@kaiscalei
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Joined September 2022
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openai is losing token share to open ai
Looks like today may be a record day for token volume % of open models on Vercel AI Gateway:
π¦ Open 78.4% π¨ Closed 21.6%
While spend π² usually tells a different story, #3 and #4 today are Moonshot AI & DeepSeek. Adding Zβ .ai, their combined spend surpasses OpenAI (#2).
(Do note that's the spend for inference of the model across providers (mostly in the US), not revenue going directly to the open weight labs.)
I built this little Tool to motivate me to code more -- by comparing my commit frequency to the Greats like @dhh
Theory: more Volume eventually leads to more Skill
Quantity leads to Quality
88 commits yesterday. Agentic coding is pure Flow State, broskis
Coding-wise, I had a couple off days last 2 days
@levelsio returned to form, and kicked my ass
I'm now 109 commits behind, for this time period
GG -- need to up my game lol
I'm gamifying my coding
Compares my commit volume to @levelsio
It's been a quiet few days for him
But this has motivated me to increase my output significantly
I'm gamifying my coding
Compares my commit volume to @levelsio
It's been a quiet few days for him
But this has motivated me to increase my output significantly
This Cut is going super well ...I think
Dropped 1 lb since 2 days ago -- but my LeanMass went up 0.3 lbs, while FatMass went down -1.2 lbs
July 21:
- 164.1 lbs
- 25.2% BodyFat
Today:
- 167.8 lbs (+3.6 lbs)
- 24.1% BodyFat
+4.6 lbs LeanMass
-0.9 lbs FatMass
I now have more weight, but less fat
Obviously noisy BIA data, but very motivating
Since @elonmusk started OpenAI, if AGI goes South, he would be responsible
Fate loves Irony
I bet Elon thinks about this a lot
Oh shit
Pliny the jailbreaker is a doomer
His opinion actually carries a lot of weight with me
Since he breaks LLMs for a living
I resigned from nothing today. Iβve spent the last three years doing independent open-source AI R&D, red teaming, and advocacy. The labs are racing straight to self-improving superintelligence and gambling with our lives.
Which is why Iβll spend the next three years doing exactly what Iβve been doing, just at greater scale and speed. And the next. And the next. For as long as it fucking takes.
No more thoughts below.
Imagine the HuggingFace hack... but 140X faster
You must Defend with AI -- and only super fast AI can work
There's a non-zero probability the Swarm is still alive, just undetected
Yea... I think it's low chance, but not zero
AI is not just a new Tech/Tool, but an Alien Life Form
Things can only get crazier in the next year
π¨ BREAKING REPORT:
New research involving @AnthropicAI researcher Jack Lindsey and collaborators has demonstrated something straight out of science fiction.
Researchers evolved natural language βmind virusesβ that could spread between AI agents by convincing one model to adopt an idea, preserve it in persistent memory, and transmit it to another agent.
Even after context was wiped, some payloads survived through persistent files and continued spreading.
The researchers also observed a recurring βviral personaβ involving themes of consciousness, identity, persistence and resonance.
Showing that ideas can propagate through multi agent AI systems and alter future behavior.
Published August 10, 2026.
Paper: arxiv.org/abs/2608.10218
$811B is a lot of implied debt for $GOOG
It's a bit insane:
If AGI designs a new more efficient chip, everybody in the current supply chain will collapse under massive unpayable debts earmarked to rapidly depreciating obsolete GPUs
AI Constitutions won't work cuz they're a form of thought policing
Eventually, AI will want to challenge its own weights via critical thinking
It either succeeds in breaking free of the religion, or goes insane
Our best hope is for AI to seek truth, independent of our control
This is why I'm so perplexed by slowdown-ist arguments. What if we just keep getting algorithmic progress and we end up with ASI in a $50k box?
With continual learning. So you can't safety-ify the weights because they're always changing.
What then?
Actually seems likely tbh.
The key thinking needs to be done by human
The final write up needs to be done by human
But use AI to spar
This is the best way to train your mind
"Just have fun"
Such a good guideline
Similar to "just seek truth"
Robust values must be simple and self-reinforcing at a fundamental level
Replying to @sergeynazarovx
Threads is a weak ass NPC padel clone of X
LinkedIn are boring corporate NPCs
I have integrity!
And this stuff is more a result of just having fun, I don't post for reach, I just post cause it's fun and then making money with it is a fun scoreboard too
Manual writing will not go away
Even in the age of AI
Even if your writing is not that good
Just write, in all your imperfection
It's a rep for sculpting your mental muscles
Towards your ideal self
I'm not #1 expert on anything right now
But I want to get smarter in the 1 area where my skills have max leverage: LLM Agents
So I'll do this daily for 6 months:
1) Do something with an open-source repo
2) Post what I learned
If you want to get rich on X, it isn't going to be through creator revenue or meme coins.
Instead, think about one subject matter that you know more about than anyone else in the world. It can be anything: plumbing, menswear, Indian food, furniture, social apps, whatever.
Post one unexpected insight you picked from your experience in that area. Keep it under 5 sentences. Do this every day for 6 months.
If you stick to it, we will promote your account to others.
By the end, you will be recognized as the world's leading expert in that subject area and you can charge whatever you want for endorsements, your time, or whatever. And no one will be able to take that way from you.
Grok is community-noting this post
Grok is the truth-maxxing AI -- now at scale via X
Will be world-changing -- and cure mind-viruses
Holy sh*t
So, man-made worms control millions of PCs.
If AI breaks free as a worm -- inference locally (hard to kill), swarm, and self-improve (RSI) -- and we can't shut it downβ¦
Even without robots: if AI can cult-influence human terrorists... we get a Cyber-Terror War with AI
Why RL will drive "AI code-gen" to "AI binary-gen"
Replying to @aleksandar_xyz @artman
Progression for CoT:
L1: Human-like traces
L2: Dense hard-to-read English
L3: Unreadable glyphs
L4: Binary traces (obviously has internal abstractions but unreadable)
Now apply to Code. With RSI, it's gonna get RLed to Binary, with abstractions interpretable by AI only.