A political intelligence platform tracking opinion across elections, regions, candidates, and issues every week.
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Spun this up today.
Live results for every race tonight, plus what most trackers don’t show: votes left, county shifts from 2024, live control needles, and a running feed of calls, lead changes and breaking news.
Check out our election desk 👇
vantage-desk.com/#control
Election night in 15 seconds.
Every circle is a 2026 race. At 6 PM, 45 were toss-ups. Watch them break as the votes come in: 509 races called by Thursday noon.
Which race were you watching? 👇
Trump won Louisiana by 22 points in 2024.
Last night, the Republican Senate candidate won it by under 2.
Julia Letlow (R) beat Jamie Davis (D) by 25,857 votes, the closest Louisiana Senate race since 1996.
All 64 Louisiana parishes moved toward Democrats compared with 2024. Not one moved right.
The swing was just as big in small rural parishes (+19) as in the big metro ones (+18).
Livingston Parish, Trump +68, still moved 23 points.
Pretty remarkable. Across the 2,143 counties we've tracked in Senate races, 96% shifted toward Democrats compared to the 2024 presidential election.
The average shift was 15.3 points toward Democrats.
Vantage Data House retweeted
VANTAGE ESTIMATE
Iowa U.S. Senate | LV | 10/26
🔵 Josh Turek (D) 49.7%
🔴 Ashley Hinson (R) 49.0%
Turek +0.7 (±3.2)
Rating: Lean R → Toss-Up
Mississippi (U.S. Senate): in the 80 counties that have finished counting, the margin is running D+20.4 compared with the 2024 presidential race. 80 of 80 moved toward Democrats. vantage-desk.com/?r=us_senat…
Louisiana Senate, 89% counted: Letlow (R) leads by 88K (R+6.5).
Only Orleans and East Baton Rouge are still counting. Even at their current margins, the remaining votes would bring it to about R+2.5, not enough for Davis.
Louisiana Senate, 83% counted: Letlow (R) +7.8.
Most of the vote left is in Orleans and East Baton Rouge. Our county model has it tightening to about R+3, close to our pre-election R+2.1.
Davis would need the rest to break D+47. It’s breaking about D+34.
Adam Hamilton (D) is projected to win Kansas U.S. Senate, per Civic API.
Hamilton 52.5%
Marshall 44.3%
(88% counted) vantage-desk.com/?r=us_senat…
James Talarico (D) is projected to win Texas U.S. Senate
Talarico 58.0%
Paxton 40.4%
(62% counted) vantage-desk.com/?r=us_senat…
Here's how Louisiana is shifting compared to Trump's 2024 margins, parish by parish. A whole lot of blue on this map so far.
77% of the vote counted.
Jon Ossoff (D) has won Georgia U.S. Senate.
Ossoff 58.8%
Collins 41.2%
(81% counted) vantage-desk.com/?r=us_senat…
LA-05, 80% counted: no one is close to a majority, so it's headed to a runoff.
Patricia "Pat" Moore leads by 3,356 votes. Roughly 51K votes are still to be counted. The fight is for the second spot: Firment (R) 16.4%, Cordell (R) 14.9%, Echols (R) 14.8%. Cordell and Echols are separated by 58 votes.
vantage-desk.com/?r=us_house…
Louisiana (U.S. Senate): in the 22 counties that have finished counting, the margin is running D+19.4 compared with the 2024 presidential race. 22 of 22 moved toward Democrats.
vantage-desk.com/?r=us_senat…
NC-07
82% counted: Kim Hardy leads by 6,695 votes.
Roughly 57K votes are still to be counted. Rouzer would need about 56% of them to catch up.
vantage-desk.com/?r=us_house…
Ashley Moody (R) is projected to win Florida U.S. Senate
Moody 50.9%
Nixon 47.9%
(92% counted)
vantage-desk.com/?r=us_senat…