Asymmetric Jump (@jumparo1) header
Asymmetric Jump (@jumparo1) profile picture

Crypto researcher, 14+ yrs | Lead researcher @leftcurvedao | Privacy in the age of AI | Free deep dives on Substack 👇

Joined February 2021
Photo by Asymmetric Jump (@jumparo1)Photo by Asymmetric Jump (@jumparo1)Photo by Asymmetric Jump (@jumparo1)Photo by Asymmetric Jump (@jumparo1)Photo by Asymmetric Jump (@jumparo1)Photo by Asymmetric Jump (@jumparo1)Photo by Asymmetric Jump (@jumparo1)Photo by Asymmetric Jump (@jumparo1)Photo by Asymmetric Jump (@jumparo1)Photo by Asymmetric Jump (@jumparo1)
After 4 cycles finally I feel nothing and am not emotional. Nevertheless my portfolio is down a lot. The good research is the key to hold quality through masacres like today. zcash:native near:native hyperliquid:native
1
68
Quantum resistance + privacy. @JensenHuang sees the future with @Zcash Now let's get zcash:native widely adopted and to a $ 4 T market cap, please
60
Marked safe in this dip; bought $NVDA. Some diversification from crypto.
57
Asymmetric Jump retweeted
Hyperscalers: "We need as much compute as we can get. Token demand is off the charts." Hyperscalers: "What, Jensen had another affair? Cancel all our Nvidia orders. Fidelity in a marriage are more important to use than hundreds of billions in revenue and winning the AI race." Hyperscalers: "Hi AMD, Broadcom, we just cancelled our Nvidia orders. Jensen is a pig. Can we have compute from you?" AMD, Broadcom: "Yes, absolutely, we can ship you more compute starting from late 2028." Hyperscalers: "No, we need it now." AMD, Broadcom: "Sorry, we have no additional capacity with TSMC for the next 2 years. That's all booked by Nvidia."
8
10
2
230
16,919
Remember! The pump never carries everyone. I didn’t read this in a book. 14+ years in crypto taught it to me the hard way. Before any real move, the market runs a filter - Chop, fakeouts, boring sideways months, scary wicks, FUD. All of it has one job: shake the weak hands off the bus. Market makers don’t want a crowded trade. Price moves easiest when the fewest people are holding, and when the supply sits with people who won’t sell. So every shakeout is a question: Do you actually believe in what you own? Simple example of last week's dump in Semis: $MU , $SNDK, $COHR, $CRWV. Check them today and check them in a few months. The same is happening with zcash:native, hyperliquid:native, near:native, $VVV, and more. Paper hands answer with a sell button. Diamond hands answer with patience. The full potential of a great project is only seen by the few who were still there when it stopped being comfortable. Be one of the few. 💎 Remember, your conviction will be tested, so think and research before you click " buy " next time.
1
74
$ZEC NU7 is live! Last upgrade, NU6 in 2024, ZEC beat $BTC by +31.5 points in the 30 days after that! But that was the best case. Across all 5 past upgrades, the median is −5.1, and only 2 of 5 beat BTC. This time the setup is different: • Clean fork, one chain, two independent node clients • Blocks 3x faster (25s), issuance unchanged: 1,800 ZEC/day, 21M cap • 29.25% of supply shielded, up from 25.79% in August • 4.22M ZEC moved into Ironwood, the new formally verified pool • Grayscale ETF holdings up 59% QoQ (617K ZEC) • 5 ETFs/ETPs live or filed: Grayscale, 21Shares, CoinShares, Valour, Winklevoss • Coinholders voted ~99% to keep the halvings • $300M+ already sits in Zcash's dev treasuries. Builders are well funded • The leading dev-fund draft sends 50K ZEC to the NSM and stops ZCG from selling new coins. No vote yet, but the debate points to less sell pressure Can NU7 be the 3rd winner? The 30-day scorecard closes ~6 Dec 👀 My recent full dive is here 👇asymmetricjump.substack.com/…
1
96
So far, we are going green. Curious to see the daily close and next week to see if it goes according to my dig. $BTC $NQ
Asked Claude to dig up every CPI week that followed a −3% Nasdaq week since 2018. 14 cases. Here's how Nasdaq and $BTC traded: • CPI day: Nasdaq green 8/14, BTC 10/14 • CPI week: coin flip • Next week, with the Fed hiking: green just 2/7 Bounce first. Fade after.
52
Asymmetric Jump retweeted
Zcash is getting the full-page treatment in today’s Wall Street Journal. Grayscale has taken out a front-page ad promoting Zcash, along with another full-page ad inside highlighting its Zcash investment fund (ZCSH).
78
130
103
904
180,143
My take on the $ZEC dev fund fight. I want ZEC better developed, not starved. But 20% is more than it needs today. First, let's compare it. Chains that fund development from new coins: Decred 10%, Dash 20%, Cardano 20%. Zcash's 20% is normal for that group. Bitcoin, Ethereum and Monero take 0%, but they're funded other ways: companies, a 2014 token sale, donations. The % was set when ZEC was cheap. Now over $300M sits across ZCG and the coinholder fund, much of it locked. ZCG spends ~$9.4M a year. Zcash still needs real building: Tachyon scaling, post-quantum privacy, two node clients, wallets. And legal defence, with EU exchange rules hitting privacy coins in July 2027. My take: • Trim the 20%. Something closer to Decred's 10% still brings in ~$85M a year at $1,300 • Protect development: fund real yearly budgets and spend more on builders • Make the legal fund usable before July 2027 • Send the cut and any surplus to the NSM (Network Sustainability Mechanism), not to miners The current lockbox ZIP stops ZCG’s new money but doesn’t trim the 20%. The 8% still piles up, in a “legal defense” fund nobody can spend until another ZIP says how. I hold $ZEC. NFA
1
3
407
A fund has $100M. Does it buy $ZEC today? I spent a week on it: the NU7 fork, 5 ETFs, Grayscale's new filing, and who's long vs. short on @HyperliquidX My answer: the bull case is real. The entry isn't, yet 👀 Full breakdown 👇 asymmetricjump.substack.com/… Remember, I post first on my Substack, so subscribe to get the alpha early! I hold ZEC. NFA
1
120
Asked Claude to dig up every CPI week that followed a −3% Nasdaq week since 2018. 14 cases. Here's how Nasdaq and $BTC traded: • CPI day: Nasdaq green 8/14, BTC 10/14 • CPI week: coin flip • Next week, with the Fed hiking: green just 2/7 Bounce first. Fade after.
1
1
1
134
Top conviction for the quantum narrative outside of crypto. $IONQ
$IONQ Q3’26 EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS 🔹 Revenue: $173.8M (Est. $142M) 🟢; +336% YoY 🔹 Adj. EPS: -$0.29 (Est. -$0.38) 🟢 🔹 GAAP EPS: $1.42 FY26 Guide: 🔹 Revenue: $505M-$515M (Est. $455M) 🟢 🔹 Quantum Computing Revenue Growth: 110% YoY Segment Net Revenue: 🔹 IonQ Platform: $90.3M; +127% YoY 🔹 SkyWater Foundry Services: $83.5M Announcements: 🔹 DARPA Stage C: potential program value up to $300M 🔹 NVIDIA: first on-premise Superion 256 system 🔹 SDT Contract: $33M for Superion 256 and quantum memory 🔹 DARPA Contract: $28M for 25 optical atomic clocks; $30M option 🔹 Florida International University Contract: $25M for Superion 256 Key Updates: 🔹 Gain on Warrant Liabilities: $896.2M; drove GAAP EPS of $1.42 🔹 Remaining Performance Obligations: $1.2B; more than doubled 🔹 Cash, Equivalents & Investments: $3.7B pro forma Comments: 🔸 “Third quarter revenue of $173.8 million reflects increasing demand for our quantum technologies and the benefits of our vertically integrated quantum manufacturing capabilities through SkyWater.” 🔸 “We are pleased to raise our full-year 2026 revenue guidance to an industry record of more than half a billion dollars.”
1
2
274
Asymmetric Jump retweeted
NEAR holders voted today to cut the network's maximum issuance from 2.5% to 1.6% a year. A 36% cut, phased in over 24 months. The vote ran onchain in House of Stake, and the proposal was written by one of the large holders, not by the foundation. Next: Security Council review, a 90-day grace period, then validators adopt it in a protocol upgrade and the rate steps down every epoch. At the same time NEAR Intents revenue keeps buying NEAR off the market. Less printing on one side, buybacks on the other.
3
10
108
2,870
Following this closely $ZEC holders 👀
Tachyon Group (led by Sean Bowe) and Shielded Labs just posted a proposal to end future funding of the Zcash Community Grants program and reduce its treasury. ⤵️
1
147
Binance lost ~$6.3B this week. Could $ZEC have stopped it? No. Not because privacy is useless.
Because a private coin and a safe exchange are two different things 👀 What happened:
• A DevOps laptop → a service container → unauthorized withdrawals
• $6.3B out across 7 chains. Zcash isn't one of them
• ~$3B frozen. Freezes need a trail to follow
• 4.5x Bybit's $1.40B, the next biggest exchange hack Where privacy does work: coins you hold yourself.
• 29.15% of all ZEC is now shielded, up from 25.49% in July
• ZEC's market cap is 1.94x Monero's That doesn't make ZEC a hack shield.
It makes it a holder's tool, not an exchange's. Inside the deep dive:
• What shielded ZEC hides, and how a viewing key still proves it to an auditor
• Why all 9 of Binance's ZEC wallets are transparent
• How privacy cuts the other way in the clean-up (Bitget → Ironwood)
• The Binance wallets to watch for outflows 
What's next: NU7, the Grayscale filing, EU AML rules in 2027
👇 I publish on Substack first asymmetricjump.substack.com/… Subscribe to get the alpha first! I own $ZEC. Research, not financial advice.
1
1
168
Cybersecurity is more important than ever. $NEAR
The cybersecurity landscape has dramatically changed. Being able to build up your defenses using AI, while keeping that research private, is now critically important – and we want to make that available to everyone. We just rolled out NEAR AI Cybersecurity program: access to uncensored models for security scanning. All your code, prompts, and findings stay private. Everything runs inside secure enclaves and is encrypted end-to-end.
1
2
20
546
Buying $GOOG here at $281. Always wanted to have a piece of it, and here I'm about to start DCA.
1
2
94
Weeks of building and strong conviction. Slow DCA down. It paid off handsomely hyperliquid:native
trade[XYZ] and ICE, owner of the New York Stock Exchange, are joining forces to bring 24/7 perpetual futures on Hyperliquid to the United States. In just over a year, our markets on Hyperliquid have surpassed $650 billion in volume. They provide continuous price discovery for stocks, indices, and commodities, and have become trusted reference points for retail and institutions alike when traditional markets are closed. Much of the world trades them. Until now, Americans could only watch. We intend to change that. Subject to CFTC approval, trade[XYZ] and ICE plan to establish a new, dedicated U.S. market, with novel exchange and clearing infrastructure built on Hyperliquid. Planned contracts span equities, indices, commodities, FX, and crypto, with access through participating brokers and platforms. We’ll share more on products, eligibility, and timing as approvals progress. ICE brings more than 25 years of experience operating regulated markets, clearing, and managing risk. trade[XYZ] brings the product development, market design, and technology behind the most liquid and robust markets on Hyperliquid. Innovation and the protections of U.S. regulation shouldn’t be a trade-off. Together, we plan to prove it. ICE is making a strategic investment in trade[XYZ] and joins us in building towards the future of Hyperliquid. A small group of market luminaries is joining as well, beginning with Stan Druckenmiller. For more than four decades, few investors have anticipated the great turns in markets as often as Stan. We’re proud to have him with us for the next one. We’re building the U.S. market in parallel with our existing HIP-3 markets, which we’ll continue to expand and innovate on. We expect both to flourish. They each have a long road map ahead, from new asset classes to new ways to trade them. To the Hyperliquid community, whether you were here before us or came because of us, thank you. You took a chance on new markets and you made them matter. You’ll forever be a part of this story. Anything. Anytime. On ICE[XYZ].
3
63