
Senior Investment Strategist @Bitwise | Not Financial Advice
Joined May 2019
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Juan Leon retweeted
Binance situation is ongoing but a few comments —
1. Client assets in @bitwise solutions —across vaults we curate, private funds, ETFs— are safe. We will continue to monitor the situation.
2. Markets (both spot and lending) will likely be choppy for a bit. The crypto industry will survive this and be stronger for it. As will @binance who has the industry's support.
3. Cyber defense is an essential topic for all firms this year. And will continue to be.
As ever, committed to being a good steward for our clients and a good partner.
Juan Leon retweeted
We worked with regulators for years to help make crypto ETFs possible.
We're happy to collaborate again, this time on vaults.
Today, @crypto_council submitted a 238-page framework on how vaults can fit into US Securities Laws.
Bitwise General Counsel @johannarcw led our work here, alongside fantastic peers at @Morpho @galaxyhq and @ChapmanCutler.
Vaults are going to change capital markets. We're delighted to get to be a part of it.
🚨🗞️NEW: Crypto Vaults Put 90-Year-Old Securities Rules to the Test
Can securities laws keep up with crypto vaults? A new report from @crypto_council says the answer may hinge on how much control humans retain over how the funds are managed.
cryptoinamerica.com/p/exclus…
ICE is very quickly becoming one of the most forth-coming TradFi innovatooooors.
The OKX/ICE partnership encourages mass tokenisation of US equities in AMMs like ethereum:0x1f9840a85d5af5bf1d1762f925bdaddc4201f984; and now the Trade[XYZ]/ICE partnership brings 168 NYSE member firms on hyperliquid:native , providing regulated Perpetual Futures to the worlds largest financial institutions.
This is the unlock.
Our updated bitcoin forecast for 2036:
Bear case: $130,686
Base case: $1,599,766
Bull case: $3,667,911
Read the report to find out how we get there:
bitwiseinvestments.com/crypt…
Our “2027 Bitcoin Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions” report is live.
Ten-year forecasts for bitcoin’s return, volatility, and correlation to stocks.
Base case: BTC to $1.6 million by 2036.
bitwiseinvestments.com/crypt…
Juan Leon retweeted
All asset classes are moving onchain. Tokenized stocks and stablecoins (which are really just tokenized fiat currency) are growing fast, with more to come.
We'll continue updating the financial system.
Juan Leon retweeted
On Monday, @Bitwise filed our comment letter on the SEC’s proposed Regulation Crypto Assets. Our ask: a practical framework for a question Bitwise has wrestled with for nearly a decade. How do we determine whether a crypto asset is a security or is subject to an investment contract?
Bitwise evaluates crypto assets every day. We ask: What do they do? How were they created? Can we put them into our products? For years, answering that last question has required analysis with limited information and uncertain standards.
This letter draws on over five years of engaging with the SEC Staff on these issues. We’ve long wanted a framework a company can actually apply without commissioning a bespoke Howey analysis for every crypto asset.
Regulation Crypto gives us an opportunity to get there. The proposal focuses on issuers. Our letter proposes changes to make it work for companies like Bitwise that use crypto assets as the building blocks of investment products.
We make two principal requests:
1. A standard outsiders can apply to determine when a crypto asset is no longer subject to an investment contract, based on publicly available information. We can evaluate what an issuer promised, what it has done and what activities continue. We cannot verify its private intentions.
2. Clear rules for when non-issuers may rely on an issuer’s Form TR, how to make a determination when no Form TR exists, and what facts would make reliance unreasonable.
These questions shape what we can build for investors. This letter puts years of experience to work advocating for rules that give us greater certainty and room to build.
Read our letter: sec.gov/comments/S7-2026-27/…
Juan Leon retweeted
The beauty of DCA is that you don't need timing, just consistency.
At $50/week over the last 4 years (209 weeks), you end up with $18,087 worth of BTC vs. $15,278 of SPY.
What's crazier is that bitcoin:native is ~35% off from all-time highs.
Juan Leon retweeted
1) A lot of people ask me how exactly Bitcoin can change the world
Sometimes I say “Bitcoin can fix this” or “Bitcoin will make the world a better place”
But to many, it’s unclear how any of that will actually happen
So here’s my full vision for the world on Bitcoin 🧵
The Bitwise Staking Report (Q4 2026) is live.
In our quarterly digest, we take a hard look at protocol metrics for @ethereum, @solana, @HyperliquidX, @Robinhoodcrypto, and @NEARProtocol.
TL;DR: Stake is up, costs are down, and rewards are down too.
Read the report: bitwiseinvestments.com/crypt…
Juan Leon retweeted
First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight at you, then they add you to their Long-Term Capital Markets Assumptions paper and predict you'll be the best-performing asset of the next decade.
Juan Leon retweeted
If you want to invest in the DEX/liquidity sector of crypto - both derivatives & spot - there are clear incumbents and it isn't really close
hyperliquid:native ethereum:0x1f9840a85d5af5bf1d1762f925bdaddc4201f984
Juan Leon retweeted
Volume on Aerodrome is up 34% from six months ago and is accelerating.
All eyes on its Oct 21 merger with Velodrome where @aeroxyz aims to become "the unified liquidity layer for all of Ethereum."
aerodrome-finance:native
Since late June, Bitcoin miners and HPC converts have moved more closely with CoreWeave, even despite Bitcoin's ~40% rally from its lows.
Why?
1) Many of these miners continue to sell down their BTC.
2) Many miners continue to borrow to build data centres
Watch for widening CDS spreads, "force majeure's", rent cuts with AI tenants, or lease terminations.
Juan Leon retweeted
FWIW - 105 physical qubits still implies 13 doublings from here to reach 500k qubits…
So, at the very least 13 years to reach QDay assuming Neven‘s Law…
Nothingburger in my view.
GOOGLE ANNOUNCES MAJOR QUANTUM COMPUTING BREAKTHROUGH WITH IMPLICATIONS FOR BITCOIN SECURITY
Google Quantum AI researchers have achieved 99.99% logical fidelity in producing “magic states” on the company’s 105-qubit Willow processor, reducing errors by 40x.
The breakthrough, published in Science, addresses one of the biggest engineering bottlenecks preventing quantum computers from scaling to the point where they could threaten Bitcoin’s cryptography.
Earlier this year, Google published research suggesting that breaking Bitcoin’s cryptography could require fewer than 500,000 physical qubits, roughly 20x fewer than previous estimates.
That was an algorithmic breakthrough, demonstrating how an attack could theoretically be performed with fewer resources.
Today’s announcement represents a complementary hardware breakthrough, demonstrating progress toward making the necessary quantum operations reliable and less resource-intensive.
While this does not mean Bitcoin’s cryptography can be broken today, it represents another significant step toward cryptographically relevant quantum computers.
The timeline for a potential quantum threat to Bitcoin remains uncertain, but the case for accelerating Bitcoin’s transition toward quantum-resistant cryptography continues to strengthen.
What’s next for bitcoin?
@HHorsley and @JacobPPhillips break it down.
Two founders who build Bitcoin products, in the same room.
@JacobPPhillips and @HHorsley of @Bitwise on the dollar hedge, what holders want next, and who gets to define Bitcoin from here.



























