@pableauxi
iAccount based inCanada
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Old guy. Not an authority on anything. Indignant about everything.
Vancouver, British Columbia
Joined May 2025
- Tweets1K
- Following560
- Followers32
- Likes3K
Pableaux Wilson retweeted
You must understand, France is the Schrödinger's cat of countries. It is simultaneously both the most right-wing and left-wing country in Europe, both the most innovative and most stagnant, the most complacent and most ambitious.
French President Macron:
China is massacring our industrial base — partly through innovation after Covid, but also by subsidizing its companies eight times the OECD average.
That is not acceptable. We are not respecting the rules of the game, and we are not protecting our companies.
We Europeans have been naive. We said: "We are open to everyone because we want to trade with others."
But in reality, we are doing much less trade with others.
Pableaux Wilson retweeted
I legitimately have an affliction where every single time this video pops up on my twitter feed, no matter what and even though I’ve seen it hundreds of times, I’m compelled to watch it again.
Pableaux Wilson retweeted
Remember in 2019 when central banks were literally begging governments to spend more because they didn't think they could ever hit their 2% inflation targets? That when we knew we were about to enter a secular bear market in bonds
Of late European sovereigns move in the same direction.
Not this week. German 10 Year down 2bp. Netherlands -1bp. Swiss -8. Spain +6. Italy +9. France +15. US +12.
Pableaux Wilson retweeted
60% of the S&P 500 is in a BEAR market.
For many, it’s a DEEP bear market.
HT: @DonDurrett
People often ask me whether I worry about how frothy the market is.
I tell them, "Stocks have already crashed."
Inside the market, there is a crash. That doesn't mean they can't crash more. But tons of well-known stocks are down 50, 70, or 90% from their highs. It is hard to see at the overall market level because, at the same time, some big companies have become giants, offsetting losses in the index.
I'm not just talking about the SaaS massacre - stocks of many companies that are generally regarded as excellent businesses have been smashed, and almost nobody notices.
I've never seen anything like it: the index is so strong, but so many quality constituents are so weak.
From ATHs:
Nike: -84%
McDonalds: -31%
CarMax: -63%
PayPal: -83%
Pepsi: -34%
Disney: -50%
Dick's: -46%
Wendy's: -75%
Charter: -72%
T. Rowe Price: -52%
Campbell's: -71%
Constellation Software: -46%
Kraft Heinz: -70%
Fiserv: -80%
Home Depot: -35%
Hershey's: -40%
Alibaba: -65%
Otis: -35%
Lululemon: -80%
Rollins: -51%
Wingstop: -77%
Boeing: -55%
Lyft: -78%
The Trade Desk: -91%
Most of those are trading near multi-year lows. These were, and generally remain, large, "good" companies.
Now go look at smaller, lower-quality companies, and you will see some crazy sh!t.
There is carnage out there.
Pableaux Wilson retweeted
Don't believe the propaganda on MAID.
In 2021, the average recipient was 76.3 years old. Almost two-thirds had cancer, 19% had cardiovascular conditions, 12% had neurological conditions and 8% had organ failure.
This is a humane, rational program that is working about as well as any government program can possibly work.
People hate it for religious reasons, and want to force others to suffer indefinitely for no good reason.
Opposition to MAID is evil. richardhanania.com/p/canadia…
Pableaux Wilson retweeted
Exceptionally heavy El Niño rains have triggered millions of dormant seeds beneath the soil, transforming vast stretches of one of the world’s driest regions into a spectacular carpet of flowers. 🌸🌸🌸
The Atacama Desert, one of the driest places on Earth, has been dramatically transformed following heavy rainfall in northern Chile. Areas that are typically barren and parched are now covered in vibrant violet and white blossoms, a rare natural phenomenon known as the “flowering desert.”🏵️🏵️🏵️
Pableaux Wilson retweeted
GUNDLACH: “We’re in backward land.”
@TruthGundlach @business
I must make a special effort to listen to this
Tom Lee & Dan Ives Explain Everything
@Downtown and @michaelbatnick are joined by @DivesTech and @fundstrat to break down the AI boom, rising rates, Nvidia, the U.S. vs. China AI race, robotics, software, blockchain, Apple, Palantir, and what’s next for the bull market👀
Pableaux Wilson retweeted
For years I wrote that Le Pen was the most "popular" politician in France
The caveat was that she was also the most "unpopular" with very high rejection rates
She's now the most popular and the least unpopular of the presidential frontrunners
Melenchon on an island of his own
Pableaux Wilson retweeted
I continue to think the fact the president is a lunatic is the biggest story in politics. Your mileage may vary.
This club has no shame.
theguardian.com/football/202…
Pableaux Wilson retweeted
BREAKING: The 30Y Treasury yield has traded above 5.00% for 56 trading days so far in 2026, the longest such streak in any year since 2006.
The 30Y Treasury yield has also stayed above this threshold for 41 consecutive trading sessions.
By comparison, 2023 saw only 7 such days, while 2007 recorded 50 days.
This comes as the 30Y Treasury yield has surged +47 basis points year-to-date to 5.28% and hit its highest level since 2007.
As a result, the 30Y Treasury yield has averaged 4.96% so far in 2026, on track for its highest annual level since 2004.
If the year ends at current levels, this would mark the 6th consecutive annual increase, with the yield more than triple its 2020 level of ~1.50%.
Higher for longer is here to stay.
I’m not sure it’s a tragedy but these are fascinating.
Our great national tragedy:
"Today, most U.S. counties depend on a level of government transfer income that was once reserved only for the most distressed places. In 1970, not even 1 percent of counties derived a quarter or more of their total personal income from transfers. In 2000, just 10.4 percent did. But by 2022, 53 percent of counties were receiving a quarter or more of their income from transfers."
- @InnovateEconomy
For at least the past year every bond guy I have heard or read has said they are short duration. So why is everyone so shocked by higher yields. Am I the only one who pays attention to these nerds? (Yes, probably.)
Pableaux Wilson retweeted
Yeah, I don't know if it's because the Americans don't get our sense of humour, or whatever. But nobody is mad about this. We're all laughing and then feeling a little bad about laughing because it's unkind to laugh about mental and imperial decline.