AI Lover / Engineer / 2xDad / Ultra-runner 🏃
De Grana’
Joined April 2022
- Tweets198
- Following508
- Followers33
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Ismael Morales retweeted
Je vais dire un truc impopulaire, mais après avoir pas mal lu sur le récent crash du jet aux États-Unis, je commence à voir les premiers effets de la Gen Z sur des postes à très hautes responsabilités (comme pilote d'avion). Je m'explique :
> Accro à son portable et aux réseaux sociaux, elle envoyait même des messages sur son téléphone pendant le vol. TikTok à la con, etc. Il est évident que ce genre de comportement déconcentre. Personne n'est au-dessus de ça.
> Des éléments ressortent également sur le fait que ce n'était pas la première fois qu'elle faisait preuve d'imprudence face aux turbulences ou aux orages. Certes, elle ne pilotait pas l'avion et avait un pilote expérimenté à ses côtés, mais celui-ci semble assez passif dans les autres vidéos. Pas vraiment le genre à la recadrer.
> J'ai une théorie depuis un bail : la génération « 100 % écrans », qui commence à arriver sur le marché du travail (en gros, tous les enfants nés après 2000), va causer d'énormes problèmes sur les postes à responsabilités. Entre une addiction aux écrans, une fatigue cognitive accrue et une tendance à être moins précautionneux que les générations précédentes, je pense qu'on risque d'avoir de mauvaises surprises. Ajoutez à cela une culture beaucoup plus tournée vers le narcissisme et le « moi, moi » des réseaux sociaux, qui peut favoriser l'excès de confiance, et vous avez potentiellement tous les ingrédients pour des situations dramatiques.
"She was just the Co-Pilot!"
"She wasn't flying the plane!"
Meanwhile, she was running a girlboss learjet_girl TikTok channel and often flew with long nails that could impede instrument operation.
She called herself a Lion and bragged about being a young pilot... clearly someone who is just too cocky for her own good, and that overconfidence and complacency killed 9 people.
Co-pilots, assuming she wasn't flying at the time, are responsible for monitoring the instruments, the radar, and making course corrections when needed after obtaining permission from air traffic control. Depending on the investigation, it might have been her responsibility to obtain permission to change course to avoid that storm cell that doomed the jet. That permission arrived, but it was too late.
Whoever was flying the plane should have made the call to move laterally to avoid the storm cell... they should have recognized how dangerous it was, and were probably too inexperienced to notice the danger.
Learjets are also notoriously ice-sensitive, and they should have avoided that entire storm system, or turned back and cancelled the flight.
The manual is explicit... "even small accumulations of ice on the wing leading edge can cause an aerodynamic stall prior"
She could have been alive today, along with the 8 other people... but everyone has to pretend that the obvious pattern that is in front of them doesn't exist.
Pues no puedo estar mas de acuerdo con @TechEuge y el dilema del innovador. youtube.com/watch?v=IFrPXQao…
Ismael Morales retweeted
Campaña de la RAE y la Academia de la Publicidad contra los anglicismos innecesarios:
Ismael Morales retweeted
Si creéis que las infraestructuras ferroviarias son un desastre ya veréis la eléctrica.
Y cuando hayáis visto la eléctrica, descubriréis el estado del hormigón de los puentes y luego el de las presas.
Y después de todo eso, por fin descubriréis como están las pensiones.
Ismael Morales retweeted
El empobrecimiento de un país es un proceso gradual... no te das cuenta hasta que ya es tarde. Ocurre poco a poco a lo largo de muchos años. Lo vas notando con pequeñas cosas hasta que un día te levantas y te das cuenta que ayer eras clase media y hoy eres pobre
Ismael Morales retweeted
Algo bueno que ha traído la IA al sector es que los compañeros tóxicos son cada vez menos intocables.
Antes por miedo a perder su conocimiento no los echaban y se les permitía tratar a la gente como basura.
Por desgracia, todavía le quedan las redes sociales para seguir escupiendo bilis y alimentar su ego.
Ismael Morales retweeted
Hoy hablaba con mi padre por teléfono y me preguntaba si es mejor "voto en blanco o voto nulo", por el sistema electoral de España, cuantos diputados hay por provincia...
Así que le he hecho un vídeo corto más completo y de paso lo comparto por aquí también, por si interesa 👇
Ismael Morales retweeted
El Presidente Javier Milei recorrió la Universidad Rey Juan Carlos de Madrid junto al economista Jesús Huerta de Soto.
Ismael Morales retweeted
La primera ministra de Japón está advirtiendo de la severidad de las vulnerabilidades críticas de ciberseguridad anunciadas hoy.
Está pidiendo a todo país que actualice urgentemente o desconecte los sistemas afectados.
Mientras tanto, el ministro español de Transformación Digital está hablando de Feijóo, Ayuso y Milei.
Y casi que mejor, porque seguramente no tiene ni la menor idea de lo que está pasando.
皆様に、今夜に対応して頂きたい大至急のお願いです。
多くのウェブサイトで使用されているPHPに関し、PHPのセキュリティチームが、重大な２件の脆弱性に関する注意喚起を行っています。
公開しているウェブサイトでPHPを使用しているか確認し、今夜、10月21日午後11時（日本時間）に公開される修正パッチについて、可及的速やかに適用できるよう準備をお願いします。
修正パッチを速やかに適用することが困難な場合は、例えばウェブサイト等を一時的に停止させることも、リスクを低減させるための有効策の一つと考えられます。
国家サイバー統括室のXアカウントでも関係する情報を発信していますので、そちらも参考にして下さい。
国家サイバー統括室(注意・警戒情報)（@cyber_forecast） / X
Ismael Morales retweeted
In 1994, software was dead. People told me programming was for nerds and that I should become a doctor or a lawyer instead.
In 2004, software was dead. People told me that someone from India would take my job for $5/hour.
In 2014, software was dead. People told me that no-code was going to kill every job and doom my career.
In 2024, software was dead with Devin, Windsurf, Copilot, and OpenAI o1.
We kill software every 10 years, and yet the demand for good Software Engineers has never been higher.
One hackathon weekend. One passion: aviation.
Become an air traffic controller handling real planes. Real airports, real flight schedules.
atc7700.com
I've always wanted to open @flightradar24 and be the air traffic controller instead of just watching the planes.
So I ended up building it!
Ismael Morales retweeted
atc7700.com
I did it to play myself, but decided to make it public for everyone to enjoy.
I added 23 airports (you can suggest more) with real schedules (-ish)
You handle arrivals, departures and taxiing, and you can pause it when it gets too much (7700s)
Ismael Morales retweeted
I've always wanted to open @flightradar24 and be the air traffic controller instead of just watching the planes.
So I ended up building it!
Ismael Morales retweeted
Dusting off this tweet from April because this gap in shared understanding of LLM capability is *widening*. It's now less "two groups of people speaking past each other" and more a sharp funnel.
- Napkin math somewhere around 6B people (~75% of the population) have barely come in contact with LLMs at all.
- Around 1-2B (~20%) are casual and infrequent users of free-tier ChatGPT-like products. This group sees derpy chatbots and treats them a bit like a better Google search, a writing aid, or etc. Maybe an agent tries to book you a flight. I have non-tech friends who (reasonably, imo) say they have not much use for it at all. Even many professionals outside of math&code are in this tier. For example, execs and many other functions spend a lot of their time talking to other people, so while they understand what is happening intellectually, it is still second-hand and a bit abstract.
- Now we get to professional use of frontier-grade LLMs in math&code. Somewhere around 20M people (0.2%) see first-hand that large, complex projects that used to take them weeks/months can now be completed by agents with a prompt. Building apps, copying apps, translating apps, decompiling apps from binaries... This has all happened very quickly and recently - less than 1 year ago, I was writing code manually by hand, typing memorized computer code commands into a code editor character by character, occasionally pressing Tab to autocomplete a little chunk of code.
- And finally we get to the ~5,000 people (~0.00006%) with access to frontier-grade systems internally. The external world has seen the preview. It looks like swarms of thousands of agents collaborating over weeks on software mega projects: minting zero days, running cyber attacks and defenses at machine speeds, discovering new science, advancing the frontier of mathematics. Things that would have taken top professionals in the industry years of work. Meanwhile, human review and comprehension are starting to fall behind. For example, people are still involved in the "archeology" of the OpenAI-HF incident from many months ago. Mathematicians may be poring over the 722 manuscripts on frontier mathematics for a while.
The funnel is driven by a combination of factors:
1. The impact scales with ambition, problem size, and horizon. A question with a paragraph answer barely stresses the system. You need a reservoir of big, difficult problems that you really care about. This aspect drives the consumer / professional dimension of the funnel.
2. The jaggedness of the system (which I have written about a lot separately). Capability peaks in domains that are digital, verifiable and economically valuable. This is because LLM capability emerges from reinforcement learning on verifiable rewards on a curated environment mixture driven by revenue potential. This aspect primarily drives the area (e.g. math&code) dimension of the funnel.
3. Access. Free-tier, paid-tier, internal.
So this is the weirdness of the moment. The general public has mostly not interacted with these systems. When they have, it looks like a derpy chatbot. The majority of professionals still see only a modest uplift. And a small sliver of professionals are experiencing the vertigo of the curve going vertical. And it is all happening at the same time.
Judging by my tl there is a growing gap in understanding of AI capability.
The first issue I think is around recency and tier of use. I think a lot of people tried the free tier of ChatGPT somewhere last year and allowed it to inform their views on AI a little too much. This is a group of reactions laughing at various quirks of the models, hallucinations, etc. Yes I also saw the viral videos of OpenAI's Advanced Voice mode fumbling simple queries like "should I drive or walk to the carwash". The thing is that these free and old/deprecated models don't reflect the capability in the latest round of state of the art agentic models of this year, especially OpenAI Codex and Claude Code.
But that brings me to the second issue. Even if people paid $200/month to use the state of the art models, a lot of the capabilities are relatively "peaky" in highly technical areas. Typical queries around search, writing, advice, etc. are *not* the domain that has made the most noticeable and dramatic strides in capability. Partly, this is due to the technical details of reinforcement learning and its use of verifiable rewards. But partly, it's also because these use cases are not sufficiently prioritized by the companies in their hillclimbing because they don't lead to as much $$$ value. The goldmines are elsewhere, and the focus comes along.
So that brings me to the second group of people, who *both* 1) pay for and use the state of the art frontier agentic models (OpenAI Codex / Claude Code) and 2) do so professionally in technical domains like programming, math and research. This group of people is subject to the highest amount of "AI Psychosis" because the recent improvements in these domains as of this year have been nothing short of staggering. When you hand a computer terminal to one of these models, you can now watch them melt programming problems that you'd normally expect to take days/weeks of work. It's this second group of people that assigns a much greater gravity to the capabilities, their slope, and various cyber-related repercussions.
TLDR the people in these two groups are speaking past each other. It really is simultaneously the case that OpenAI's free and I think slightly orphaned (?) "Advanced Voice Mode" will fumble the dumbest questions in your Instagram's reels and *at the same time*, OpenAI's highest-tier and paid Codex model will go off for 1 hour to coherently restructure an entire code base, or find and exploit vulnerabilities in computer systems. This part really works and has made dramatic strides because 2 properties: 1) these domains offer explicit reward functions that are verifiable meaning they are easily amenable to reinforcement learning training (e.g. unit tests passed yes or no, in contrast to writing, which is much harder to explicitly judge), but also 2) they are a lot more valuable in b2b settings, meaning that the biggest fraction of the team is focused on improving them. So here we are.
Ismael Morales retweeted
"Es un genio, es un genio. Nos tiene cogido el pulso...nos conoce perfectamente...nos está desplumando...su desvergüenza política, su cinismo, su ambición, su deseo de aferrarse al poder a toda costa..."
Un boceto a mano alzada, por don Arturo @perezreverte
It took me exactly 20 minutes today to build a completely interactive lesson about the human body for my daughter.
I used the exact syllabus she is studying at school, and in less time than it takes to drink a coffee, she had a personalized tool ready to teach her.
Seeing how she engaged with it really got me thinking about the massive shift happening right now in how we share information.
If I were a teacher today, my entire approach to class preparation would change. For years, the standard way to prepare a lesson or share knowledge was to build a PowerPoint presentation or put together a PDF document. We used to spend hours formatting slides, finding the right pictures, and organizing static blocks of text.
Now, you can take that exact same base content and use an AI agent to turn it into a dynamic, interactive experience. And the crazy part is that you do not just save hours of prep time. The final result is actually a much higher quality product.
Instead of forcing a student to passively stare at a screen or read a printed page, you give them something they can talk to, question, and explore at their own pace. It is faster to build, and the quality of the learning experience is simply on another level.
