#rstats, maths, science, quirky stuff, and Aussie Rules football. @MatterOfStats@aus.social on mastodon @matterofstats.bsky.social on Bluesky
Australia
Joined February 2010
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Drip-feeding the following season's men's AFL fixture over the course of a few weeks around October each year - thoughts?
17%It heightens interest
28%It's meh
55%It looks amateurish
53 votes • Final results Tony Corke retweeted
I once tried to explain Bayesian reasoning at a dinner party. By dessert, everyone had updated their beliefs about inviting me again.
Innovation idea: when DRS comes down to Umpire’s Call there should be a coin toss to determine the outcome
Every time a commentator questions the WinViz win probability, we need to stop and make them provide an alternative estimate and see if they’re better calibrated in the long run
Tony Corke retweeted
I wanted NBA tracking data I couldn’t afford.
So I wrote a C# scraper and put 632 games on GitHub in 2015.
A decade later: at least 49 research works have used it, including 5 @SloanSportsConf studies and papers at @NeurIPSConf, @icmlconf, @iclr_conf & @CVPR.
The story:
Tony Corke retweeted
Final 8 teams vs each other in 2026
NTH 5-1 234.84%
GEEL 3-1 117.04%
MELB 3-2 108.06%
WBD 3-4 80.58%
CARL 2-3 82.76%
HAW 2-3 78.97%
GCS 1-2 92.31%
SYD 0-3 42.63%
#AFLW @aflwomens
Tony Corke retweeted
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers just won a game without completing a single pass, that’s right zero completions! First time this has happened in 52 years
The rushed for over 300 yards & held the Falcons scoreless
Latest WoSHBODS sims are up
matterofstats.com/aflw-1/202…
Inspired by a map from earlier today, here are maps of Australia carved up into 3 x 3 degree blocks and choosing the most populace place inside each cell
WoSHBODS R12 results are up
matterofstats.com/aflw-1/202…
The MoS 2027 SoS Blog post is up. Settle in - it's a long one
matterofstats.com/mafl-stats…
