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Stock Writer, Interviewer, and YouTuber. Mr. $ZETA
StockAnalysis.com Ambassador
Joined August 2024
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Here’s the 4th interview with David Steinberg, CEO and Co-Founder of Zeta Global.
We talk Palantir x Zeta Global.
Ronnie and I sat down with David to discuss what comes next for $ZETA.
We cover...
- The Business Intelligence roadmap.
- Behind-the-scenes with Alex Karp.
- The “smoke and mirrors” claims.
- The Palantir $100M/yr uplift.
- The OpenAI ad-placement.
- Q2 GAAP profitability.
We dive into it all – but most importantly, I ask about phase 2 of the Palantir x Zeta Global partnership...
🔗 Full interview: youtube.com/watch?v=AT1ybVGJ…
Thank you for joining @TheRonnieVShow and I, @dsteinberg10000.
$ZETA $PLTR
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Hm. Interesting...
$NFLX
So $NFLX is down -41% this year. Remind me again, why are we bearish?
Meanwhile...
- Est ~22% EPS CAGR.
- Lowest FWD P/E since 2022.
- $27B approved buy-back program.
That's enough to buy back 9.1% of the company today.
$NFLX
Netflix is down 41% over the past year.
Here are five possible reasons why:
1. Wells Fargo downgraded Netflix, citing “worrying” engagement trends
2. HSBC says YouTube is capturing more streaming viewing hours
3. Florida sued Netflix over data collection from minors on its ad-supported tier
4. Paramount’s $110B Warner merger could create a much larger rival
5. Consensus EPS growth for 2027 is now just 6.4%
And yet revenue is up 16% and profit is up 33%.
$NFLX
$ZETA CEO on Dr. Alex Karp...
“We're going to be spending some VERY meaningful time together coming up… We have something very cool planned.”
– David A. Steinberg, CEO
Full interview with $ZETA CEO David Steinberg is now out! @TheLongInvest
Hope you enjoy it folks and thank you again @dsteinberg10000 !
m.youtube.com/watch?v=N8NhYy…
“Your clients' biggest problem that you CAN'T currently solve, is that they massively over spend on marketing...
... Zeta + Palantir can help your clients lower their marketing cots by 50% and create a 200-300% ROI of technology spend.”
– David A. Steinberg, CEO
$ZETA
AppLovin thesis paper drops Satruday…
Again, entirely free.
I like all of you, a lot. 😉
$APP
Q: You’re about announce three of the biggest announcement in your history…
“Actually, it might be FOUR…” 👀
– David Steinberg
$ZETA
Had the pleasure of sitting down with @MitchMartan98 to talk about @ZetaGlobal ‘s Intelligent AI Infrastructure, the proprietary data that powers it, and why Zeta is built to contune to win in the next era of enterprise AI.
Thank you to the @TheLongInvest team for having me on. $zeta
LG 🚀🚀🚀
Check out the full interview here:
youtube.com/watch?v=N8NhYySY…
Brookfield is starting to look interesting here...
We're talking ~49 GW of active capacity and another 200+ GW in the pipeline. 👀
Maybe I'll re-enter.
$BN
Tenjin: Mobile Gaming Benchmark 2026...
"AppLovin strengthened its lead on iOS in Q2, increasing from 39% to 44% of ad revenue share."
Here are the rev-share stats from Q1 to Q2:
$U - Unity:
- iOS: 13% → 14%
- Android: 12% → 12%
$APP - AppLovin:
- iOS: 39% → 44%
- Android: 19% → 23%
Mintegral:
- iOS: 21% → 16%
- Android: 17% → 12%
I'm not convinced this narrative that Unity is taking market-share from AppLovin is valid.
More market-share = More data = better models.
$APP $U
$ZETA Global will join firm William Blair in London on September 28-29th.
Unconfirmed if this will be public or private. 👀
"We had 17% YoY growth of +1M spend customers. This is not even the beginning of what we’re about to do…"
– David Steinberg, CEO
$ZETA
Zeta Global: The Master Thesis
Here’s my latest Substack thesis paper. An updated take on my $ZETA Global thesis.
Everything you need to know…
- KPIs
- MOAT.
- Infographics.
- Financial Model.
- Value Proposition.
- Management’s Roadmap.
Of course, entirely FREE.
Substack article link 🔗: wealthmatica.substack.com/p/…
Please enjoy,
Nick.
Wealthmatica retweeted
Ever since @wealthmatica told me about $VOYG, I’ve been watching it and slowly learning more about the business.
The stock is getting killed today after announcing $350m of convertible notes. But a business like $VOYG is fundamentally capital intensive, and if it executes, this won’t be the last time it raises capital.
Dilution obviously matters (a lot), but it also shouldn’t be a surprise in this case. A nearly 20% haircut for financing a business model that was always going to require substantial capital seems excessive to me. 🌹
$APP sentiment is quite interesting.
People are of the belief that this is a dying company, set to report declining revenues consistently quarter after quarter. This is SO far from the truth.
In the recent Edgewater Research report, they make the argument that AppLovin has effectively hit their ceiling.
Specifically - and this is important... The mobile gaming MAX supply ceiling.
To the uneducated reader, this may come across as dramatic. AppLovin has a 73% share monopoly on ALL top-downloaded mobile game mediation. Essentially, AppLovin is the integrated ad-space auctioneer for this overwhelming majority of mobile games.
It comes at NO surprise that they have more-less hit a ceiling here.
The report continued to make the argument that AppLovin's QoQ growth has started to plateau, which indicates this ceiling has neared. This is not overly bearish - not at all. I'll explain why in a second.
But first, there is this sentiment that competitors are going to release superior models and displace AppLovin's monopoly. I think there is a vast technological misunderstanding here. AppLovin has the superior models achieving superior outcomes for both buyer and seller because they have the lions-share of the market - looking at this through a perhaps naive lens you may assume that one could just come and "take" market share with a superior model or product...
But you're missing a critical piece of the puzzle.
These game developer companies literally rely on AppLovin for revenue. There is a dependency here. Their models have become so good, that every dollar spend by a game developer on AppLovin's ecosystem, leads to an dipropionate increase of revenue generated. They accomplish this by real-time model refinement and data ingestion through each SDK install within their MAX mediation network. 1 billion DAUs playing thousands of the top-downloaded games produce a lot of 1P data in real-time. It is this very data that gives AppLovin their edge - and it's this very edge that the game-developers rely on to stay profitable.
The game developers would have to gamble with solvency, just to jump-ship and divert spend/integrations with a competitor. This would be a horrible business decision.
So the compounding outcome is exponential for AppLovin. The developers are locked in because their ability to generate revenue has become an arbitrage of dollars spent on platform. And this relationship only exists if they stay integrated with AppLovin, thus feeding them the data which refines their models that produces the superior outcomes each developer desires.
It's a self-fulfilling flywheel.
Interestingly - the party with the superior dataset will always produce the superior model. It just so happens that AppLovin has the largest market-share, the top-download apps, and real-time data ingestion for the 1 billion DAU audience it has created.
Good luck displacing this juggernaut with an inferior dataset.
Now, let's circle back to plateauing revenues QoQ. Yes, with 73% market-share eventually your revenue potential here will start to cap-out. Though AppLovin has started to expand self-serve demand by allowing DTC Shopify brands or consumer brands to also buy ad-space on the network - this has been a modest start. Even though we have recently seen an uptick of pixel installs on consumer sites (this is a strong indicator of the amount/velocity of new advertisers ramping).
The true potential unlock for further growth and TAM expansion, is the natural unlock beyond the confined four-walls of mobile-gaming AppLovin finds themselves in. This is called "supply-side expansion".
Adam, the CEO has outlined this himself...
1/2
2/2
Here's the rough roadmap, and yes, I've mentioned this before:
1) Expand into all other App verticals.
2) Expand into open-web surfaces (e.g., Shopify stores).
3) Expand into connected-TV ads via Wurl (think Netflix).
4) Finally, expand into their own-property domain, which is Gist, their own social media app (competitor with Pinterest).
This all being said - I wanted to illustrate the optionality the AppLovin team has. There has been extreme FUD recently, claiming they are going to slide into a rapid deceleration - I highly doubt this, and the data supports my argument. I think it is much more likely that AppLovin makes their entrant into the general app ecosystem outside of mobile-gaming over the next 12-14 months - thus marking the beginning of a new era and a much larger TAM.
Keep in mind...
Management themselves said that the core gaming business ALONE will deliver a 25-30% CAGR for the foreseeable future. You're talking about a $15B market - it was not long ago that social media was $15B TAM.
$APP
$APP Substack & comprehensive thesis paper drops this weekend.
Saturday morning. ☕️
So let’s get this straight…
Netflix trades near 2022-low valuations, but also going to grow EPS 22% annually.
I smell opportunity!
- Massive share-repurchases
- Ad revenue: +100% YoY
- EPS: 22% CAGR
- Mobile Gaming.
$NFLX
Netflix is trading near record-low valuations despite analysts expecting EPS to compound at 22% annually.
$NFLX
Ps, I’m interested under $70. Last purchase in my wife’s account was $67/share.
$NFLX