tsvibt (@tsvibt) profile picture

tsvibt

@tsvibt
Joined December 2022
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I'm skeptical anyone knows at all when AGI comes. But that's BECAUSE there's nothing like a guarantee of sufficient warning before world-ending AI. We should be acting as though AGI very well might kill everyone any week now, unless we preemptively stop. nitter.cf/DavidSKrueger/status/2…
David Krueger 🦥 ⏸️ ⏹️ ⏪ (@DavidSKrueger) profile pictureDavid Krueger 🦥 ⏸️ ⏹️ ⏪
@DavidSKrueger11h
The thing is... we need to start stopping well before we reach the precipice if we want to actually be sure to stop in time. I'm still baffled by the way in which people seemingly fail to recognize this OBVIOUS fact. (Not talking about Richard or Nathan, just the discourse).
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Composite variables mask Amdahl. Suppose X has been going up. It's been going up continually, and a lot. And it's getting faster. That probably means X will continue going up. And, as far as we can tell, X will keep going up without bound. Right?
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If there are general factors, then many composite variables may go up at the same time. That is, if A is an underlying factor for many measurements {X,Y,Z,Yuzz,...}, then if A has been going up, also X and Y and etc. will all be going up.
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lesswrong.com/posts/Ht4JZtxn…
TsviBT's Shortform — LessWrong

TsviBT's Shortform — LessWrong

Comment by TsviBT - Composite variables mask Amdahl. Suppose X has been going up. It's been going up continually, and a lot. And it's getting faster. That probably means X will continue going up....

lesswrong.com
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tsvibt retweeted
tsvibt (@tsvibt) profile picture
tsvibt@tsvibtNov 12
Replying to @akrolsmir
I'm happy to have conversations with lab employees who feel too busy / fragmented to think in what feels like a clear / consistent / coherent way about strategy around AI progress, providing careful listening and support to help them think better about it by their own lights.
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tsvibt retweeted
tsvibt (@tsvibt) profile picture
tsvibt@tsvibtNov 11
Replying to @ApriiSR @an_interstice
Unfortunately, reality makes no promises that there will be sufficient signs before an event for you to have any reasonable forewarning given feasible effort. This is important to keep in mind. lesswrong.com/posts/Ht4JZtxn…
TsviBT's Shortform — LessWrong

TsviBT's Shortform — LessWrong

Comment by TsviBT - There's a bias called insensitivity to predictability. Adjacently, or more narrowly, I think sometimes people have a bias that we could call something like "a belief in epistemic...

lesswrong.com
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oh hell yeah actually nitter.cf/darkacademician/status…
darkacademician (@darkacademician) profile picturedarkacademician@darkacademicianNov 9
Image from darkacademician (@darkacademician)
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AI companies admit what they’re building might kill everyone. We don't have to agree to this. Add your name at donotaccept.ai to say: we do not accept your terms.
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A message for AI lab employees: If someone is really, truly forced to pick up into their own hands the tools to destroy the entire world, ok. But they should be terrified of this, and should seek at all times, with as much energy as they can spare, to get out of that situation!
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To unpack, RSI means: 1. Grow an alien by mutating it when it does something unsuccessful on coding tests & hypertrophing it when it does something successful; 2. have the first alien write the tests & mutation code to grow a second alien; 3. and so on. nitter.cf/RepCasar/status/211886…
Congressman Greg Casar (@RepCasar) profile pictureCongressman Greg Casar
@RepCasarNov 7
Ban RSI.
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please nitter.cf/RepCasar/status/211886…
Congressman Greg Casar (@RepCasar) profile pictureCongressman Greg Casar
@RepCasarNov 7
Ban RSI.
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Be advised: Due to the way that the Survival & Flourishing Fund does speculation grants, it is advantageous to your application if you apply far away from a round's deadline. E.g. right now. See below for projects I'd be interested in making speculation grants to.⬇️
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survivalandflourishing.fund/ I was a Recommender in a past Theme Round & I'm currently a speculation grantor. My interests: lesswrong.com/posts/MBxSbzYE… In particular, I'm interested in reprogenetics: reprogeneticsinstitute.org/a… (Feel free to reach out to me if you have a relevant project.)
Survival and Flourishing Fund

Survival and Flourishing Fund

Survival and Flourishing Fund (SFF) is a website for organizing the collection and evaluation of applications for donations to organizations concerned with the long-term survival and flourishing of...

survivalandflourishing.fund
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Our hope in ourselves, our loved ones, and in society comes from the idea of a better future. If that future is cut off by a death, hope is also cut off. What if we could pause death, to be reversed in the future? There's already a version 2 of this tech, and it's on sale! Link⬇️
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@NectomeResearch articles.nectome.com/p/until… lesswrong.com/s/XA2CwgqLFRGx…
Until January 15: preservation discount cards now available for $29k

Until January 15: preservation discount cards now available for $29k

Reach out to us at [email protected] to discuss

articles.nectome.com
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mistake theory , ladies and gentlemen nitter.cf/IsaacKing314/status/21…
Isaac King 🔎 (@IsaacKing314) profile pictureIsaac King 🔎@IsaacKing314Nov 2
This is now the second time my jacket has been stolen at Lighthaven. Is there some jacket-sharing policy I am unaware of
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