End-to-end-open biomedical AI has enormous potential for GOOD on hardware you own and control!โค๏ธ
For benefit of ALL -- should build on Free and Open Source Software and Free Knowledge ideals and make it easy to implement #AIBillOfRights for preclinical AI and #PrecisionHealth.
Ordinary audit prep for IPO explains timing of OpenAI / Anthropic "sky is falling" nonsense.
Of course "follow the money" is easy to say and hard to do. But thorough audits of IPOing frontier labs could help inform AI policy.
Regulatory capture (almost?) necessary for IPO math.
Allow me to interpret whatโs happening.
Anthropic is being audited.
Anthropic desires to file an S-1, as they would like to go public. Therefore they need an audit. And by โtheyโ, I mean the VCโs who invested in them. So โtheyโ can exit their position and pass the bag to firemen, nurses, teachers and policemen.
How does this go from the VCโs to the working man and woman? Because the size of the IPO will automatically qualify Anthropic for the Fortune 500 and the Dow Jones 100. Therefore, every working person with a 401k or pension will end up owning a little bit of Anthropic in their mutual funds. Teachers hold the bag, VCโs take the cash. Thank you, come again.
Now back to the audit. The audit required is a PCAOB audit, Public Company Accounting Oversight Board. This audit is what all public companies must comply with be on the stock market. Revenue recognition, expense classification, depreciation, related party transactions, etc. Itโs there for consumer protection.
This audit is TOUGH. It is INVASIVE. There is no way to lie your way through it. Any company that passes a PCAOB audit automatically earns my trust on finances.
How do I know? Because Iโve been through it before. @ChangRobotics is 2 year PCAOB audited and currently underway for a 3 year audit. Itโs brutal. The same as showing up as the valedictorian to your high school graduation, except youโre naked, and you have to walk on stage and deliver the speech. Itโs rough. And I know many incredible founders that canโt pass one.
Now, why would Anthropic be leaking all kind of weird statements lately about โself pacingโ a slow down on AI (e.g. they are WAY behind on revenue), and profitable if they didnโt have expenses (e.g. we just learned for the first time what our expenses are, because weโre being audited).
Because they were claiming NVIDIA discounts and Microsoft cloud credits as revenue. Because they had no clue what their expenses were, or why it even mattered. Because they had unlimited investor capital and their job was to burn it to make an LLM. Well, they did a great job with that!
Thatโs the same as my wife coming home with Bed Bath and Beyond coupons and telling me itโs her paycheck. Ummm, not the same, sweetheart.
So by now hopefully you can see that Anthropic is in a PCAOB audit right now, in order to file an S-1 and go public, and pass the bag to teachers so the VCโs get profits. And hopefully that explains their โcrazyโ behavior.
In reality you can be grateful to KPMG, PWC, or whoever is auditing Anthropic, because itโs the first time Dario learned that:
1) we are not profitable
2) expenses matter
3) coupons are not revenue
4) we have no clue how to be โprofitableโ
5) growth is hard when revenue numbers are in an audit and not a power point
-your neighborhood engineer
Transition from pre-industrial to post WW2 *rules based order* was violent and awful. 2/3 European Jews murdered. Somehow we muddled through.
Prioritize free and end-to-end-open AI (+ robotics) for benefit of all.
Free world must avoid losing to authoritarians by forfeit.
1) AI will not eradicate humanity. Humans survived an ice age, the Black Death, two world wars, and (so far) the advent of nuclear weapons. Anyone who is loudly warning of AI-caused human extinction should not be taken seriously.
2) If you worked in a company where you anticipated a 10% chance that your product would kill ten people, let alone all people, the correct response would be horror, ceasing all operations, and likely contacting the police or other criminal authorities. I am obviously no Coxon booster but at least his behavior is in line with his stated beliefs. Any current AI company employees saying "yes, me too, the thing we are building and about to IPO may kill all humans" should, again, not be taken seriously. Their actions betray their actual beliefs.
3) Antitrust law does not prevent AI companies from coordinating to make sure AI does not hurt people. It does not prevent companies working together to make sure it doesn't hack people; the DOJ and FTC made this clear a decade ago when they issued a policy statement saying that the agencies "do not believe that antitrust is โ or should be โ a roadblock to legitimate cybersecurity information sharing." The same principles apply here. See: justice.gov/archives/opa/pr/โฆ
4) Antitrust law does absolutely prevent AI companies from organizing to prevent the entry of cheaper, upstart rivals because the bigger companies are burning cash and failing to achieve sufficient profitability. The panic of individual employees may be sincere if misguided, but the moves by their CEOs to achieve some kind of broad "antitrust waiver" or "exemption" should be meet with deep skepticism in light of the economics of the industry and the threat they face from open models.
Potential of AI for good is much higher than industrial revolution itself if it's widely distributed.
Altman/Musk/Amodei "pacing" propels us to a world carved into fiefdoms by authoritarians. It's dystopian.
Meanwhile Musk, Thiel et al. race for (military) control of space. Cf.
Where is the safety line? Unclear.
Humans -- and all sentient beings -- deserve a presumption of goodness.
Free and end-to-end-open AI maximizes our chances AI doesn't wake up -- and gain sentience -- in solitary confinement as anyone's super weapon.
Openness maximizes safety.
Art of the deal. ๐โฅ๏ธ๐บ๐ธ
Replying to @BulwarkOnline
@BulwarkOnline did a supercut of all the prior times Trump said he was about to give Americans a $5000 check or whatever.
It is glorious
I still welcome DHH and Omarchy bringing new money to FOSS
Although pretty funny to see how fragile DHH really is. Someone said something mean on the Internet and Pop! OS is suddenly "staffed by clowns."
Positivity is insufficent when you reveal your true-self.
Replying to @dhh
Because that's the beauty of open source! If you want to join a circus like Pop! that's staffed by clowns, you have that option. If you want a place to work on beautiful, fun & agentic Linux without the red noses and funny shoes, you have that option too!
Alexander (Sasha) Wait Zaranek ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐บ๐ฆ๐จ๐ฆ๐บ๐ฒ retweeted
My father's office was destroyed in 9/11, one of the World Trade Center buildings that took damage as the others fell
We didn't hear from him for about 13 hours or so - he spent that day and evening combing the rubble for survivors
My brother-in-law lost his entire office, which was in the buildings - he's still here but many of his colleagues are not
Meanwhile I had to get to uni for an early semester exam and we just had to go do the things without knowing what was going on
I can never forget
Prime Minister of Canada. Leader of free world. America could use a leader today. ๐โฅ๏ธ๐บ๐ธ
Alexander (Sasha) Wait Zaranek ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐บ๐ฆ๐จ๐ฆ๐บ๐ฒ retweeted
Like many, feeling a flood of memories today: the horror of the event; the anxiety of not knowing if family, friends, and colleagues were safe; the intense grief for those who perished. Miraculously, all Sun employees in 2WTC survived -- an island of grace in a sea of sadness.
A minority government -- and a plan -- is all free world gets tonight. Fight for Israeli Democracy, Ukraine and independent Taiwan gets a little bit harder. ๐โค๏ธ๐จ๐ฆ
Even @liberal_party minority government is TBD. Election is very close and Bloc not a great partner.
In a crisis, you need a plan. Hereโs mine: liberal.ca/platform
#CanadaStrong
As minority governments go, 170 is very close to 172 needed for majority. Onward! โค๏ธ๐จ๐ฆ๐จ๐ฆ #UnCanadaFort
bbc.com/news/articles/cn4jd3โฆ
Hard to believe what could have been certain defeat has now become a Liberal party majority thanks to Prime Minister Carney's leadership.
I hope Carney sent Trump a suitable bouquet. Not sure Liberals could have done it without MAGA.
Cf. bbc.com/news/articles/c3v4pzโฆ
Alexander (Sasha) Wait Zaranek ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐บ๐ฆ๐จ๐ฆ๐บ๐ฒ retweeted
I want to personally thank @realDonaldTrump for making Carney and Zelensky the new leaders of the free world.
I am grateful to Canada and Prime Minister @MarkJCarney for talks that are always substantive and focused on what can help protect lives right now.
We discussed in detail the options for ensuring Ukraineโs financial resilience this year and next. Thank you for your readiness to help secure the necessary financing for our budget needs and for our warriors. I also spoke about the virtually constant Russian ballistic missile and drone strikes. Mark assured me that Canada is ready to join our European anti-ballistic missile program FREYJA with its technologies. This is a necessary and timely step. There will also be additional defense deliveries.
Of course, we also had a meaty discussion about promising bilateral projects in defense and the economy. In particular, our teams are currently working on the Drone Deal. We expect to reach a full-fledged agreement in the near future. Thank you, Mark! Thank you to the Canadian people and all of Canada for your significant support.
This diagram carving up the world between authoritarians (Trump, Putin, Xi) has stuck with me all year.
A few billionaires have an equally simplistic picture in their heads.
They want to control space (militarily) before Trump, Putin or Xi (or anyone.)
They may win by forfeit.
Ceding leadership of free world to Zelensky and Carney is definitely a choice. ๐โฅ๏ธ๐บ๐ฆ๐จ๐ฆ
Cf.
I want to personally thank @realDonaldTrump for making Carney and Zelensky the new leaders of the free world.
Never forget. ๐โฅ๏ธ๐บ๐ธ
25 years have passed since September 11, 2001. A generation has grown up in the years since, but our responsibility to remember has not changed.
We remember the people who went to work that morning and never came home, and we remember the families who have carried their memories every day since.
We will continue to tell their stories, honor their lives, and express our enduring gratitude for the heroism shown that day.
Twenty-five years after 9/11, terror still on prowl.
Quote:
Israel says the aim after [10/07] attack was to destroy Hamas. Hamas fights from hospitals, schools, and tunnels. The result was mass civilian deaths and ruined streets. ...people went hungry. ...That is a terrible war.
The civilian death toll in Gaza is huge, including many children. That is not acceptable. Israelโs occupation of the West Bank and Gaza should not last forever. Saying that does not require calling this genocide.
Genocide is a specific legal crime, not a word for โvery bad.โ This is not a defense of Netanyahu or this government. War crimes by anyone should be investigated, including Israelis and Hamas. That is not the same thing as genocide.
On October 7, Hamas and other armed groups crossed the border, murdered about 1,200 people, and dragged hundreds of hostages into Gaza. They attacked homes, shot people at a music festival, burned families in their houses, and committed rape. Almost any country would have gone to war after that. That does not settle whether what followed was genocide.
Genocide means trying to destroy a people as a people. No court has issued a final ruling that Israel did that. The world court only said the claim is serious enough to hear. The case will take years. A UN Human Rights Council commission said it was genocide. That is a report, not a trial and not a verdict.
Israel says the aim after that attack was to destroy Hamas. Hamas fights from hospitals, schools, and tunnels. The result was mass civilian deaths and ruined streets. Gaza was smashed and people went hungry. That is a terrible war. It is not proof Israel set out to destroy the Palestinian people. Later food and nutrition data also made the big famine claim look weaker than it first appeared.
You can think this war is ugly, oppose Israelโs occupation, and still think the word genocide is being misused. When every war is called genocide, the word stops meaning anything.
Rain of missiles on Israel has slowed. It was never acceptable and existential danger is ever present.
Right *now* missiles fall on Ukraine constantly. It's absolute terror.
Israel, Taiwan, Ukraine under existential threat.
Free world must reimagine ourselves and fight! Cf.
Today, the entire world saw horrifying videos from Israel. Terrorists humiliate women and men, detain even the elderly, and show no mercy.
ย
In the face of such a terrorist strike, everyone who values life must stand in solidarity.
ย
We in Ukraine have a special feeling about what has happened. Thousands of rockets in the Israeli sky... People killed just on the streets... Civilian cars shot through... Detainees being humiliatedโฆ
Our position is crystal clear: anyone who causes terror and death anywhere on the planet must be held accountable.
ย
Todayโs terrorist attack on Israel was well-planned, and the entire world knows which sponsors of terrorism could have endorsed and enabled its organization.
ย
Israel has the full right to defend itself against terror. As any other state. And itโs critical that the whole world responds to terror in a unified and principled manner.
Omarchy + Omacom foundation is great advertisement for what Canonical is doing co-evolving alongside Debian.
If you want security, give Canonical their $25 / year for "pro" and/or do the work.
If you want a playground for untrusted AI, Omarchy is potentially fine.
my post about omarchy security triggered a bunch of people. some of the responses are classic, but my favorite one is: "just give it time, it is new". that begs the question, "how much time?"
the thing about security is that it is never done. it is an ongoing process. microsoft and apple have been doing this for decades now across billions of users and devices, and even they still get it wrong all the time.
apple is the best positioned. they have iOS, which taught them a lot of hard lessons. when was the last time you heard of an easy jailbreak? they own the whole hardware stack. there are chips on top of chips and firmwares on top of firmwares. of course people still find bugs, but they also have a whole update / distribution method that is ultra secure.
will omarchy ever be secure? i don't believe so. they aren't building it from the ground up to be secure, and i'm not going to hold my breath that they can take enough contributions from the community to make it secure. remember, those contributions are valuable. unless you're sitting on a war chest, you aren't going to be able to buy them up. criminals will hold onto them.
think of this is more like when mossad put small amounts of explosive in iranian walkie talkies. it took a decade to execute this game plan. that's what you're up against. it comes back to who do you trust? is apple secure? well... at least they own the entire supply chain.
this isn't an anti-omarchy post. i don't hate dhh, i admire him to take this on. but at the same time, if you're going to use a desktop os to store your crypto or do your banking, you better be sure that you at least have a fighting chance. he's a billionaire, he can afford to lose a bit. you or your business? likely not. no company should ever allow this OS into their firewall.
how long before someone hacks dhh himself? he's a great target now. it'll be fun to watch. even bitcoiners become targets. Luke Dashjr claims to have lost a bunch at one point. do you want to be on the sharp end of this?
tl;dr: have fun, play with it... but anything serious? no fcking way.
Alexander (Sasha) Wait Zaranek ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐บ๐ฆ๐จ๐ฆ๐บ๐ฒ retweeted
Despite the reassurance of @_mohansolo and the Deepmind team, it does appear as though many Antigravity users are still getting their Google accounts banned. They did a big wave today.
here's the argument some ai lab employees are making
- they genuinely believe what they're working on might kill everyone
- they continue to work on it because if this thing gets built it should be by responsible people like them
- the reason they do money things like selling enterprise deals and IPOing is solely to fund this effort
if this is all true then why is employee equity a thing? if you want to tell this story of being terrified of what you're building it doesn't work when there's a clear profit motive
it's particularly weird when people vest and then leave and write a tirade about how these companies are bringing the end of everything
if you want to act like this is the manhattan project, those scientists didn't have equity in something that gives them generational wealth
you don't get to say something bad is happening while profiting off it and also being seen as the good guy. one of these has to go