"ะ‘ะฐะนะดะตะฝ: ะฟะพั‚ะพะปะพะบ ั†ะตะฝ ะฝะฐ ั€ะพััะธะนัะบัƒัŽ ะฝะตั„ั‚ัŒ ัƒะดะตัˆะตะฒะธั‚ ั‚ะพะฟะปะธะฒะพ ะฒ ะกะจะ" ๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚ ะ’ั€ะตั‚ ะบะฐะบ ะดั‹ัˆะธั‚! ะ“ะปะฐะฒะฝะพะต ะกะŸ2 ะฝะต ะทะฐะฟัƒัะบะฐั‚ัŒ, ั‡ั‚ะพะฑั‹ ั†ะตะฝั‹ ะฝะฐ ะฝะตั„ั‚ะตะณะฐะท ะฒ ะผะธั€ะต ะพะฟัั‚ัŒ ะฝะต ั…ะปะพะฟะฝัƒะปะธััŒ. ะŸั€ะธ "ะฟะพั‚ะพะปะบะต ั†ะตะฝ" ะ ะค ัะพะบั€ะฐั‚ะธั‚ ะดะพะฑั‹ั‡ัƒ, ะดะตั„ะธั†ะธั‚ ะฐั€ะฐะฑั‹ ะฑั‹ัั‚ั€ะพ ะฝะต ะฟะพะบั€ะพัŽั‚... ...ััƒะฟะตั€ะฟั€ะพั„ะธั‚! (ะ•ะก ะพะฟะปะฐั‚ะธั‚๐Ÿ˜‰)
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๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—น๐—น retweeted
US President Joe Biden and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. A โ€œpariahโ€ heโ€™s not | #OOTT
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๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—น๐—น retweeted
#Euro on course to parity: Common currency just hit a fresh 20y low at $1.0053.
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๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—น๐—น retweeted
Good Morning from Germany where Target2 balance rose by โ‚ฌ54bn in Jun due to rising stress in Eurozone w/10y Italy risk spread temporarily jumped >240bps for 1st time since 2020. Target2 claims of Bundesbank on rest of Eurosystem now โ‚ฌ1.2tn, meaning substantial risks for Germany
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BREAKING: German benchmark 1-year forward electricity contract surges to an all-time high above โ‚ฌ340 per MWh. At current price levels, German manufacturing is going to crumble. Last week's @opinion column warning about the crisis: bloomberg.com/opinion/articlโ€ฆ #Germany ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ”Œ๐Ÿชซ
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We predicted Euro zone recession and Euro going to parity shortly after Russia invaded Ukraine. Yesterday's trade deficit for Germany is a reminder how profound fallout for Germany and Europe will be. The business model of past decades - based on cheap Russian energy - is over...
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๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—น๐—น retweeted
Buying price support in 2022:
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๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—น๐—น retweeted
Germany's growth model has been to import cheap energy from Russia, use that to assemble manufactured goods and export those goods to the rest of the world. While Germany now seeks new energy suppliers, its trade balance and that of the Euro zone will look ugly. That's all...
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๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—น๐—น retweeted
โ€œOil and gas capital spending fell by over 60% between 2010 and 2020. Investment in the US shales fell by over 70%. Over that entire period, the cumulative reduction in capital spending compared to trend was more than $1 tr.โ€ blog.gorozen.com/blog/runninโ€ฆ
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Replying to @JavierBlas
There's a structural problem Germany is waking up to: the competitiveness of its heavy, energy-intensive industry (chemicals, engineering, metals) is based in no small part on cheap Russian gas; take that away, and made-in-Germany may not that different to, ehem, made-in-Spain
ะšะพะผะฟะฐะฝะธั Samsung Electronics ะพะฑัŒัะฒะธะปะฐ ะพ ะทะฐะฟัƒัะบะต 3-ะฝะผ ั‚ะตั…ะฝะพะปะพะณะธั‡ะตัะบะพะณะพ ะฟั€ะพั†ะตััะฐย ั ะฟั€ะธะผะตะฝะตะฝะธะตะผ ั‚ั€ะฐะฝะทะธัั‚ะพั€ะฝะพะนย ะฐั€ั…ะธั‚ะตะบั‚ัƒั€ั‹ย "Gate-All-Around". TSMC ะทะฐะฟัƒัั‚ะธั‚ 3-ะฝะผ ั‡ะธะฟั‹ ะฒ ะผะฐััะพะฒะพะต ะฟั€ะพะธะทะฒะพะดัั‚ะฒะพ ั‚ะพะปัŒะบะพ ะฒะพ ะฒั‚ะพั€ะพะน ะฟะพะปะพะฒะธะฝะต ั‚ะตะบัƒั‰ะตะณะพ ะณะพะดะฐ. ะงั‚ะพ ะธ ะบะพะณะดะฐ ะฟะพ ัั‚ะพะน ั‚ะตะผะต ะทะฐะฟัƒัั‚ัั‚ ะฒ ะ ะค, ะฝะตะฟะพะฝัั‚ะฝะพ.
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๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—น๐—น retweeted
OPEC Spare Capacity Is Smaller Than Market Expects: Shell CEO
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COLUMN: Can Saudi Aramco meet its oil output promises and pump 11-12m b/d? "Regardless of the true potential production number, one thing is clear: the days when Aramco could easily pump more and more barrels are over." #SaudiArabia #OOTT via @opinion bloomberg.com/opinion/articlโ€ฆ
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๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—น๐—น retweeted
All signs are beginning to show that inventory is rising in the housing market and prices have peaked. A drop in the housing market is the final piece to the puzzle. Itโ€™s time to rip the bandage off and let this economic cycle take its course. A recession is now inevitable.
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Biden was counting on Arab nations to produce more oil but a few hours ago French President Macron was overheard telling Biden that the United Arab Emirates is at max capacity & the Saudis canโ€™t produce much more. It appears to be a direct appeal to Biden to produce more oil.
๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—น๐—น retweeted
COLUMN: European manufacturing is crumbling under the weight of sustained high electricity and gas prices. The months-long crisis that many industrialists penciled into their plans has morphed into a years-long problem. Closures loom | via @opinion bloomberg.com/opinion/articlโ€ฆ
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Dallas Fed: "We see the environment for the oil industry becoming even worse than the previous months. Biden is promoting a very caustic attitude toward the oil industry, which doesnโ€™t help the country in any way."
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ICYMI: I took a look at OPEC+ behind-the-curtains talks for post-August oil output increases. Spoiler: spare production capacity is coming down very, very, very fast | via @opinion #OOTT bloomberg.com/opinion/articlโ€ฆ
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