Hoffman

FADE HIM AGAIN 📉 🏀 PK Dish #3 (10/24) 🍽️ 𝐉𝐚𝐥𝐞𝐧 𝐆𝐫𝐞𝐞𝐧 𝐔𝐍𝐃𝐄𝐑 𝟖.𝟓 𝐑𝐞𝐛 + 𝐀𝐬𝐭 Cooked w/ @SC_FFB 🤝 @AltLineDemon LIKE IF TAILING ❤️ - Green’s role in Phoenix is still built much more around scoring than creating for others or crashing the glass. He averaged just 3.6 rebounds and 2.8 assists last season and has stayed under this line in 8 of his last 12 games while averaging only 7.0 R+A. In the season opener, Green finished with just 2 rebounds and 3 assists despite remaining involved offensively and attempting 12 shots. - Since joining Phoenix, Green is averaging only 5.5 potential assists and 6.2 rebound chances per game when sharing the floor with Devin Booker and Dillon Brooks. Those opportunity numbers already make it difficult for a score-first guard to consistently reach 9 combined rebounds and assists, and Phoenix has added even more competition for those stats. Miles Bridges gives them another versatile wing who can handle, rebound and create, while their active 7’2 rookie center adds another strong presence on the glass. - Green’s play style fits the under as well. He is naturally a score-first guard who tends to finish possessions rather than consistently create them for teammates. Booker remains the primary offensive initiator, while Green is often attacking closeouts, getting downhill or looking for his own shot. He can have a productive scoring game without coming close to this number in the peripheral categories. - Golden State has played at a bottom-10 pace through its first two games after finishing 11th-slowest in pace last season. Green has stayed under this line in 10 of 15 games against teams in the bottom half of the league in pace, and a slower game naturally reduces the total number of possessions available for rebounds and assists. - Golden State’s smaller lineups create some risk for extra guard rebounds, but Green still needs 9 combined rebounds and assists to beat us. He only had 5 RA in the season opener against Portland, and with Booker controlling most of the creation, Bridges and Brooks competing for secondary opportunities and Phoenix adding more size around him, we don’t see enough rebound or assist volume for a score-first player like Green to consistently get there. We like him to stay under this line against Golden State. Best Odds: -139 DraftKings 📊 Data via @PropsMadness Use code PROPKITCHEN for 25% off your first purchase! 📣 Turn notifications on for daily prop bets! #NBA #NBAPicks #SportsBetting #PlayerProps #GamblingX