Maple retweeted
Lineup alert: Knicks list starters as Brunson, Bridges, Hart, Anunoby, Towns on Friday.
when will the first scandal hit where an nba role player rigged his overs by shooting the ball every time he touches it?
Maple retweeted
Biggest travesty in college football history.
Everyone associated with the video review should get life in prison.
may i recommend
American odds are no longer available on Novig.
While percentages may not be native for sports fans today, moving away from sportsbook-style odds is another step toward building a product that looks like what it is: a financial market.
We are committed to making the transition seamless for our members. If you're used to American odds, our team built a tool to help make the switch: tools.novig.com/odds-calcula…
There's a lot to say about the new @Kalshi maker fees. But I think it's valuable to look at a tangible example. Say a user wants a 2 leg uncorrelated combo of 50-50 legs, fair price 25%. A maker is willing to go for the lowest positive margin possible. The economics of the trade for each side:
Maker:
-quotes 25.8c to the taker
-pays fee 0.68c
-all in cost of 74.88c (fv 75c)
-profits 0.12c per share
Taker (who doesn't even get any indication in their slip that they are paying fees at all):
-quote comes in at 25.8c
-pays fee of 1.34c
-all in cost of 27.14c
-loses 7.9% of every dollar they put in
Kalshi:
-collects 2.02c/share without taking any risk in the transaction
For those of us who used to do this thing called sports betting, you might also call that +268. The classic sports betting example would be parlaying 2 -110 legs at +264. Plus you could get some crowns, odds boosts, and other fun perks.
Was @mattkalish right the whole time?
A 55% candidate wins a presidential election: Kalshi called it! Get your news on Kalshi!
A 5% candidate wins:
Yesterday Kalshi priced the Wisconsin Democratic Primary at 95–5. The 5% candidate won.
Before the "prediction markets got it wrong" headlines roll in: a 5% probability doesn't mean it won't happen. It means it should happen 1 in 20 times. If 5% candidates never won, the markets would be broken.
The Washington Post analyzed prediction market calibration on hundreds of primary races — here's what they found:
greatest hedging opportunity of my life
The 2026 World Cup was the largest financial event sports has seen to date
$40B in GDP impact. $10.5B on ad placements. $500M in kit sponsorships
Exposure that has historically been expensive to price and difficult to hedge
Kalshi markets change that: kalshi.com/wc-hedge
Maple retweeted
This is why people call sportsbooks a scam ‼️
My Discord subscriber had a $45,000 Argentina World Cup future with @bet365.
Bet365 limited his account, voided the bet, told him to place the same bet on a new account at the original odds, then restricted that account so he couldn’t place it.
They then closed his complaint. Btw, a multi-billion-dollar sportsbook trying to dodge a $45,000 payout is greedy af.
@bet365 Explain this shit 🤨
