@ruibeepi
iAccount based inNetherlands
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Bootstrapping a non-profit library. Using AI to design a house without previous architecture experience. What could go wrong? 🤣
Joined June 2009
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Even when talking to people with technical backgrounds an extremely common misconception I encounter is that a sonic boom is a singular, instantaneous event that occurs when a vehicle exceeds Mach 1
In reality anything moving faster than the speed of sound creates more of a "boom carpet" that follows like a shadow anywhere it travels. As long as you are moving at supersonic speed, you're creating a sonic boom that will be heard below...
Rui retweeted
Hate comments are lazy metabolic energy.
Thoughtful comments require suppression of the lizard brain, higher order cognition and expending metabolic energy.
Akin to sitting on the couch vs lifting something heavy.
Here is the entire install video. Having a hard time now getting the mouse to work. Probably a skill issue. @OmarchyLinux
Rui retweeted
Grok Bot Summary of Elon Musk’s G20 Address Today 🇺🇸
Power, data centers, and the bottleneck
- There’s already a power crisis for AI, not a far-off one.
- Consensus he cited: at least a 15 gigawatt shortfall of power in 2027 for AI chips.
- AI chip production is rising ~40–50% a year. Power outside China is rising ~10–20%. The faster curve will overwhelm the slower one.
- Google, Anthropic, and others are already leasing compute from SpaceX because SpaceX built its own power plants. That was the only way they could turn capacity on fast enough.
- China has lots of electricity, but GPU export bans block the latest chips there. The real constraint is electricity growth outside China.
- Opportunity for other countries: build a lot of power, host AI data centers, and tax them / charge reasonable fees.
AI as a growth engine
- Countries should lean into new tech instead of staying stuck in the past.
- His rough estimate: digital AI alone could lift the global economy by 20–30%, or about $20–30 trillion a year.
- By the end of next year, AI should be able to do anything digital, anything that doesn’t require physically shaping atoms by hand.
- Software prediction: in about 12–18 months, AI writing software will be “Stockfish-level.” Humans won’t be able to compete, the way a chess engine on a phone can already beat Magnus Carlsen.
- Same window: AI becomes extremely good, possibly that same level, at all forms of engineering and anything digital.
- He also plugged 𝕏 as where almost all serious AI discourse happens, and said that’s how he follows the field day to day.
Robotics and physical AI
- Physical tech always takes longer than digital. Software copies instantly. Hardware needs huge global supply chains and moving a lot of atoms.
- A humanoid robot’s usefulness is three things multiplied: AI software × onboard AI chip × electromechanical dexterity (especially the hands). All three are improving exponentially.
- Once robots start making more robots, growth goes recursive: slow at first, then explosive.
- 10-year forecast (he called it conservative): well over a billion humanoid robots, each about 5× as productive as a human. That would mean those robots outproduce all humans combined.
- That physical layer is where he sees the economy growing by a factor of 10 or more, not just 20–30%.
How countries actually get new tech built?
- New things should be default legal, not default illegal. Heavy regulation (he pointed at the EU) doesn’t kill progress, but it slows it a lot.
- Startups are like saplings in a forest. Most governments over-support the big existing trees (incumbents) and under-support the small ones.
- Big companies have access to political leaders. Startups don’t. Policy should be biased toward young companies on purpose.
“We can fix anything!”
That energy from @dhh and @OmarchyLinux is infectious, and it does not have to apply only to software.
This weekend, I noticed that the leather laptop bag I have used for 12 years was looking old and tired. I could have ordered a new one, but I was still perfectly happy with it. After 30 minutes with some black polish, it looked almost new. I did not even need to consult AI.🤣
The only designation the EU needs to be worried about is a continent left behind. You cannot regulate your way into prosperity and progress like this.
We have designated ChatGPT as a Very Large Online Search Engine and Reddit and Roblox as Very Large Online Platforms under the Digital Services Act.
They now have four months to comply with additional DSA obligations.
More: link.europa.eu/8bmk3M
#DSA
What does your entrance hall look like?
If you live with children, you know how quickly it can become chaotic. For our new home, I asked AI to rethink how our family enters the house. We developed the idea of using a side entrance that leads directly into a shared family dressing room, where we can store our everyday clothes, shoes and outerwear, reducing the storage needed in the bedrooms. The formal entrance can then remain welcoming and be used mainly by guests.