elected as Brazil's president.
Lula's victory would represent a stunning comeback for the leftist president, after so many counted him out, and cement his status as the most storied Latin American statesmen of the century.
This is indeed terrible optics for the left, and the right is attacking this detail hard.
However, the Brazilian left argues this judge only acted because the chief of the electoral court — who was appointed by Bolsonaro — did not, despite many voters’ problems getting to the polls.
Lula has said those problems stem from right-wing officials systematically taking public buses out of circulation on Election Day.
Meantime, tallying so far shows a very close race.
Follow the New York Times live reporting on the election results here: nytimes.com/live/2026/10/25/…