Mark Petersen (@mspetersenpicks) header
Mark Petersen (@mspetersenpicks) profile picture

Product manager. Hobby investor. On a journey trying to be courageous and seek the truth. One investment at a time. Long $NVDA $TSLA $PLTR $RKLB $LMND $SQ

Nørrebro
Joined April 2010
Photo by Mark Petersen (@mspetersenpicks)Photo by Mark Petersen (@mspetersenpicks)Photo by Mark Petersen (@mspetersenpicks)Photo by Mark Petersen (@mspetersenpicks)Photo by Mark Petersen (@mspetersenpicks)Photo by Mark Petersen (@mspetersenpicks)Photo by Mark Petersen (@mspetersenpicks)Photo by Mark Petersen (@mspetersenpicks)Photo by Mark Petersen (@mspetersenpicks)Photo by Mark Petersen (@mspetersenpicks)
My principles for life, work and investments:
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Mark Petersen retweeted
✅ Neutron’s Stage 1 Forward Dome has been built and cured. The dome has come off the AFP machine as planned and completed its heat and pressure processing cycle to cure the carbon composite material. Next step: analysis and material tests to confirm quality and strength, before it moves to the next phase of Stage 1 tank assembly.
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Mark Petersen retweeted
Triple digits unlocked. 💯🚀 The 100th Electron has left the factory, headed for launch. Thank you and congratulations to the many people behind this rocket, and the 99 before it.
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Keep them updates coming 🚀
Neutron’s Stage 2 and Thrust Module have arrived to Virginia. After a short barge ride from the Neutron Factory, these major assemblies have now been offloaded on Wallops Island and are going through arrival checkouts. Next up: integrated fluids testing and launch mount interface checkouts for the Thrust Module, with Stage 2 to follow on the test stand beside it soon after.
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Mark Petersen retweeted
It’s a beautiful day to set sail with the next pieces of Neutron flight hardware to Launch Complex 3. Earlier today we sent Neutron’s Stage 2 and Thrust Module out of the Neutron Factory and onto a barge for transport through Chesapeake Bay to Wallops Island in Virginia. Once it arrives, the Thrust Module will go straight onto the launch mount at LC-3 for check outs and the beginning of wider systems demonstrations including integrated fluids tests and module-to-launch-mount interface checkouts. With no strongback on the launch mount by design, Neutron’s Thrust Module is the rocket’s only physical interface to the launch pad, which this upcoming test campaign enables us to test early before the entire vehicle comes together.
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Mark Petersen retweeted
The Neutron team hit some big milestones this week, working around the clock to bring the world's largest carbon composite reusable rocket to life. Take a look inside our Neutron Factory in Maryland 👇
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“My advantage is not IQ. It’s ‘trigger pulling.’” — Stanley Druckenmiller
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300 🚗🤖🖥️🛜
Tesla has officially confirmed that their active Cybercab Robotaxi fleet has exceeded 300. This is the first time Tesla has confirmed any active Cybercab fleet number.
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Yet another $RKLB fan - for good reason!
$RKLB Cathie Wood is very bullish on Rocket Lab. For good reason. "As the Falcon 9 phases out [...] This is going to open an incredible opportunity for Rocket Lab." 👀 She also recently visited Peter Beck in New Zealand: "For us, meeting founders, looking at the conviction in their eyes, adds to our own conviction in its opportunity set. So pretty excited about Rocket Lab." I know Cathie is a bit controversial and just because she's bullish doesn't mean the stock will go up. But I do think she's spot on about the opportunity ahead for Rocket Lab!
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Lord Elon Musk, Scam Altman, and Dario requesting GPUs from King Jensen is absolutely hilarious 😂
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I am a retail investor who has been investing more seriously since 2019 with a CAGR on ~19% since. I am now wondering whether a good imagination combined with a long-term mindset and critical thinking can be enough to beat the market, or if I have just been lucky. What’s your take?
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Mark Petersen retweeted
We've just signed Electron's largest commercial launch contract ever: 20x new launches with Earth-observation constellation operator @synspective 🚀🦉 That brings the total number of Synspective launches on Electron to 47 - the most of any Rocket Lab launch customer. We're proud to continue building out their low Earth orbit constellation through to 2031.
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Craaaazy times
Hardly anyone on Earth understands the magnitude of this. It's actually happening right now. Crazy that we get to witness it close up.
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Mark Petersen retweeted
Epic
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Mark Petersen retweeted
AMD’s market cap has now risen 100x from $10 billion to $1 Trillion since Sky Sports asked Lisa Su if she could “speak English” at the starting grid during 2018 F1 Chinese Grand Prix.
BREAKING: Advanced Micro Devices stock, $AMD, officially crosses above $1 trillion in market cap for the first time in history. This puts the stock up +30,400% over the last 10 years. $10,000 invested in AMD in 2016 would be worth $3,050,000 today.
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Mark Petersen retweeted
Tom Lee said today on CNBC: “Q4 will be the start of one of the biggest market rallies in our lifetime”
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Mic drop moment from Zuck: "Meta delayed shipping Muse for several months to focus on safety and security. We didn't call for everyone else to do this before we would. We just did it as part of our day-to-day work because it was clearly the right thing for people and for us." Long $META
Last month I wrote about how we can build a positive and safe future for everyone: meta.com/thefutureisforevery… Every lab has the responsibility and incentive to move at the pace required to train its models safely, and the ability to take its own actions to ensure that happens. The reality is: - People won't want to use agents that are misaligned with them and that don't do what they ask, so labs have a strong natural incentive to make their models more aligned. There is a lot of debate about slowing progress on capabilities until alignment catches up. My view is that trust and alignment are quickly becoming the most important capabilities that will differentiate agents and models. Any lab that doesn't focus on alignment will fall behind. - Labs face significant liability if their models cause harm, so they have a strong incentive to prevent this as well. Meta delayed shipping Muse for several months to focus on safety and security. We didn't call for everyone else to do this before we would. We just did it as part of our day-to-day work because it was clearly the right thing for people and for us. I'm proud of the security foundations we've built. - Engaging independent evaluators and advisors is industry best practice. MSL already does this today in several areas because it helps produce better work. Other labs can just do this too. In general, it would be helpful for there to be a larger and more diverse ecosystem of evaluators. - Committing the significant majority of compute towards serving people rather than racing towards recursive self-improvement is one of the best ways to ensure we develop this technology safely. Meta has made this commitment and other labs can do this as well. I believe the key to building a positive future for everyone is maintaining the right balance of power. This is within our power to do.
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Mark Petersen retweeted
this is why all the climate doomers will be wrong. we will be able to engineer our way out of a lot of our climate problems > Rainmaker just became the first company to prove it had created extra rain and snow in Alaska > in just three hours, they produced ~19M gallons of water, enough to supply 150 American households for an entire year, with just two drones!! > the drones find clouds already holding water and help that water fall as rain or snow > covering Utah’s entire 7,500-square-mile Bear River Basin will take 36 drones working in relays, and the same model can be repeated across the mountain ranges feeding the Colorado River > the extra snow melts into streams and reservoirs, supplying farms, cities and hydropower through the dry months > Rainmaker’s goal is to stop the Great Salt Lake from shrinking by 2030 and double the Colorado River’s flow by 2031 > now imagine this at full scale... they'll basically turn the sky itself into a tool for fighting drought, empty reservoirs, shrinking glaciers, damaged ecosystems, and wildfire risk
Rainmaker just produced ~19M gallons of water in Alaska via next-gen cloud seeding over 3 hours of operations. We are the first company to provably produce precipitation in Alaska. As promised, we’ve linked our white paper and relevant data. In the future, Rainmaker will protect and restore glaciers with man-made snowfall. Immediately, this demonstration shows how Rainmaker will add new water to the Colorado River and Great Salt Lake in the coming months. We turned around this analysis and white paper just a couple days after operating. There are many data sources I want to deepen our understanding of the atmosphere and increase our provable production; we’re building the instruments to collect that data in subsequent operations. But at Rainmaker, we won’t tout LOIs, simulations, or lab tests. What matters is physically measuring that you’ve affected the atmosphere; proving that we’ve produced water. We prefer sharing only the tech that has proven to make more water for farms, industries, and ecosystems in need. Expect a regular cadence of these from us as we build the best atmospheric science lab in the world. Feedback is welcome in the interim. Rainmaker Century. rainmaker.com/blog/alaska-va…
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Mark Petersen retweeted
$RKLB How it started vs. how it's going:
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Mark Petersen retweeted
Recently our Hungry Hippo reusable fairing received its thermal protection, control surfaces, and avionics and fluid systems 🦛 Now it's on an outside excursion ready to undergo further testing before flight one. Check out the latest pics.
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SBP for prez
$RKLB — Bloomberg Interview Q1. Can you clarify the confusion about Neutron? Yesterday, it seemed like you were pushing back the launch date a little bit. Is Neutron still on track to launch from its launch pad in 2026? Peter Beck: I think the headlines overblew it a little bit. What I said is that it's getting a little tighter to get a launch away this year. That's just being honest and transparent. It's a rocket program. These are very difficult and complex programs. Our intention is to push hard and try to get the first flight away this year. But I think the real question that should be asked is: What about the 10th flight? The first flight is obviously important, but flight number 10 is really important because that shows you've reached scale, cadence, and reusability. That's the most important thing for the whole program. Q2. You mentioned cadence. Tell us a bit about how you're thinking about cadence going forward. Is there a viable path to getting to a regular cadence? Peter Beck: If you look at our current vehicle, Electron, we actually scaled that faster than any other rocket in history. We went from zero to 50 flights in the shortest time in history, and we're on track to get to 100 flights in the shortest time in history with that vehicle as well. So we know a thing or two about taking a rocket, putting it on the pad, and flying it over and over again. Neutron is really important for a few reasons. A lot of people focus on it filling a gap and providing competition for Falcon 9, which is an important part of its job. But Rocket Lab is an end-to-end space company. We build satellites both for ourselves and for other people. With the pending acquisition of Iridium, we really need a rocket to launch our own satellites. At least 50% of Neutron's capacity is going to be consumed by ourselves. Q3. SpaceX was able to raise a huge amount of cash recently. How do you intend to continue raising cash to fund some of these expensive endeavors? Peter Beck: I think we're a little different from SpaceX. Elon has very grand aspirations that require a lot of cash. For us, we're in the business of getting to cash-flow positivity as quickly as we can. If you look at some of the acquisitions we've done in the past and those we're about to do, they put us in that realm very quickly. We have a very different profile from the other big rocket companies. I'm certainly not one of the richest people in the world, and our competitors have a totally different cost and sense of capital. We've always been the rocket company that has had to be very commercial from day one. We're focused on building a good, solid business and a commercial enterprise that's enduring and making money. Q4. I look at the reported backlog of $2.36 billion with 90-plus launches. How should investors look at that backlog? At what point does it become something that should raise concern if it gets too large? Peter Beck: Everybody loves a great big backlog. Between the last quarter and now, we added nearly $1 billion of backlog to the company. Backlog is a great metric, but execution is the true measure. If you look at the company, I think we've established ourselves as very strong executors. Throughout our history, we do what we say we're going to do. Q5. The Iridium deal, which is pending completion, potentially opens the door for direct-to-device products. How do you see that opportunity, particularly against competitors? Peter Beck: I've been saying this for many years, and I think evidence from other companies has proven it out: the really large space companies of the future are going to look a little bit the same. They're going to have the ability to build satellites at scale, launch their own satellites with their own rockets, and have a communications business. Iridium is the entry point for us. It's by no means the endpoint. One of the reasons we like the Iridium platform so much is that it has a very unique spectrum. Its L-band spectrum allows you to do very unique things. Iridium has built an amazing business around safety-critical, defense-critical, and critical-infrastructure applications. That's something that will continue to grow. I don't think you're going to see us going head-to-head in the broadband market. That's very well served and is a tough place to be. But I think there's a tremendous opportunity in some of these more discrete and unique areas of the communications market. Q6. Talk to us about the Kepler deal, which you announced yesterday. Kepler Communications purchased a dedicated Neutron launch for no earlier than 2028. How important is that to the business? Peter Beck: It's funny because naturally a lot of people would expect that we should sell all of the rockets we have for eternity. If we were just a rocket company, that would be a great assumption. But we have to make sure that we have rockets left in production and available to launch our own missions, as well as for some of our defense customers who need assured access to space. Right now, I've never seen the rocket and launch industry so constrained. For us, we're extremely selective about who we give this very valuable Neutron capacity to. It was great to have the Kepler team on contract. We've known that team for a very long time. But it is a very constrained environment right now, and we have to navigate it carefully. Q7. What's the detailed plan for getting to cash-flow positive? Is it just a matter of time? Peter Beck: Yes, absolutely. Neutron, after we have the first flight and then move into commercial flights, is a huge inflection point for the company. And, of course, an acquisition like Iridium would do that immediately. So we have a fairly short time horizon to reaching cash-flow positivity. Q8. Looking at the acquisitions of Mynaric, Motive, and Iridium, are you hungry for more deals, or is there a pause in terms of the company's acquisitive stance? Peter Beck: Never done, never done. All of those acquisitions have been very strategic. I think launch creates a tremendous moat, and everybody can see that. It's the big show in the sky. But actually, we've acquired a whole bunch of component companies and scaled those. Components are just as much of a moat. No matter how much capital you have, if you just turn up and say, "I want to build a thousand satellites," you can't, because there isn't a supply chain there to provide all of the components for the spacecraft. For us, that's not a constraint, of course. But for other people entering the market, it's a huge constraint. So you'll continue to see us tackling those smaller deals on the side. Deals like Iridium certainly aren't going to be the last. And you shouldn't think of us as the L-band communications company. This is the first of many, I would say.
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