Curating crypto alfa, insights and new projects so you can make it // Storyteller at @glasscade_xyz Nothing here is financial advice.

Joined January 2018
The Learning Pill πŸ’Š retweeted
Pendle's five-year framing lands on the idea that yield doesn't care which trend wins, it just needs somewhere to get priced, fixed and hedged. $PENDLE V2 handles the yield already sitting inside on-chain tokens and @boros_fi takes the rest, mostly perp funding. The clever part is that this is a bet on the second derivative. > Stablecoins (~$300 billion today, Citi sees $1.9 trillion by 2030) > Tokenised RWAs (~$39 billion, up from $10 billion in early 2025) > Equity perps (OI up more than 10x in six months) Any of them throwing off yield sends flow toward Pendle, so it only needs the aggregate to grow. And the capture mechanic is repeatable: a new yield token launches, PT/YT splitting pulls a majority of its supply onto Pendle within weeks, and liquidity follows the supply. PTs clear as collateral across DeFi and CeFi, and the mechanics are now a flywheel where every 1 $PENDLE spent buys back 10.4 $PENDLE from the open market, emissions are down 93% YTD, and liquidity depth is still up ~40%. Whichever mega trend wins, the yield underneath it converges on Pendle.
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Pendle's five-year framing lands on the idea that yield doesn't care which trend wins, it just needs somewhere to get priced, fixed and hedged. $PENDLE V2 handles the yield already sitting inside on-chain tokens and @boros_fi takes the rest, mostly perp funding. The clever part is that this is a bet on the second derivative. > Stablecoins (~$300 billion today, Citi sees $1.9 trillion by 2030) > Tokenised RWAs (~$39 billion, up from $10 billion in early 2025) > Equity perps (OI up more than 10x in six months) Any of them throwing off yield sends flow toward Pendle, so it only needs the aggregate to grow. And the capture mechanic is repeatable: a new yield token launches, PT/YT splitting pulls a majority of its supply onto Pendle within weeks, and liquidity follows the supply. PTs clear as collateral across DeFi and CeFi, and the mechanics are now a flywheel where every 1 $PENDLE spent buys back 10.4 $PENDLE from the open market, emissions are down 93% YTD, and liquidity depth is still up ~40%. Whichever mega trend wins, the yield underneath it converges on Pendle.
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The Learning Pill πŸ’Š retweeted
What does this $NEAR x $ONDO mean? On a public chain, a fund building a position broadcasts it to every front-runner watching. In the smaller arena terms, its like social trading. That's a real reason big money doesn't like the publicity. @NEARProtocol and @Ondo can now settle equity tokens on a private shard, dark-pool style, with selective disclosure kept for compliance. Not to forget, Oasis Pro Markets joined DTCC's Fund/SERV network, and Ondo has filed with the SEC to permit registered onchain distribution of securities. This ushers in credibility to having tokenised asset exposure, and continues to shape Near. com as the distribution hub. Larger distribution area = more connective tissues and utility = more $NEAR buybacks/burns Have to say that recent developments have been spot on in relation to the expected future demand.
Every near.com launch removes one more thing you used to do somewhere else. Today, we're partnering with @Ondo to bring tokenized US stocks and ETFs into near.com, confidentially, with one account 🧡
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What does this $NEAR x $ONDO mean? On a public chain, a fund building a position broadcasts it to every front-runner watching. In the smaller arena terms, its like social trading. That's a real reason big money doesn't like the publicity. @NEARProtocol and @Ondo can now settle equity tokens on a private shard, dark-pool style, with selective disclosure kept for compliance. Not to forget, Oasis Pro Markets joined DTCC's Fund/SERV network, and Ondo has filed with the SEC to permit registered onchain distribution of securities. This ushers in credibility to having tokenised asset exposure, and continues to shape Near. com as the distribution hub. Larger distribution area = more connective tissues and utility = more $NEAR buybacks/burns Have to say that recent developments have been spot on in relation to the expected future demand.
Every near.com launch removes one more thing you used to do somewhere else. Today, we're partnering with @Ondo to bring tokenized US stocks and ETFs into near.com, confidentially, with one account 🧡
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The Learning Pill πŸ’Š retweeted
The base case here is $LIT goes to $40 Now that a @Lighter_xyz commit in the prover repo shows binary options, it is looking more certain that there will be deeper integration with Robinhood My napkin math says the potential inclusion of options in the future could add ~$183M to Lighter's revenues (= buybacks) Note: this has many conservative assumptions
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The ve-MetaDEX model is what propelled @aeroxyz to be the default liquidity layer on Base. @NestExchange runs the same locker-and-emissions loop, wired into $HYPE instead of Base flow. Put the two side by side on TVL, fees, and valuation and the gap in size is obvious and could be the potential play. >> TVL $AERO β†’ holds around $380 million across hundreds of pairs on Base and now Arc $NEST β†’ holds roughly $23 million across about a dozen HyperEVM pairs That's close to a 17x gap, the shape you'd expect from an incumbent on a large chain next to a venue a few months into a newer one. >> Fees and revenue $AERO β†’ pulled in about $17.4 million in swap fees over the last 30 days, with roughly $14.1m reaching veAERO voters. No protocol cut, the rest stays with in-range concentrated-liquidity LPs $NEST β†’ did about $578K over the same window and sent all of it to veNEST lockers under a 100% passthrough >> Valuation $AERO β†’ carries a ~$680 million market cap against a ~$1.36 billion FDV, so roughly half the supply already circulates - that's near 48x its trailing 30-day holder revenue $NEST β†’ sits near $5 million against an FDV in the low tens of millions, with most of the token still to come - that's near 9x the same measure Why $NEST looks comparatively cheap? > First MetaDEX on the chain, so every new pool, native asset listing, and unit of Hyperliquid-driven flow has one obvious place to route through. > HyperEVM TVL growth and native listings feed straight through, and because Nest LPs are paid in emissions rather than fees, every swap fee lands on veNEST rather than being split with LPs > The HIP-3 lifecycle points Nest past spot into perps, a far larger fee pool than a spot AMM alone, while the HYPE Engine gives holders a reflexive reason to keep the token locked as that plays out. > Against an FDV in the low tens of millions, the room to re-rate is huge - it takes a fraction of Aero's revenue base to close most of the multiple gap. The emissions dependence and the 86% lock are integral to note, and if HyperEVM stalls, the weekly drop deflates. But that is the trade the 9x is offering. $AERO at 47x is paying up for liquidity depth that's already proven. $NEST at 9x is buying the option on HyperEVM becoming an ecosystem worth having a native liquidity layer for, priced before the market has decided it will. If you take a bullish $HYPE view, this would be an exciting play.
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Don't know if it's moon math or actually doable? Scalability is one area where $NEAR has done what $ETH could have. Right now, NEAR's focus is AI, privacy, and quantum - all with mega potential, and could become programmable money Where I think Ethereum still leads is its expansive ecosystem for tokenised assets and DeFi - sectors I'm very bullish on too. I wouldn't write off either. Each has its own unique proposition, and market flows will show where the demand actually is. p.s. pic intended for bait so if you fall for it...
interesting in some sense, NEAR could execute what ETH aspired to years ago i.e., it scaled via sharding & is now acting as the hub between many chains perhaps with a few tokenomics changes, you could bring back the programmable money dream monitoring *mute tweet*
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$38B of tokenised RWAs, up 85% this year, and only 12% of it is deployed anywhere on-chain. The other 88% sits idle - demand the DeFi stack hasn't captured yet. Issuance is a gap, but activation is the one that pays. Here's who owns each lane πŸ‘‡ 1) Lending and money markets β†’ where an idle treasury or credit token becomes a productive collateral position > $MORPHO: the leader by distance, ~$1B in RWA deposits, borrow utilisation near 40%, roughly 4x the sector rate. Apollo took a ~9% governance stake in February > $AAVE Horizon: permissioned institutional market, a few hundred million on Superstate and VanEck collateral > $KMNO: the Solana venue for borrowing against tokenised assets 2) On-chain liquidity β†’ where an RWA becomes tradeable around the clock and facilitates large transactions > $RAY and $JUP: Solana, where roughly 95% of tokenised-equity volume already routes > $UNI: the deepest EVM liquidity for equity and treasury tokens > $CRV: stable and tokenised-treasury pools > $AERO: the Base venue, where Backed and Dinari deploy 3) Yield and backing β†’ here the token becomes a yield engine > $PENDLE: splits yield-bearing RWAs into principal and yield legs, so holders can trade the rate itself > $SKY: pioneered RWA as stablecoin backing, though its direct vaults are smaller now than at their 2023 to 2024 peak > $ENA: reserves its USDtb in BlackRock's BUIDL Now comes the mispricing we can potentially take advantage of. The crowded trade is issuance - @Ondo, @Securitize and @BackedFi are names everyone already tracks. The compounding growth is on the other side. Binance's own sensitivity has equity activation moving from 10% to 20% and deployed capital going from $34.94B to $69.87B, no new supply required - and that doubling accrues to the lending, liquidity and yield venues. To be clear, none of this can fire on solo mode. Activation only climbs if holders want utility over passive exposure, and that demand is the actual bet. Issuance sets how big the pie gets. (Data: @BinanceResearch, @DefiLlama )
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The Learning Pill πŸ’Š retweeted
Top 10 card programs ranked by 7D volume change [15th Sep to 21st Sep] 1) @EthenaPay +95.8% 2) @hyperbeat +30.5% 3) @Plasma One +19.5% 4) @avici +16.1% 5) @wirexapp +15.4% 6) @useTria +11.1% 7) @Exa_App +9.2% 8) @MetaMask +5.8% 9) @itstuyo +3.1% 10) @KASTxyz +2.9% @EthenaPay holds the top spot for a second week, but the weekly rate finally cooled: +95.8% now against +137% last week. As the base fills in, the same dollars of new spend buy a smaller percentage, which is why the 30D figure kept climbing to +471.6% even as the weekly number eased. The fresher story sits at the entry points. @Exa and @MetaMask both crack the board for the first time, and a name as recognisable as MetaMask showing up on a card-spend leaderboard says something about where this category is heading. But it arrives on weak footing, even though with +5.8% this week, it is down 13.5% on the 30D timeframe. A good past week, and more building to be seen.
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The Learning Pill πŸ’Š retweeted
Great piece by @glasscade on @Plasma One and probably one of the more interesting examples of rented liquidity vs retained demand playing out onchain. Plasma's broader liquidity story hasn't exactly gone according to plan. Stablecoin supply peaked around $6.35B in Oct 2025, before falling ~84% to ~$1.03B by Sept 8. Yet beneath that contraction, Plasma One has been moving almost entirely in the opposite direction. Tracked card spend reached ~$19.9M in August, with: πŸ”Ή Active wallets growing almost 60% MoM πŸ”Ή Transactions increasing 36% πŸ”Ή Spending increasing 31% And IMO, the composition of that growth matters much more than the headline numbers themselves. Glasscade attributes 74% of the 3-month increase in volume simply to more active addresses. Meanwhile, volume + transactions per active wallet have actually declined. At first glance, that might sound negative. But paired with a rapidly expanding user base, it suggests something quite different: Plasma One is broadening beyond its earliest, heavier crypto-native users towards a larger population making smaller + more ordinary purchases. In other words, it seems to have solved acquisition before depth of usage. The next question is naturally whether those acquired users actually stick around, and this is where the data gets more encouraging IMO. Returning wallets represented ~52% of August's active base, but the important part isn't necessarily the percentage itself. It's that the absolute returning cohort continues to compound several fold QoQ, while new-user acquisition remains strong enough to maintain an almost 50/50 balance. New users are still coming in quickly, while increasingly more previous users are coming back. That's a pretty healthy dynamic for a consumer product still scaling. But perhaps the most interesting insight is how differently this has behaved from the rest of Plasma. Much of the billions initially deposited into the ecosystem came through pre-launch deposits, token-sale activity + exchange yield programs. Those incentives successfully attracted capital. They didn't necessarily create a reason for that capital to remain. Plasma One is beginning to demonstrate the opposite. While the chain's liquidity left, consumer usage stayed + continued growing. And IMO that's an important distinction between liquidity you rent and demand you actually build. Plasma One increasingly looks like the latter but ofc, there's still plenty left to prove. Registrations remain far ahead of actual active usage, while spend + transaction frequency per wallet need to deepen as the product matures. But the strategic opportunity here is pretty interesting which could serve as a playbook for others. Plasma One combines spending + yield + XPL-linked membership behind a consumer-facing product that increasingly resembles a crypto-native neobank rather than simply another card. If the card becomes the habitual entry point, everything else can increasingly be distributed around that relationship. Maybe the more durable path for Plasma isn't simply convincing capital to sit on a stablecoin chain, its giving consumers a reason to use that stablecoin infrastructure repeatedly in the real world.
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The Learning Pill πŸ’Š retweeted
Ethena Added Roughly $0.76B in 30 Days @ethena As per @tokenterminal ,USDe grew 18.7% over the last 30. As per DefiLlama, USDe circulating supply now stands at $4.88B, ahead of USD1 at $4.3B. Once the 14-day average USDe supply crosses $7.5B, 95% of the revenue routed through the switch buys ENA on the open market. Today USDe stands at $4.88B, which means supply needs to grow about 54% to reach the threshold. We could assume it crosses within the next few quarters, driven by future catalysts. Equity perps: uncorrelated with crypto market conditions. Crypto perps: funding recovered from negative territory and is trending toward the +8% levels. Ethena Pay: launched Sep 1, with 30-day card volume of $615,560 (+296%) and daily active addresses moving from 28-60 before launch to 120-165 since. The supply chart shows why this is a recovery call. As per DefiLlama, USDe peaked at 14.82B in Oct 2025 and is about 67% below that level today. Reaching $7.5B in 3 months needs about 15% monthly compounding, slightly below what USDe just delivered. Reaching it in six months needs about 7.5% a month. The trigger is a 14-day average, so it lags spot supply and the crossing shows up a couple of weeks after the spot number does. Ethena Pay, 30 Days In πŸ‘‡ As per , Ethena Pay processed $615,560 in 30-day volume, up 296% on the prior 30 days, and $261,811 in the last 7 days, up 35.5%. That is the highest 7-day growth among the five card programs shown. Lifetime volume stands at $777,796, so about 79% of everything Ethena Pay has processed happened in the last 30 days. Daily active addresses moved between roughly 28 and 60 from Aug 16 to Aug 31, They have held between roughly 120 and 165 since, with the Sep 14 at 165. Bunt's POV The 18.7% month is a real reversal, and the fee switch gives supply growth a direct link to ENA demand once the $7.5B line is crossed. That said, the protocol thesis and the token thesis are separate here. Until the 14-day average reaches $7.5B, the switch does not buy ENA, so supply is the gate. Supply in turn depends on funding rates, which is why the equity perps book and the recovery in crypto perps funding carry most of the weight. Ethena Pay is the smallest near-term contributor. Card volume is about 0.01% of USDe supply, so it supports the case through usage and distribution while the funding catalysts do the supply work.
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The base case here is $LIT goes to $40 Now that a @Lighter_xyz commit in the prover repo shows binary options, it is looking more certain that there will be deeper integration with Robinhood My napkin math says the potential inclusion of options in the future could add ~$183M to Lighter's revenues (= buybacks) Note: this has many conservative assumptions
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5 days into Arc and @aeroxyz Lite has captured ~$4.6M in TVL Uniswap is the current DEX whale at ~$24M, so $AERO will have to put up a fight when it fully launches. I think the main differentiator will be Aero providing deep liquidity for onchain FX on Arc: > bring diversification to onchain FX > attract more businesses and protocols to build on Arc > better branding for as an L1 for stablecoins For now there's @circle EURC, and @AgantFinance's GBPA.
Aero Lite is live on @arc This advanced deployment will set up essential liquidity infrastructure on day one ahead of the full Aero launch. β†’ Swap tokens w/ USDC gas β†’ LP to earn fees + boosted rewards β†’ Integrate the best infra to power trades More: aero.xyz/articles/aero-lite-…
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This cycle seems to be the breakthrough - we got the GENIUS act and CFTC's exemptions, and I believe passing the CLARITY act is an eventual event. Revenue generating protocols will become increasingly viewed as companies with the blockchain rails - more familiar and palatable to valuate. IMO, the bet is on the category that can generate and distribute revenue, and has a good chance of capturing a market beyond crypto (aka integrating/becoming the infra for tradfi)
Holders are going to win this cycle. Revenue generating protocols aligned with their holders are going to win this cycle. This is the cycle where it all comes together, and the world realises that tokens are actually investable.
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Imagine $ZEC whales pouring into $NEAR. It's no longer about privacy cash but also what enables it. The current focus is keenly on intents volume right now, and how it ties into $ZEC. But $NEAR doesn't just serve as a beta to it. It is an integral part of privacy transactions - and there can be many more branches of privacy-related sources linked to it. Even if you add the favourite word of this cycle 'AI' into it, it still doesn't explain the full picture. Side bonus β†’ $NEARKAT distributes $NEAR, and it runs as a leveraged $NEAR play
So you didn't fullport when Naval shilled zcash:native And now you're trying to logic around why you should midcurve him posting about $NEAR Are you committed to being poor forever
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For those who just (re)discovered $NEAR: - Mission is all people own their assets, data and power of choice - Vision is AI is the frontend, markets/blockchain is the backend - Privacy is fundamental and enables the mission - NEAR Intents is universal, private markets routed already $30B, integrated across all of onchain ecosystem from Ledger to ZODL to Metamask to Trust to Brave - NEAR AI is private AI powering end to end encrypted inference in Brave, Venice, and more - More products across ecosystem are developing to leverage AI x markets - Apps in Web3 that don’t want to limit themself to one chain’s users use Intents to enable seamless connect by users of any chain - near(.)com brings this whole vision together into a consumer product making private unstoppable liquidity and (soon) AI seamless If you are using onchain and private products you are probably using NEAR. And if you are struggling onchain - try near(.)com for seamless experience.
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You want yields? Points? Giga-brain farming strats? A place where both yield and points farmooors can enjoy the treat! It's time for Yield Collective No. 56 Bring your wallet, let’s eat πŸ‘‡
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6️⃣ Base yield map (lending, LPs, stock tokens, Pendle) @Nibel_eth mapped where Base yield is actually coming from: Aave and Morpho lending, LP pairs, Coinbase stock tokens, Pendle PT/YT, and what looping pays or costs right now πŸ‘‡
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