ashok patel (@ugaap) profile picture

Chemical Engineer, Independent Climate Researcher, Asset Allocation Strategist, Weather Analyst.

Rajkot
Joined May 2010
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Minimum Temperatures Expected to Range from Below Normal to Above Normal, While Maximum Temperatures Remain Near to Above Normal Across Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch During 6–13 November 2026 gujaratweather.com/?p=60485
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KOLA ENSO Classification Framework Media Hype vs. Scientific Clarity In recent years, the media has often described powerful El Niño events with dramatic labels such as “Monster El Niño” or “Godzilla El Niño.” While these terms grab attention, they lack scientific precision and can create confusion about the actual intensity of the event. Details available at the link below. gujaratweather.com/?p=57204
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સૌરાષ્ટ્ર, ગુજરાત અને કચ્છમાં 6થી 13 નવેમ્બર 2026 દરમિયાન લઘુત્તમ તાપમાન નોર્મલ કરતાં નીચાથી નોર્મલ કરતાં ઊંચું રહેવાની શક્યતા, જ્યારે મહત્તમ તાપમાન નોર્મલ અથવા નોર્મલ કરતાં ઊંચું રહેવાની શક્યતા gujaratweather.com/?p=60485
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Minimum Temperatures Expected to Range from Below Normal to Above Normal, While Maximum Temperatures Remain Near to Above Normal Across Saurashtra, Gujarat & Kutch During 6–13 November 2026 gujaratweather.com/?p=60485
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KOLA ENSO વર્ગીકરણ માળખું મીડિયાનો પ્રચાર વિરુદ્ધ વૈજ્ઞાનિક સ્પષ્ટતા તાજેતરનાં વર્ષોમાં મીડિયાએ ઘણી વખત શક્તિશાળી અલ નીનો ઘટનાઓને “મોન્સ્ટર અલ નીનો” અથવા “ગોડઝિલા અલ નીનો” જેવા નાટકીય નામોથી ઓળખાવી છે. આવા શબ્દો લોકોનું ધ્યાન આકર્ષિત કરે છે, પરંતુ તેમાં વૈજ્ઞાનિક ચોકસાઈનો અભાવ હોય છે અને વાસ્તવિક ઘટનાની તીવ્રતા અંગે ગેરસમજ ઊભી થઈ શકે છે. વિગત માટે જોવો નીચે આપેલ લિંક પર gujaratweather.com/?p=57204
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One Index, Multiple Perspectives — A Buffet of RONIs! visit gujaratweather.com/?page_id=…
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October end marks the fifth consecutive overlapping Seasonal Relative Oceanic Niño Index (RONI) equal to or above +0.5°C. El Niño Criteria fulfilled ! The ASO 2026 RONI at 2.0°C
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Gujarat State: 31st October 2026: Unseasonal rainfall data for last 24 hours ending today morning 06.00 am. Source: SEOC, Gandhinagar
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ગુજરાત રાજ્ય માં: 31 ઓક્ટોબર સવારે 6 વાગ્યા સુધી ના છેલ્લા 24 કલાક ના વરસાદ ના આંકડા માહિતી સ્ત્રોત: SEOC, ગાંધીનગર
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OISSTv2.1 Data based KOLA Relative Nino Index (RONI) is 2.71 C for Week 43 ending 28th October 2026. Current Month 2026 KOLA RONI 2.57 and KOLA RONI Daily for 21st October are both 2.66C Current Status: Extremely Strong El Niño
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El Niño expected to peak November 2026 CSFv.2 Data based KOLA rNiño3.4 Forecast Plumes E3, E2 & E1 for 30th October 2026
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Status: 28th October 2026 KOLA IOD for Week 43 has increased again to +0.80 C. The Persistence requirement: The index must remain beyond the threshold for at least 8 consecutive weeks. Additionally, the 12‑week running mean of the DMI must also remain beyond the threshold. The West Tropical Indian Ocean (WTIO) is at 1.11 C above normal while South East Tropical Indian Ocean (SETIO) is at 0.32 C above normal.
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Very Severe Cyclonic Storm ARNAB Makes Landfall Near Yanam Along the Andhra Pradesh Coast — Gujarat Maximum Temperatures Expected to Range from 35°C to 37°C During 28 October–4 November 2026; Possibility of Isolated Showers in Latter Part of Forecast Period gujaratweather.com/?p=59910
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Very Severe Cyclonic Storm ARNAB Makes Landfall Near Yanam Along the Andhra Pradesh Coast — Gujarat Maximum Temperatures Expected to Range from 35°C to 37°C During 28 October–4 November 2026; Possibility of Isolated Showers in Latter Part of Forecast Period
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અતિ તીવ્ર ચક્રવાતી વાવાઝોડું ARNAB આંધ્રપ્રદેશના દરિયાકાંઠે યાનમ નજીક ત્રાટક્યું — ગુજરાતમાં 28 ઑક્ટોબરથી 4 નવેમ્બર 2026 દરમિયાન મહત્તમ તાપમાન 35°Cથી 37°C રહેવાની શક્યતા; આગાહી સમયગાળાના ઉત્તરાર્ધમાં આઇસોલેટેડ ઝાપટાંની શક્યતા gujaratweather.com/?p=59910
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