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I have this thing where I get older, but just never wiser | @OsascoVC | ⚖️ Direito - UFRGS

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Joined December 2018
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🇧🇷 Lideranças do PT trabalham para enfraquecer Haddad e impulsionar Camilo Santana como sucessor de Lula na Presidência em 2030. Segundo Igor Gadelha, do Metrópoles, Camilo ganhou protagonismo nas articulações internas e passou a ser tratado como uma alternativa. Dentro do PT, é visto como um nome capaz de dialogar com a esquerda, o centro e setores da direita liberal, além de ter uma trajetória eleitoral expressiva no Ceará, seu estado natal.
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maliv retweeted
jornal nacional falando que a música the hanging tree de jogos vorazes virou símbolo de resistência entre estudantes nos protestos iconic
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Em completo choque! Desculpa, mas isso aqui é extraordinário. Segunda maior vitória da esquerda depois da vitória do Lula
The 2026 midterms in one picture.
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Lula sobre Flávio Bolsonaro: “Pé frio! Chegou nos EUA o Trump perdeu” kkkkkk #LiveDoExercitoExplode
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Imagem real!
"Veja bem, Ministra, nós não temos autorização pro garimpo, mas..." Marina Silva:
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Ontem eu disse que não ia gastar esse mês, hoje paguei uma festa de 1200…
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Camilo, Durigan, Haddad e Alckmin fazendo um trabalho de Hércules… mas conseguindo a principio
Sob pressão, Lula fala de responsabilidade fiscal. Presidente acena ao mercado após BC interromper ciclo de cortes na Selic. ➡️ #Edição18 - de segunda a sexta, às 18h, na #GloboNews.
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Disse quando Trump foi reeleito que o GOP seria extinto em claro exagero. Não acho que seja tão exagerado mais. Isso aqui é realmente um absurdo
Scott Colom appears set to win Forrest County, named after Nathan Bedford Forrest, who founded the Ku Klux Klan
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Ela está correta. Gostaria de estudar mais sobre isso, mas me parece que a extrema direita se alimenta dessa guerra cultural enquanto o campo progressivo realmente prospera quando vai no cerne dos problemas da população (preços, dívidas, emprego, segurança, etc)
🇺🇸 Gina Hinojosa defende que democratas deixem de priorizar alegações de guerras culturais e concentrem discurso na economia. A governadora eleita do Texas afirmou que o Partido Democrata passou tempo demais respondendo a ataques sobre temas como questões LGBTQIA+ e direitos de pessoas trans, deixando de comunicar à população o que realmente representa. Durante a campanha, Hinojosa adotou uma resposta aos ataques republicanos: “Meus pronomes são mãe, texana e, em breve, governadora”. Ela defendeu que os democratas concentrem seus esforços em questões econômicas sem abandonar a causa LGBTQIA e Negra, o discurso tem que ser sobre custo de vida, educação e poder de compra, em vez de permanecerem presos às disputas culturais. Segundo ela, essas discussões dividiram comunidades e afastaram eleitores do debate sobre as prioridades do país.
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260 deputados é ABSURDO!
Dana Bash: “here's what's on our midterm radar. the new democratic house majority keeps getting bigger. and moments ago, cnn projected 10 more seats, including four more democratic pickups. now, cnn has projected democratic wins in 249 seats. that includes 39 new seats that they flipped. and there's still about three dozen races yet to be called. that's could plausibly get to 260, a 260 majority. that would be the biggest for either party since 1990. i'm joined by a terrific group of reporters. we want to start with this news. david chalion, we can put up on the screen some of the specifics, which we can talk about of what we just called, but also obviously the big picture of the fact that this very large house majority keeps getting bigger.” David Chalion: “yeah, i mean, that is the point. and a bunch of these races that you said are republican holds from where they were. but the fact that in these 10 races that were just projected, four of them are not just democratic holds, they're democratic pickups. they're flipping republican seats. so that's, you know, virginia one outside the richmond area. and there you see there, rob whitman, the republican incumbent, has fallen to shannon taylor. and then look at what is happening in the tar heel state. we saw it with roy cooper, obviously, in his big victory over watley.” Dana Bash: “want to start with north carolina 6?” David Chalion: “but sure, look at that. north carolina 6. cyril jefferson, addison mcdowell, incumbent republican, goes down in north carolina 6. the 13th congressional district in north carolina is another one that we just projected for the democrat, which is another pickup in that state. and in the 14th congressional district. so there's 13. yep. there you go. i mean, they're close, obviously, but the democrats are ousting republican incumbents everywhere across north carolina.” Dana Bash: “and we can also go to north carolina 14 if we can. and just to kind of emphasize, this is just in this latest batch of calls that we're making. three of them are democratic pickups in the tar heel state, never mind what we saw on election night. including the defeat of the chairman of the republican campaign committee.” David Chalion: “exactly. richard hudson.” Dana Bash: “we're actually going to have the democrat who defeated him later in the show. but there's so many reasons for this. they had a very strong democrat at the top of the ticket and the former governor, roy cooper, who flipped the senate seat. but also, it's just such an example. i think we've been talking understandably a lot about texas and we will do it more this hour. but north carolina is another example. i mean, they got slammed by hurricane helene. they had a lot of trouble digging out from it. a lot of people felt like they didn't get enough help from the federal government, combined with all of the economic troubles that that state had that matches so many other states. and it just kind of helps to really paint the picture of all of these, in north carolina's case, purple/red, but also deep red states that have changed. manu, as you look at this, being the guy who walks the hallways and talks to these members, many of whom are not coming back, particularly on the gop side, can you believe how big this is?” Manu Raju: “no. i mean, it is stunning. i mean, it is just absolutely stunning. nobody, absolutely nobody thought the republicans would be this deep in the minority. i mean, remember, so many of these districts have been gerrymandered to the point where there were so few, what we're seeing is true competitive districts heading into november. we thought that any majority of the democrats would get would be a pretty narrow one. and, you know, i was talking to a ton of people on both sides of the aisle, on the run-up, to tuesday, the leadership. people were really, really deeply involved in all of this. really the high watermark that democrats thought that they could get was probably 230. there were some people saying, maybe we can get to 240 seats, but that would be an absolute tsunami. the fact that we're talking about 260 is just so stunning because the democrats won pretty much everywhere across the board. in districts that trump won by 15, 16, 17, 18 points, there are going to be hardly any republicans coming back in districts that trump won by four or five, two or three points. not many swing districts republican coming back. a lot of swing districts are democrats, and that's going to be an interesting dynamic, one that hakeem jeffries will have to deal with.” Dana Bash: “and david, you have some stats. i want you to do that in one second. but kristen, i want to bring you in, and as i do, i want to play what robert garcia said about the, and he's now the ranking on the house oversight committee, presumably will be the chairman of the house oversight committee, what he said about the sort of balance between focusing on affordability and accountability.” Robert Garcia: “we need to both move forward and pass new laws and lower the costs. there also has to be accountability for the crimes that are being committed because there is a link. and so what i've told folks is that we, if we want to actually bring costs down, then we actually have to take on corruption as well.” Dana Bash: “how's that playing at the white house?” Kristen: “the white house is preparing for every scenario right now. i mean, i think that there are some that would like them to be preparing more in terms of investigations, and i'm talking about like junior staffers who haven't been briefed on any of this, but they, many of them were in the white house in the 2020 administration and got swept up into january 6th investigations. a lot of people i'm talking to are talking about potentially leaving their posts. they don't want to get swept up in any of this. we know that the council's office has added 15 attorneys to deal with this, but they're not having kind of public briefings with the staff as to what this could look like. i will say, you know, republicans are hopeful that democrats do go all in only on investigations. obviously, the white house doesn't want to be a part of that, but they will be the center. but republicans in general are hopeful because they believe that that diminishes republicans across the board, that that's not what the american people want. that there'll be backlash.” Dana Bash: “it does seem, what'd you say? that there'll be backlash?” Kristen: “yes, exactly. and it does seem that democrats, especially those who have been part of this trump era, are keenly aware of that and trying to find the balance there.” Manu Raju: “yeah. no question about it. i mean, it's going to be interesting to see how different of a dynamic this is now than it was in 2019. remember, rashida tlaib in 2019 said we're going to impeach, you know, and she used a curse word that i will not use at the moment referring to donald trump. but will that be the, will the pitchforks be coming out? how will, you know, hakeem jeffries told me yesterday, no one has mentioned impeachment to him privately in a conversation yet. will that change? and remember how reluctantly nancy pelosi was kind of dragged into that impeachment the first time around?” Dana Bash: “yeah. but hakeem jeffries is going to have a bigger majority to navigate that with. yeah. and i want to actually talk about that, but i do want to get some of the research that you've been doing in because i think our viewers are going to love it. take it away.” David Chalion: “sure. thanks. i mean, something i started really obsessing about is, okay, you know, the way every political operative assesses, like at the beginning of an election cycle, either side, what are our opportunities? where did the president win? where did you sort of, you know, did trump win between zero and 10 points? what do those districts look like? well, i want to show you what those districts look like right now. these are districts that donald trump won. if i can get this to work, hang on. i'm not going to be able to show you this, dana.” Dana Bash: “that's okay.” David Chalion: “there you go. no, no, no. hang on.” Dana Bash: “you're going to have to do this another time.” David Chalion: “okay.” Dana Bash: “so you do that. the build up. you do that. well, just explain what it was.” David Chalion: “sure. every, there are about 33 districts that donald trump won between zero and 10 points just two years ago.” Dana Bash: “okay.” David Chalion: “so that's the target that you would go to if you're a democrat. where are we going to go fishing for seats? democrats have won nearly every single one of them. so if you were a republican in 33 districts, so if you were a republican in a district that donald trump won zero to 10 points, there was like no safe harbor for you. then we looked where are the districts that donald trump won between 10 and 20 points? guess what? there are a lot more of those districts. he won a lot of districts in that range between 10 and 10 points, but you're talking about democrats still winning a huge chunk of those. what we have found is the high watermark right now, the trumpiest district where a democrat won is in texas, the ninth congressional district. donald trump won it by 19.9 percentage points and a democrat won it. so not even if you were a republican in a trump district, 10 to 20 was his margin. were you actually fully safe from this wave? this went deep into trump country.” Dana Bash: “so interesting.” David Chalion: “it is.” Dana Bash: “and on that, when you think about governing and what you were mentioning about hakeem jeffries, david, let's just kind of show you how the breadth of the democratic caucus. let's first put on the newly elected democrats in trump districts so far, and this doesn't include the ones that we just put up. so look at all of those names. these are newly elected democrats in districts that donald trump won. so by definition, they're more moderate. they have to be more moderate in order to win, generally speaking. not all of them, but generally speaking. now compare that to the democratic socialists or the sort of far left aligned caucus. it's pretty big, but nothing compared to the large group of democrats in trump districts. and so what that says is that hakeem jeffries is certainly going to have a lot of pressure from the left, but he's going to have a lot more pressure, i think, from the middle, which is not something that we've seen in recent times.” Manu Raju: “exactly. and this is a good problem for jeffries to have because he can sort of push those folks away on the left and worry about the people that he needs to actually keep happy in order to maintain his speakership and have them be reelected to keep his majority. we had expected this to be a situation like mike johnson faced as the speaker, having the freedom caucus types, those folks on the far right that just completely stalled his agenda. perhaps the socialist wing would do the same thing for hakeem jeffries. he can push those folks aside because those blue districts, presumably, will stay blue in the next midterm. he's got to keep those folks in the middle very happy. it also means the house republican conference is getting a lot more conservative. it's already a very conservative conference, extremely conservative.” Wolf: “republicans' redistricting efforts proving unsuccessful in the 2026 midterm elections. democrats will maintain control of at least 11 of the 15 districts that were targeted by the gop redistricting efforts. and that includes, of course, in florida, where democratic congressman jared moskowitz is projected to win his district that was redrawn by the republicans. with us now is congressman jared moskowitz. he's a key member of the foreign affairs and the judiciary committees. congressman, thanks so much for joining us. congratulations on your win. cnn projects you will win florida's new 25th district, which, as you know, was redrawn under republican redistricting efforts earlier this year. what message do you think this sends to republicans?” Jared Moskowitz: “well, good morning, wolf. it's good to be with you. we can finally have that wolf spritzer together and celebrate me winning 25.” Wolf: “when you come to washington.” Jared Moskowitz: “look, this, when i come to washington, absolutely. so, you know, this redistricting plan that they had blew up in their face. we won all four seats in florida that they redistricted. we won four of the five in texas, and we won the shamari figure seat in alabama, you know, that was redistricted. and so these were the voters around the country weighing in on the fact that they don't like redistricting, they don't like when politicians pick their voters, rather than the voters picking their politicians. they don't like the fact that, you know, they're struggling in america, and they see the president, you know, building monuments and saying affordability is a hoax while they're struggling. you know, they see the corruption going on in the administration. and so the american people said, enough. they had enough of this. and now democrats like myself and the others that got elected around the country, we have to deliver results. we have to deliver restoration. we cannot just deliver revenge.” Wolf: “as you probably know, cnn is projecting that democrats will control at least, key words, at least 245 house seats, 218 is the majority number you need. in the senate, the party flipped seven races, so far two still to be called. did you expect the democrats to perform as well as they did?” Jared Moskowitz: “well, look, i felt pretty confident we were going to win the house with a good margin and that we were going to win the senate. but, no, i don't think anyone expected to see these margins. we felt the pain, because we hear it every day when we're on the streets in our districts. we hear it from our constituents wherever we go. they are hurting, you know, whether it's gas prices or grocery prices or rent or home insurance. you know, it's hard to get a mortgage. they feel like the american dream is slipping away. and then you talk to students, you know, coming out of college who are afraid that, you know, they're not going to be able to have the same sort of opportunities their parents had. they're worried about, you know, obviously, a.i. and so you can feel that anxiety when you talk to people on the streets. and this was america weighing in in dramatic fashion and, again, giving democrats the opportunity now to bring down the cost of health care, to deliver for the american people. and so, look, this was absolutely, as ron desantis said, an ele, an extinction-level event for the republicans. you're looking at historic numbers in the house, historic numbers in the senate over the last several decades. we got to use that majority for positive change for the american people.” Wolf: “the vice president, j.d. vance, is blaming the iran war for the republicans' midterm losses. here's what the president said about that. listen to this.” The president: “i think it's largely true because it drove the gasoline up a little bit short term. and probably that's probably true, but at the same time, if i had it to do again, i'd have to do it again because long term, it's the only answer. you can't let iran have a nuclear weapon. probably that's the primary reason. the price, not the war, the price.” Wolf: “what do you make, congressman, of the president's comments?” Jared Moskowitz: “well, i mean, look, there's no doubt that the price of the iran war has drove up prices. you absolutely. but, you know, let's not i'm not letting the administration off the hook. that is the price the tariffs drove up prices even before the iran war. i mean, they have driven up the prices, both j.d. vance and president trump. they said they were going to lower prices. it was the reason why they won the election two years ago. and the reason why they lost the midterms is because prices are more expensive than when they came into office. but look, j.d. vance sounds like tucker carlson. i mean, you know, he's he's just on the tucker carlson talking points, you know, blaming this and blaming that. take some responsibility. you guys said affordability was a hoax. you said that everything was great. the iran war would only take six weeks. you denied the struggle of the american people. you didn't want to admit that people are facing increased costs. ok. they know it. they see it every day when they go to the grocery store. they don't they don't see partisanship or parties when they go in the grocery store. they see prices. and so, you know, they tried to do this, you know, sales pitch to the american people. but, you know, the bill comes due every month. and the people saw what was happening in this country and they ignored it and downplayed it while they were, you know, obviously, you know, spending hundreds of millions of dollars wanting to build arches in washington, d.c.” Wolf: “as i mentioned, you're a member of the house foreign affairs committee. what's the appetite like right now to launch a full scale investigation into the trump administration over the entire iran war?” Jared Moskowitz: “well, look, well, i think we have to focus on affordability. that's what this election was about. i think the reason why we're winning races in places that we haven't won in 90 years, like kansas, is because the american people are giving us an opportunity to make sure that we work for them and bring down costs again. you know, they want restoration. they want results. this listen. this is not about revenge. now, that doesn't mean there shouldn't be oversight there. there will be oversight, because at the end of the day, if people are struggling and they see the president get a free plane from qatar, they got questions. you know, if you're struggling out there, you're working two jobs, you can barely pay your bills and you see people in the administration making billions of dollars, they have questions. and so oversight is related to affordability. and so but i think we got to go to washington and we got to in the first hundred days, pass bills in the house, pass bills in the senate, put those bills on the president's desk to bring down costs for the american people.” Wolf: “and he's threatening to veto a lot of that legislation. as you will well know, you need a two thirds majority in the house and the senate to override a presidential veto. you're going to get enough republicans to join the democrats in trying to override his vetoes?” Jared Moskowitz: “well, that'll be up to them or they can join their friends in two years. but i look, if the president really wrote the book, the art of the deal, he has a unique opportunity to show us that, you know, he can make a deal. we'll put bills on his desk that can lower the cost of the american people. it's his choice to sign him or veto him. if he signs him, great. we have a policy win for the american people. if he vetoes it, we'll hold republicans accountable in two years. but we got to put those bills on his desk and let's let's see if we can make a deal. let's see if he actually wrote that book.” Wolf: “that's clearly your priority right now. all right, congressman jared moskowitz of florida, thanks very much. and once again, congratulations on your win.”
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KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKIKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKLKKKLLLLKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK ESSA É A MAIOR HUMILHAÇÃO QUE EU JA VI NA VIDA
GENTE? Após prometerem entrevista CHOCANTE para o The New York Times, Flávio Bolsonaro vira CHACOTA no maior jornal do mundo: "Como Flávio fugiu do Brasil? De Miami, ele insiste em alegações infundadas de fraude eleitoral e planeja influenciar a política do país à distância."
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Inclusive, não acreditei e fui checar e é verdade 💀
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GENTE? Todo mundo abandonando o navio…
🇺🇸 Marco Rubio, secretário de Estado dos EUA, estaria avaliando deixar o governo Trump após a derrota do Partido Republicano nas eleições de meio de mandato, informa Bloomberg.
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Imprensa tá sendo muito legal com o governo em não rodar que o Lula tá recebendo o lobista. Muito legal mesmo…
Guido Mantega, ex-ministro da Fazenda, responsável pela Nova Matriz Econômica, que nos levou à pior crise econômica da história do Brasil (2015–2016), e "consultor" do Banco Master, será um dos economistas recebidos por Lula em uma reunião hoje. Sim, Lula leva ele a sério.
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Ain ministro……
olhem o que o haddad republicou
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Vão levar chapisco e com muita razão. Porra não tem um indivíduo pra avisar não?
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Chamaram o Mercadante e Guido Mantega
➡️ EDUARDO GAYER | Lula convoca reunião para discutir avanço da dívida pública #sbtnews Haddad, Durigan e Alckmin estarão presentes; Fonteles, cotado para a Fazenda, não participa sbtnews.sbt.com.br/colunas/c…
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