I think the biggest thing we've got going on in equities is "high water, small pipes" syndrome. When there's a small change in opinion, the trades flow through those small pipes causing a massive swing in valuation. There are fewer counterparties willing to act as a reservoir.
(If I'm rules-based this holds, but if I'm a discretionary rebalancer, I'm probably waiting until next Wednesday)
For the first time in a while, our month end rebalancing model has net selling in USD duration vs. net buying in equities. The Agg took back almost all of its 3-month relative underperformance vs. S&P in the last two weeks.
Apparently when you have a press conference fully of word salad, the curve just steepens like crazy*.
n=2
Aaaaaand he implied that he popped the AI bubble with one hike.
Replying to @lebas_janney
Took a victory lap implying one hike tightened financial conditions and made capital allocators more disciplined. 🙄
Warsh's intro is mostly reading the FOMC statement and then tacking on some data from tomorrow's GDP report.
Oof dropping some seriously patronizing tone on @colbyLsmith despite saying absolute nothing.













