Página de educação financeira e capacitação em criptomoedas, para agentes de Segurança Pública.
Joined May 2022
- Tweets735
- Following457
- Followers115
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Caserna_Crypto retweeted
If the current price level isn't $POL bottom, it will likely go down to $0.04-$0.05 soon. Every pump (however little) gets sold off right away
$0.093 (near-term bottom for months) had become resistance.
However the project isn't dying. The team just has the most disastrous market making abilities I have ever seen. @0xPolygon CFO should be fired.
@sandeepnailwal I can fix this chart for you in 3 months. Pay me nothing just let me help. This is just sad bro. From #9 on CMC to #60 in 4 years. $MATIC was one of the strongest tokens in 2022 bearmarket while FTX was on fire
Here's what I would focus on:
1) token investor relations
2) professional market making
3) increase trading volume
4) exchange partnership
Caserna_Crypto retweeted
A lot happened in the last 4 weeks. Here's what shipped.
🟪 Lisovo Upgrade on Polygon Mainnet
The Lisovo hardfork went live on March 4, bringing $1M in subsidized gas for agent-to-agent payments (PIP-82), better passkey wallet support, and improved smart contract compatibility.
🟪 Polygon Agent CLI is live
You can now build on the fastest path from zero to an agent that can transact onchain. Wallets, payments, swaps, bridging, onchain identity, and x402 — everything an agent needs, in one toolkit.
🟪 Trust Wallet gets a preview of the Open Money Stack
@TrustWallet now supports cash-to-crypto deposits at 15,000+ U.S. retail locations, powered by @Coinme (being acquired by Polygon Labs).
🟪 Brazil's largest FX bank launches BBRL on Polygon
@GrupoBraza announced their Brazilian Real stablecoin is live on Polygon. Local stablecoins are powered by Polygon.
🟪 Paxos crosses $1B in stablecoin volume on Polygon
Not speculation. That's real money on @Paxos moving through real infrastructure.
🟪 Stablecoin supply on Polygon hit a record $3.28B
The migration from legacy rails to onchain money is happening. And the supply keeps growing as more businesses choose stablecoins on Polygon.
🟪 New throughput ATH on Polygon
Multiple upgrades over the year have led to incremental speed increases. Polygon is now leading the pack and even surpassing Base, per @growthepie_eth
That's one chain in one month. This is what building the future of money looks like.
#AskBinance
A binance tem intenção ou projetos para alcançar cada vez mais o público brasileiro?
@binance @BinanceBrasil
It's time for another #AskBinance
Drop your questions and be rewarded!
All you need to do:
1️⃣ Like + repost
2️⃣ Comment with your question + #AskBinance hashtag
3️⃣ Complete survey 👉 binance.com/en/survey/4f71a1…
200 USDC will be given to each user whose question has been chosen. Ends 8 Mar 23:59 UTC
It's time for another #AskBinance
Drop your questions and be rewarded!
All you need to do:
1️⃣ Like + repost
2️⃣ Comment with your question + #AskBinance hashtag
3️⃣ Complete survey 👉 binance.com/en/survey/4f71a1…
200 USDC will be given to each user whose question has been chosen. Ends 8 Mar 23:59 UTC
Caserna_Crypto retweeted
.@POTUS is right - the CLARITY Act must pass. It's critical we have a future-proof digital asset market structure in place. The @CFTC is eager to implement the Act under this historic administration. President Trump is unleashing a Golden Age in America, and this legislation is a key part of securing the US as the global leader in innovation. The time to act is now.
Introducing #BuildWithYou: Binance Wishlist ⭐
What’s one thing you’d love to see on Binance? (Keep it short.)
3 simple steps:
👉 Follow @binance + RT
this
👉 Comment your wishlist 👇 with #BuildWithYou
👉 Complete the survey → binance.com/en/survey/ffa14f…
Top 20 entries win 100 USDC each. Ends 10 March 23:59 UTC.
Caserna_Crypto retweeted
This is your reminder ⚔️
POL stakers are eligible for the @katana vKAT airdrop
But if you're voting with your vKAT? You may unlock even more.
When you vote with your vKAT, you get:
🔹App revenue: a cut of the fees generated by the pools/apps you vote KAT emissions toward.
🔹Vote incentives: extra “bribes” from protocols that want your votes directed to their markets.
🔹vKAT exit fees: penalties paid by early unlockers, redistributed to remaining vKAT voters.
Caserna_Crypto retweeted
🚨 GM CryptoTraders !!
Bora começar mais um dia 🌥 cheio de emoções!
Ótimos trades a todos! 💵
Não se esqueçam de ajudar o perfil dando reply, retweet ou simplesmente deixando seu like ! 😊
centralcrypto.com.br/gmcentr…
Caserna_Crypto retweeted
Bitcoin will grind sideways, provide one more chance to buy lower and then rip to $189,000. Not financial advice but will benefit CardoneCapital investors.
Caserna_Crypto retweeted
🔥Ca estamos "quicando" nos 67.5K (POC do VPVR estendido até o ciclo passado).
Aqui a questão não é ter achado uma linha, no meio de tantas que poderiam estar passando aqui.
O CONCEITO é que o #BTC veio retestar o preço que foi definido no CICLO PASSADO depois de ter REJEITADO VEEMENTEMENTE qualquer precificação acima dos 87K EM POUCO MAIS DE 1 ano.
Percebem o que isso quer dizer?
Se não percebeu porque pra você 1 BTC = 1 BTC, perceba o que O MERCADO está pensando:
#BTC acima de 87.5K ESTÁ CARO!
#BTC perdeu 50% do que precificou em 15 anos, isso em apenas 4 meses!
Mercado não olha candle. OLHA ESTRUTURA.
Vc tá vendo isso aqui embaixo? o #BTC foi rejeitado em todas as tentativas de superar a média inferior do CCT PI CYCLE TOP/BOTTOM (indicador grátis no @TradingView)
Entao...OU o mercado volta a botar $$$ no #BTC, ou a demora na recuperação vai forçar o #BTC a buscar liquidez mais embaixo.
Caserna_Crypto retweeted
Bitcoin’s Hidden Edge: Hard to Trade but Powerful to Hold
People say “you can’t predict Bitcoin.”
That’s half true and very bullish.
The key metric is the Hurst exponent (H), which measures market memory:
H = 0.5 → random walk
H > 0.5 → persistence (trends tend to continue)
H < 0.5 → mean reversion (moves tend to fade)
Bitcoin’s rolling 120-day Hurst has ranged from ~0.36 to ~0.91 in my tests.
That means the game keeps changing:
trend regime, chop regime, near-random regime.
I tested momentum, mean-reversion, and random strategies across 2,000+ days:
Momentum hit rate: 52–55%
Mean reversion: 45–48%
Random: ~50%
Short-term edge is thin and unstable.
Most people are trying to force consistency in a regime-shifting market.
Zoom out.
Across ~17 years, Bitcoin’s long-run power-law fit is around R² ≈ 0.96 (in-sample).
That does not mean perfect day-to-day prediction.
It means the long-horizon structure has been strong.
With full-sample Hurst around ~0.57–0.61, the picture is consistent: persistence dominates over longer windows.
What the data suggests on horizon (approximate):
• <3 months: mostly regime noise
• 3–12 months: mixed, path-dependent
• 12–18+ months: trend signal starts to dominate
• Multi-year (3+ years): strongest structural predictability
The same math that makes short-term trading hard is the math that statistically supports long-term holding.
