MZhou (@jomuzhi) header
MZhou (@jomuzhi) profile picture

Assistant Professor @HKUST(GZ); family+gender+digital life; all views my own

Oxford, UK
Joined September 2013
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After Metrics: AI and the End of Bureaucratic Academia: Any metric-based appraisal system is a reward function—and AI excels at optimizing reward functions. Once AI floods academia with papers, citations, grant proposals, and job applications, those metrics will be meaningless.
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This is Goodhart’s law: when a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure.
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AI can test, imitate, and mass-produce high-scoring outputs far faster than humans. Once generated papers, strategic citations, and tailored applications flood the system, metrics become inflated and lose information about genuine quality.
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Can AI truly inspire "love"? In a new paper, we rely on Symbolic interactionism and Goffman’s framework of interaction as performance theories to argue for the anthropomorphism paradox in human-AI intimacy. tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.…
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🚨 Announcing OpenCensus, a new project with @EzraKarger We are transcribing the historical US censuses and releasing them as open data 2.6 million people so far in 1940, browse here: opencensus.us
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Mobarak Hossain and Jason Jabbari examine adolescents’ resistance to misinformation across 49 countries, showing a positive, significant association between reading achievement and misinformation resistance.
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When 41% of partnered Hong Kong women wanting fewer than 2 children in 2022, if they could start all over again, a jump from 26.0% (1997), what is going on? Our new research led by @MengniChen_fanc digs into the drivers. lnkd.in/gzsqa8rH
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Claude Code and Codex for Research @emily_beam and @girayaslim from University of Vermont share slides from last week's webinar "Agentic Tools for Research" Links in the replies below:
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We use 219k TikTok and Douyin comments across China, Japan, and South Korea and LLMs to uncover how short-video platforms reflect and construct values, evaluations, imaginations, and experiences around childbirth/rearing. Read the full open-access ojs.aaai.org/index.php/ICWSM…
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Published an op ed in @nytimes: remote work hurts mental health. Let me explain why 🧵⤵️
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Another lower bound on likely fraud in biomed literature -- using suspicious copy/pasting in Excel files -- comes in at 3%. It feels very uncomfortable but I think we all have to update our priors to fraud being quite common
How much misconduct/fraud is there in the academic literature? About 0.2% of papers get retracted, but that's obviously a severe underestimate. Probably the best estimate comes from a manual (!!!) inspection of 20K (!!!) Western blot images. Estimate is 3.8% (1/2)
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MZhou retweeted
Replying to @SeanLangenfeld
You might have a look at this article which explains "why propensity scores should not be used for matching" j.mp/psnot It really is not ambiguous.
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What a great post by @natolambert on the implications of agentic AI for human work. Particularly loved this quote: "Every engineer needs to learn how to design systems. Every researcher needs to learn how to run a lab. Agents push the humans up the org chart." interconnects.ai/p/get-good-…
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I'm teaching a career development class for PhD students and postdocs in psychology with @TessaWestNYU We are going to have each student develop their own customized career plan over the course of the semester, network with people in their field, and develop skills to help them along the way. I'd love to hear of additional articles we should assign to help students identify and pursue their career goals. Here is our syllabus if you want to check it out. docs.google.com/document/d/1… Please share any thoughts or suggestions in the comments!
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Everyone is starting to sound like AI, even in spoken language Analysis of 280,000 transcripts of videos of talks & presentations from academic channels finds they increasingly used words that are favorites of ChatGPT Model collapse, except for humans arxiv.org/pdf/2409.01754v1
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This paper from Google DeepMind, Meta, Amazon, and Yale University quietly explains why most “AI agents” feel smart in demos and dumb in real work. The core idea is simple but uncomfortable: today’s LLMs don’t reason, they react. They generate fluent answers token by token, but they don’t explicitly plan, reflect, or decide when to stop and rethink. This paper argues that real progress comes from turning LLMs into agentic reasoners systems that can set goals, break them into subgoals, choose actions, evaluate outcomes, and revise their strategy mid-flight. The authors formalize agentic reasoning as a loop, not a prompt: observe → plan → act → reflect → update state → repeat. Instead of one long chain-of-thought, the model maintains an internal task state. It decides what to think about next, not just how to finish the sentence. This is why classic tricks like longer CoT plateau. You get more words, not better decisions. One of the most important insights: reasoning quality collapses when control and reasoning are mixed. When the same prompt tries to plan, execute, critique, and finalize, errors compound silently. Agentic setups separate these roles. Planning is explicit. Execution is scoped. Reflection is delayed and structured. The paper shows that even strong frontier models improve dramatically when given: • explicit intermediate goals • checkpoints for self-evaluation • the ability to abandon bad paths • memory of past attempts No new weights. No bigger models. Just better control over when and why the model reasons. The takeaway is brutal for the industry: scaling tokens and parameters won’t give us reliable agents. Architecture will. Agentic reasoning isn’t a feature it’s the missing operating system for LLMs. Most “autonomous agents” today are just fast typists with tools. This paper explains what it actually takes to build thinkers.
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You've heard of the studies where they give the same dataset/research question to a bunch of researchers and they tend to get different answers, right? Why is that? This new working paper shows that it has a lot to do with data cleaning. This is consistent with Gelman's "garden of forking paths" analogy. Small researcher coding decisions greatly influence results, often without being explicitly acknowledged.
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Don't miss an opportunity to spend two weeks studying in Oxford this summer as part of the @BerkeleyISchool and OII Summer Doctoral Programme! More information and application link here: oii.ox.ac.uk/study/summer-do…
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When Hukou becomes less important, what's next? New work with one of my students from Shanghai! It is fun to see how daily observations inspire the student and the research! demographic-research.org/art…
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