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Joined December 2018
Photo by tbone (@tbonecapital)Photo by tbone (@tbonecapital)Photo by tbone (@tbonecapital)Photo by tbone (@tbonecapital)Photo by tbone (@tbonecapital)Photo by tbone (@tbonecapital)Photo by tbone (@tbonecapital)Photo by tbone (@tbonecapital)Photo by tbone (@tbonecapital)
My fundamental principles of investing: 1. Understand the business you're interested in by reading their financial reports, understanding the unit economics of the business, their leverage and the different forms of financial and operational leverage they might be employing, their share ownership structure (share classes, poison pills) etc. 2. Understand the durable competitive advantages of the business, if present, that will contribute to continued profits and future cash flows even in potentially inflationary periods. These advantages could be regulatory, IP, location, brand, marketing etc. 3. Assess the talent and integrity of the management of the business. Analyze their long term performance, determine the factors that are in their control and compare with their peers in their respective industries, check their previous placements and find out why they left etc. This is one of the most important steps because if a company is retaining earnings annually at 10% of the book value a newly appointed CEO will be responsible for approximately 60% of the capital deployed in a span of only 10 years (10% growth in book value compounded for 10 years increases book value to 259% of the original amount, 159% gain/259% total = 61.39%). CEOs often rise up the ranks by being incredibly talented in narrow fields such as marketing, sales or simply by being good at office politics. The real skill they require is rational capital allocation. Many great companies have been destroyed by poor capital allocators becoming CEO. 4. Last but not least, buying at a significant margin of safety. No matter how wonderful the business is, buying at an insanely expensive price (like how many companies today are valued and how many have been valued in the past) is a good way to achieve poor performance. You have to know how to value businesses and understand how future growth affects value so that you're not overly conservative. Investing is not gambling. It is a craft and an art that only its practitioners can truly appreciate. The capital allocation decisions that investors collectively make over time redirect capital to its most productive uses and allow for economic growth and prosperity. The incredible rise in our quality of life over the last century globally has largely come from capital being redirected by investors to those businesses that have put that capital to its most productive use. Trading options, thereby making bets on the short term volatility of an underlying stock, is not investing (with some exceptions). Buying companies with no profits and no reasonable prospects for future profits is not investing. Buying unproductive assets that will never return cash to you is not investing. Buying bitcoin is not investing. Only exceptional people with an extremely patient temperament will beat the markets over the long term, but just having some general knowledge about the subject and teaching your kids about it can open up a lot of potential. People who don't have the aptitude or the time can just take their excess savings and dollar cost average into a low cost index fund over time (which will give you the return of the market and requires absolutely zero skill). They will get a very satisfactory result over a long period of time as long as they start early and stay persistent no matter how the market gyrates in the short term. Even a small amount of money can grow to a significantly large sum if you understand the power of compounding.
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Narrated Jabir ibn Abdullah (ra): When the Prophet (ﷺ) entered Mecca his flag was white. Sunan Abi Dawud 2592 Volume 15: The Book of Jihad Chapter 923: On Flags And Banners Grade: Sahih (Shaykh al-Albani) sunnah.com/abudawud:2592
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حَدَّثَنَا إِسْحَاقُ بْنُ إِبْرَاهِيمَ الْمَرْوَزِيُّ وَهُوَ ابْنُ رَاهَوَيْهِ حَدَّثَنَا يَحْيَى بْنُ آدَمَ، حَدَّثَنَا شَرِيكٌ، عَنْ عَمَّارٍ الدُّهْنِيِّ عَنْ أَبِي الزُّبَيْرِ، عَنْ جَابِرٍ، يَرْفَعُهُ إِلَى النَّبِيِّ صلى الله عليه وسلم أَنَّهُ كَانَ لِوَاؤُهُ يَوْمَ دَخَلَ مَكَّةَ أَبْيَضَ
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Goldman Saaks saaaaar
Pakistan will become one of the world six largest economies before 2099. PM Shehbaz Joker 😂 That’s almost 100 years from now! Honestly, I wonder whether a country called Pakistan will even exist in this region by then. 😉😁
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"More than 70 representatives of Russia’s business community accompanied Overchuk in a display of how serious their country is about expanding relations with Afghanistan into a strategic partnership."
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They were too busy looting, raping women and destroying Kabul.
After the collapse of the Communist government, Shura-e Nazar should never have left Southern Afg unattended, which provided fertile ground for the Taliban to emerge. Should have: attacked, seized all weapons, ended Pashtun landaghari, and subordinated the local population.
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Generated completely with AI
NUREMBERG - Official Trailer
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tbone retweeted
We proudly gave @OpenAI our NVIDIA DGX-1 supercomputer to work on #AI's toughest problems. nvda.ws/2aRtOhE
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I flew over Kabul, Afghanistan, today. Super cool to see Afghanistan from the air. Afghanistan is essentially a mountain fortress. The British, Soviets, and Americans showed insane hubris in thinking they could maintain supply chain logistics through those mountains.
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The first frontier AI model trained entirely on Chinese chips.
Some of my smartest friends at Huawei in Shenzhen have gone quiet recently… quite a few appear to be in Hangzhou (DeepSeek)… they can only WeChat their spouses and parents. From what I’ve heard, V5 is already in pretraining: ~2T parameter ultra-sparse MoE on Huawei Ascend 950/950DT, no NVIDIA (!!!). If it converges, it’ll be the first frontier model trained entirely on Chinese silicon.
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Humans copy elites. How many children do elites have? Israelis show the way. lymanstone.substack.com/p/bi…
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In 2012 I visited Delhi and was kinda shocked by how much better both Kabul and Herat looked despite decades of war and instability. Streets and weather cleaner, buildings in better shape, less noise, less beggars.
How does Kabul's skyline look better than Delhi's? 📍 Kabul, Afghanistan.
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Replying to @grok
@grok Among Persian, Pashto, Balochi, and Kurdish, which language is linguistically closest to Avestan? Give detailed info.
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This is the Arg Palace, constructed and designed by Amir Abdul Rahman Khan Barakzai in 1880. It is a sprawling complex built on 83 acres in the heart of the capital of the Afghan nation. It's purpose is to serve as the residence and office for the ruler of Afghanistan and his family.
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Kabul is beautiful.
Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexey Overchuk in Kabul. Highest level visit to Kabul in years as Russia, Afghanistan firm up ties.
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The Daily Anis on May 5th, 1927, wrote: “It might not be too far off to witness the installation of large metal panels facing the sun in the deserts of Afghanistan that will convert solar energy into electricity to power the engines of our factories and the lights in our cities”
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Days before Christmas 2023, I emailed Jensen after an investor pulled out last minute. We didn’t have cash for payroll, and I was talking with bankruptcy lawyers. Jensen called me at 6am. Later that day, I was having dinner with his team to bridge the company. Four months later, we rang the NASDAQ bell for our IPO.
In June @NaderLikeLadder emailed Jensen about a crazy idea we had over dinner to make Local AI 10x better on NVIDIA hardware. Jensen replied in 7 minutes. He saw this as important work, and approved a war room for us to work on this at NVIDIA HQ. For a month, NVIDIA HQ was the @exolabs satellite office. We were overwhelmed by the support we got. We were back to back the first week with smart NVIDIANs coming in to our war room to help us. Creators of CUDA, Dynamo, people who built NVIDIA. Long story short with NVIDIA we managed to improve their Local AI playbooks by 9.6x (almost the 10x goal we set out with). We’ll be publishing a whitepaper on this work. We were just a small startup with a crazy idea. Jensen took a bet on us. Jensen cares deeply about Open Source AI and Local AI. I don't believe Jensen is replaceable, he's a 1 of 1 human, but I hope NVIDIA will continue to aggressively support Open Source AI and Local AI, and continue to take bets on small startups with crazy ideas. Thank you Jensen
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In June @NaderLikeLadder emailed Jensen about a crazy idea we had over dinner to make Local AI 10x better on NVIDIA hardware. Jensen replied in 7 minutes. He saw this as important work, and approved a war room for us to work on this at NVIDIA HQ. For a month, NVIDIA HQ was the @exolabs satellite office. We were overwhelmed by the support we got. We were back to back the first week with smart NVIDIANs coming in to our war room to help us. Creators of CUDA, Dynamo, people who built NVIDIA. Long story short with NVIDIA we managed to improve their Local AI playbooks by 9.6x (almost the 10x goal we set out with). We’ll be publishing a whitepaper on this work. We were just a small startup with a crazy idea. Jensen took a bet on us. Jensen cares deeply about Open Source AI and Local AI. I don't believe Jensen is replaceable, he's a 1 of 1 human, but I hope NVIDIA will continue to aggressively support Open Source AI and Local AI, and continue to take bets on small startups with crazy ideas. Thank you Jensen
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