Ryan Graves (@uncertainvector) header
Ryan Graves (@uncertainvector) profile picture

Looking up.

Austin, TX
Joined October 2012
Photo by Ryan Graves (@uncertainvector)Photo by Ryan Graves (@uncertainvector)Photo by Ryan Graves (@uncertainvector)Photo by Ryan Graves (@uncertainvector)Photo by Ryan Graves (@uncertainvector)Photo by Ryan Graves (@uncertainvector)Photo by Ryan Graves (@uncertainvector)Photo by Ryan Graves (@uncertainvector)Photo by Ryan Graves (@uncertainvector)Photo by Ryan Graves (@uncertainvector)
Ryan Graves retweeted
NEW: President Trump is asked if he will disclose the truth about aliens and UFO reverse-engineered technology — “We are releasing everything”
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Isbell doesn’t claim to know what any of it was, only that, as he puts it, something is interacting with us. Second part of the story live now: youtu.be/aoWeeiwg09M
🤖 Made with AI
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Air Force pilot Dan Isbell says the craft hovering just above the tree line over an English golf course matched nothing he knew, not Soviet, not NATO, not any aircraft he was familiar with. Part 1 of Dan's full interview live now: youtu.be/MJHO8iB6tDw
🤖 Made with AI
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Taxiing for a test mission, Air Force pilot Dan Isbell says a battery explosion tore open his F-16 and sent flames spreading across the aircraft. Watch Part 1 of Dan's full interview here: youtu.be/MJHO8iB6tDw
🤖 Made with AI
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Black triangles. Close calls. What are pilots reporting? In Episode 8 of the Safe Aerospace Podcast, Jonathan Miller (JMill) joins Ryan Graves to explore UAP reports, sensemaking, and turning witness accounts into evidence. youtu.be/GXBqRjpeUA4
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Ryan Graves retweeted
The Defense Department issued a legal waiver authorizing current and former personnel to share unidentified anomalous phenomena–related classified information, but it doesn’t extend to other agencies. wired.com/story/trump-defens…
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RELEASE: Department of War Issues Legal Waiver to Authorize UAP Disclosures to PURSUE "This waiver establishes an authorized, legally protected disclosure mechanism for current and former personnel to provide UAP-related National Defense Information (NDI) to designated representatives of the PURSUE effort. Under this directive, all current and former DOW service members, civilian personnel, and contractors holding or previously granted access to UAP-related National Defense Information (NDI) are authorized to disclose protected information directly to official PURSUE representatives. The waiver supersedes civil and administrative enforcement provisions contained within Non-Disclosure Agreements (NDAs) and Special Access Program Indoctrination Agreements (SAPIAs) previously executed within the United States, strictly for communications directed to the PURSUE team." war.gov/News/Releases/Releas…
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Our newest episode is live. Former Navy F-18 pilot Austin Hulbert dismissed his encounter as a balloon. Years later, building military balloons made him reconsider. Austin joins Ryan Graves to revisit what he saw and what changed his mind. youtube.com/watch?v=kZKYUyuu…
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Dear everyone, Some new and very exciting news from the VASCO team! First, our machine-learning paper has been accepted for publication following peer review and is now in press. In this paper, we used machine learning to address some of the criticism concerning plate defects and remove contaminants from the sample. We demonstrate that all the intriguing correlations become even stronger as the sample becomes cleaner. More on this once the final version is published. Second, we have two new preprints. In the first, we use Earth-shadow statistics to infer the altitudes of the objects producing the transients. The results suggest that the objects are located approximately 20,000–35,786 km above the Earth’s surface, with the upper limit corresponding to geosynchronous altitude. They are clustering near the equator. We model their properties. The objects have highly reflective surfaces that are small, flat and ranging from a few centimetres to about 3 metres. Their small sizes may partly reflect the transient-search methodology, in which brighter objects were filtered out. We also discuss various toy models that could explain their observed properties, including sudden changes in attitude (direction of the nose). Third, we use the projected locations of the pre-Sputnik transients to identify geographic hotspots of transients. Intriguingly, Sedona, White Sands/El Paso, Tampico and several other locations emerge. And we find further associations with nuclear weapons tests. Enjoy these three pieces of news! Read the two new preprints here: arxiv.org/pdf/2609.05105 arxiv.org/pdf/2609.09461
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Ryan Graves retweeted
Re both the possibilities of non-Earth-life in the Solar System, and that some-UFOs-are-aliens, reasonable priors are pretty high. So Bayesian analysis does NOT recommend treating these as "extraordinary" hypotheses demanding very strong evidence. overcomingbias.com/p/aliens-…
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Ryan Graves retweeted
They hover in place. Then they go from a dead stop to Mach speed instantly. I'm not going to tell you what they are. I'm telling you the people briefing me say they don't know either. That is the problem.
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Ryan Graves retweeted
Our own agencies went back through every past sighting, asked what draws these things in, then recreated those conditions on purpose at a site with prior activity. ODNI, CIA, FBI and military intelligence were all on site. Something showed up.
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Ryan Graves retweeted
I came to this as a complete skeptic. I still am one. But when military personnel come forward, when our bases get incursions, and when Congress is kept in the dark, you have an obligation to look. That's why I wrote the disclosure amendment.
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Haqq-Misra and Kopparapu analyzed all 112 sensor videos released by the Pentagon under PURSUE. Their conclusion is simple and uncomfortable: range, field of view, aircraft velocity and trajectory, viewing geometry, and radar data are missing. Without them, pixels per frame cannot be converted into real-world speed. This is exactly what I’ve been saying. It doesn’t prove anything extraordinary—but it also means Mick West and other debunkers cannot fill the gaps with assumptions and then declare the object “solved” as a bird or balloon. Serious skepticism admits: we don’t know. Missing data is not evidence for a mundane explanation. arxiv.org/abs/2608.12445
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Ryan Graves retweeted
After decades of secrecy and stigma, the government has at last begun taking UAPs (formerly called UFOs) seriously—and for good reason time.com/article/2026/08/06/…
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Ryan Graves retweeted
NEW: President Trump was briefed on UFO Disclosure by Robert Bigelow in the Oval Office in February Bigelow tells George Knapp he advised Trump to reveal to Americans that “a non-human intelligent presence has been on Earth for a very long time using spacecraft with performances completely beyond our capabilities and human physics.” Bigelow says he has direct knowledge of which aerospace companies have UFO craft and proposed that Trump grant them amnesty for helping the Government hide the truth for 80 years. Bigelow says that China and Russia are aware that the U.S. has UFO crash retrievals, reverse-engineering programs, and bodies.
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Today, I'm releasing preliminary implementation guidance shared by the Trump administration regarding President Trump's UAP NDA directive. If you have questions about the directive, or believe it may apply to you, I encourage you to contact my office or another Member of Congress if you need assistance navigating the process. Full release and memorandum: burlison.house.gov/media/pre…
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Ryan Graves retweeted
President Trump is delivering on his commitment to unprecedented UAP transparency. With nondisclosure agreements no longer standing in the way, current and former government employees and contractors with relevant UAP information can come forward through cleared channels. @ODNIgov will soon issue guidance to ensure the Intelligence Community swiftly and consistently implements the President’s directive.
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At about 12:15 PM EDT on July 22, the House added @RepEricBurlison's UAP records-board amendment (no. 315) to the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA), H.R. 8800, as part of an en bloc amendment package (i.e., without a floor debate or roll call vote). The House has not yet completed action on H.R. 8800.
HOUSE RULES COMMITTEE APPEARS POISED TO ALLOW VOTE ON REVISED BURLISON UAP DISCLOSURE AMENDMENT Congressman Eric Burlison (R-MO) has submitted a revised version ("version 2") of his "UAP disclosure" measure to the Rules Committee of the U.S. House of Representatives, and it now appears that the committee is poised to allow consideration of the revised amendment when the House takes up its version of the Fiscal Year 2027 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA, H.R. 8800) within days. As of early on July 19, 2026, Burlison's "version 2" is now labeled as "Made in Order" on the Rules Committee website. Also, the Rules Committee is scheduled to meet on July 20 at 2 PM EDT to make revisions pertaining to floor procedures on H.R. 8800. The analysis that follows below is based on the premise that the information currently found on the Rules Committee website is accurate and will be implemented. When substantial additional information becomes available, I will post it in replies to this long post. The complete text of Burlison's version 2 (dated July 15, 2026) is accessible via the link in the first reply to this post. The main revisions found in "version 2" are deletions of references to oversight functions of the Armed Services and Intelligence committees of the House and Senate; the only committees named in version 2 are the Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee, and the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee. The purpose of these changes might be to reduce the number of sign-offs necessary for the 62-page amendment to be made in order; if so, these changes do not necessarily predict the congressional oversight architecture that would be part of any final version that might emerge from the future House-Senate NDAA conference committee. The various provisions of most interest to the "UAP disclosure" community are retained and still largely track the original Schumer-Rounds UAP Disclosure Act (UAPDA) first unveiled in July 2023. It would establish a temporary federal agency, consisting of a presidentially appointed, Senate-confirmed review board with professional staff, dedicated to locating records and materials related to Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena (UAP). The amendment contains multiple provisions that refer to "non-human intelligence," which the amendment defines as meaning "any sentient intelligent non-human lifeform regardless of nature or ultimate origin that may be presumed responsible for unidentified anomalous phenomena or of which the Federal Government has become aware." It also refers repeatedly to "technologies of unknown origin," defined to include devices "incorporating science and technology that lacks prosaic attribution or known means of human manufacture." Burlison's amendment also still contains a provision objected to by some UFO-oriented groups in past years and supported by others, mandating that the government assume control of "all recovered technologies of unknown origin and biological evidence of non-human intelligence that may be controlled by private persons or entities," through the exercise of the power of eminent domain. The Rules Committee is apparently engaged in making adjustments to its initial list of in-order amendments to H.R. 8800, approved on June 29, because the initial resolution ("the Rule") approved by the Rules Committee failed on the House floor on June 30 (198-224), due to opposition by a group of 13 Republicans who joined all voting Democrats in opposition. After the vote, both Burlison and Rep. Tim Burchett (R-TN) mentioned the initial exclusion of Burlison's UAP amendment as among the reasons for their nay votes. As I have explained in past posts, of the over 300 amendments that the Rules Committee has made in order to H.R. 8800, some will be accepted on the floor in batches ("en bloc") by voice vote, and others will be subject to separate roll call votes. House Armed Services Committee Chairman Mike Rogers (R-AL) and other committee leaders will have much to say about which amendments are deemed appropriate for inclusion in en bloc packages. At a June 25 forum on Capitol Hill sponsored by The Disclosure Foundation, Burlison said he wanted the Rules Committee to make his amendment in order "so that when it [NDAA] comes to the floor, at least we get an opportunity to have a vote on the UAP Disclosure Act. And then you'll know who supports it and who doesn't." However, when any amendment is wrapped into an en bloc amendment, it then has a guaranteed ticket to make it at least as far as the House-Senate conference committee. In contrast, an amendment voted down on the floor of either chamber faces sharply diminished prospects in conference committee, even if the other chamber approves a similar proposal. The outcome of a separate roll call vote on an expansive UAP-related amendment would be highly uncertain at best. It should be kept in mind that no amendment explicitly referring to UAP or UFOs has ever been the subject of a stand-alone roll call vote on the floor of either chamber of Congress. (Approval of the UAPDA by the Senate in 2023 occurred as part of a negotiated amendment package, not a separate floor vote; the same is true of a series of UAP-related provisions that were enacted in recent years.) Moreover, no version of the UAP Disclosure Act has ever been the subject of a public hearing or a roll call vote in any committee of Congress. The Burlison proposal has been cosponsored by Reps. Eli Crane (R-AZ), Andre Carson (D-IN), Anna Paulina Luna (R-FL), Jared Moskowitz (D-FL), and Nick Begich (R-AK). A link to the complete text of Burlison's version 2 amendment appears in the first reply to this post. In the Senate, an initial attempt to begin floor debate on the Senate version of the NDAA (S. 4784) was blocked by Senate Democrats on July 14, largely due to disputes related to military funding levels and the war with Iran. It is not clear how soon the bill might move forward. NDAA is regarded as "must-pass" legislation; an annual defense authorization bill has been enacted for 65 consecutive fiscal years. As of July 19, senators have filed 870 proposed amendments to S. 4784, including SA 6344, the version of the UAPDA filed by Senators Chuck Schumer (D-NY) and Mike Rounds (R-SD) on June 24. A link to the complete text of the Schumer-Rounds amendment (SA 6344) appears in the second reply to this post. As I reported on June 26, SA 6344 contains one new provision not found in previous versions, stating that nothing in the amendment "shall be construed to create any new access to a special access program or a controlled access program." This new rule of construction appears to contradict other provisions; its addition may be intended to address objections that could prevent the proposal from being included in a negotiated amendment package and thereby making it to conference committee. An NDAA conference committee can revise language on any matter in virtually any way it sees fit, so long as its final massive product can muster a majority in both chambers and avoid a presidential veto. Replies with questions or comments are welcome if they deal directly with the substance of these legislative proposals, or the legislative processes being employed (although I cannot always reply rapidly). Discussion of other UAP matters or personalities does not belong in this thread; those who egregiously violate this advisory may be blocked.
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