Just an ordinary advocate for a single payer healthcare program. Also we can't have another Iraq. #M4A#NoWarWithIran
Joined August 2019
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Thought experiment: Imagine a swing voter weighing whether to vote D or R. They're given this chart of about ~50 issues. They're asked to pick the top 5 issues for why they'd choose D over R. Then pick another top 5 for why they'd choose R over D. Which issues would they choose?
Using some preliminary data (from Merkalto), It looks like Crowley won 5 of the 8 districts under my map (as opposed to 4 under the current map). Also congressional dems won the 8th under my map. Very likely Wisconsin would be sending 5 Dems to congress under fair maps.
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Red-state dem senators simply cannot be relied on. It has to be 50+1 votes to pass legislation. It’s the only way 95%+ of what we want will ever pass. You have to minimize reliance on red-state Dems as much as possible. We cannot make the same mistakes as Obama and Biden.
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I should be on record for this. A talking filibuster is not good enough. Southern Democrats were able to kill tons of Civil Rights legislation through the talking filibuster during Jim Crow. And it wastes too much time. There’s so much reform needed and little time to waste.
As long as dems get a good pres. nominee (someone who's net popular in the country) we should get a trifecta pretty easily. Besides that the main priority for 2028 should be to expand the senate majority as much as possible. ~R+20 states or bluer should field strong candidates.
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On average I think the new weighing by the NYT/Siena polls was a good idea. The old weighing was still less accurate than the new weighing. They should continue with it for 2028.
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To illustrate just how hard 2028 will be for the GOP, they could win the presidency in 2028 with the environment being ~R+3 and still lose both the house and the senate.
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I would very much like our politics to move pass reconciliation and omnibus bills. The filibuster should end and the almost all of our bills should be single subject. Omnibus bills and reconciliation cost way too much time and often don't deliver for the amount of time wasted.
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I think El-Sayed has a good plan in terms of things we should push to become law next congress.
-Ending the war
-Ending the tariffs and trade war
-Reversing the Medicaid cuts
I’d also add in AI regulation, permitting reform, and anti-corruption legislation.
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I haven’t taken a look yet but in terms of error the pollsters look like they did worse than 2016 and maybe not as bad as 2020. The generic ballot miss from a lot of pollsters is particularly egregious and that might be even worse than 2020.
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I think this election changed my perspective on ad spending. As long as a candidate gets a baseline of spending to get some level of ad saturation, candidate quality and aligning with voters on issues matters 10x more than a money advantage or being even close to money parity.
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I know people talk about dummymanders but if we had fair maps across the country, democrats probably win 280-290 house seats minimum this election. We still need to pass national redistricting reform. We have until 2030 to do so but we should probably do it right now.
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Dems should get rid of the filibuster next year instead of waiting for a trifecta in 2029 and I'll explain why. Looking at the map, we'll likely hold the house and senate until at least 2030. If Dems win the presidency that's 2 years with a trifecta. That's not a lot of time./1
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We also need to pass legislation beyond just institutional reforms that will address voter's material concerns with the economy, prices, energy, healthcare, housing, the war, etc. Even if Trump vetoes most of those./8
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