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WOLF WEEKLY CALENDAR 📅
Are you an Investor, Trader, or Stock Market Enthusiast? Our daily X Spaces and Live Streams cover all things Stock Market: News, Earnings, Market Themes, Trading, Macro, IPOs, and more!
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THE NASDAQ PEAKED ON MARCH 10, 2000. IT DIDN'T CLOSE ABOVE THAT LEVEL AGAIN FOR 15 YEARS
Nasdaq Composite close on March 10, 2000: 5,048.62
By Oct. 9, 2002, it had fallen to 1,114.11, a drop of about -78%.
It finally closed above its 2000 peak on April 23, 2015.
Plenty of the companies behind the bubble were real and changed the world. Investors still paid far too much for them.
MISSING JUST THE 10 BEST DAYS IN THE STOCK MARKET CUT THE ENDING VALUE OF A $10,000 INVESTMENT BY MORE THAN HALF
$10,000 invested in the S&P 500 through the State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF $SPY from October 2006 to October 2026, with dividends reinvested, per The Motley Fool:
- Stayed invested the whole time: about $82,300
- Missed the 10 best days: about $35,700
- Missed the 20 best days: about $21,500
- Missed the 40 best days: about $9,900
That's 40 days out of roughly 5,000 trading days.
Seven of the 10 best days came within two weeks of one of the 10 worst days. Selling after a bad day often means missing the rebound.
Not financial advice.
WHAT ARE INVESTORS ACTUALLY BUYING WHEN THEY BUY AGILITY ROBOTICS?
Scott Walter, Robotics Research Diligence Director at RoboStrategy, gives his take in the full interview
He says it's still an early-stage company that raced to market through a SPAC. At around 14 times 2025 revenue, he says you're buying the future, not the present.
His advice is to put the "first pure-play humanoid" label aside and do your due diligence on Digit 5, the robot he says the company's future rests on.
He also explains why he thinks humanoids could do a majority of physical work within five years, and why the robots don't have to do everything to be useful. They just have to do enough that someone is willing to pay for that work.
🤝 Paid partnership
BERNIE MADOFF'S CLIENTS HAD $64.8 BILLION ON THEIR ACCOUNT STATEMENTS. MOST OF IT WAS NEVER THERE
Madoff was arrested on Dec. 11, 2008. Prosecutors put the fraud at $64.8 billion, based on client account balances as of Nov. 30, 2008.
Those balances were built on made-up gains. Court-appointed trustee Irving Picard estimated the money investors actually put in and lost at $17.5 billion.
Madoff pleaded guilty to 11 counts in March 2009 and was sentenced to 150 years in prison.
As of Oct. 23, 2026, Picard had recovered or reached agreements to recover about $15.5 billion, per the trustee's website. Customers with approved claims had been repaid at least 72.8% of them.
HERE'S WHAT THE 🇺🇸 STOCK MARKET LOOKED LIKE TODAY
Up
• AMD $AMD +5.9%
• Broadcom $AVGO +5.5%
• Arista Networks $ANET +5.1%
• Valero $VLO +3.1%
• Marathon Petroleum $MPC +2.5%
• Exxon $XOM +1.8%
• Google $GOOGL +1.8%
• Tesla $TSLA +1.7%
Down
• Nvidia $NVDA -4.4%
• SanDisk $SNDK -4.2%
• Royal Caribbean $RCL -3.9%
• Lumentum $LITE -3.6%
• Bloom Energy $BE -3.6%
• Palo Alto Networks $PANW -3.6%
• Applied Materials $AMAT -3.5%
• GE Aerospace $GE -3.5%
Nvidia fell -4.4% while AMD +5.9% and Broadcom +5.5% rallied. Chip equipment slipped, with Applied Materials -3.5% and KLA $KLAC -2.3%.
Most of the market was red. Financials and healthcare lagged, with Visa $V -1.2%, Blackstone $BX -2.8% and Thermo Fisher $TMO -2.6%.
Energy was the bright spot, led by Valero +3.1%, Marathon Petroleum +2.5% and Exxon +1.8%. Google +1.8% and Tesla +1.7% also held up.
$NVDA IS THE CHEAPEST IT'S BEEN IN ABOUT 14 YEARS
The stock trades at about 11 times what analysts expect it to earn over the next 12 months, its lowest forward P/E in roughly 14 years, Reuters reported.
That's down from about 25 times at the end of 2025 and 57 times at the end of 2021, according to LSEG data.
Analysts expect Nvidia to earn about $14.72 a share over the next 12 months. The stock is down about 31% from its Oct. 6 peak, and Jensen Huang's resignation as CEO today adds new uncertainty.
NUBANK $NU JUST REPORTED Q3 EARNINGS
- Revenue: $5.82B, beating expectations of $5.68B 🟢
- Net Income: $1.09B (+31% YoY)
- ROE: 32%
- Customers: 142.6M (+3.7M QoQ)
Key Updates:
- Mexico Bank: 870K customers added in the first quarter
- Nu US: Reached customers in all 50 states
CEREBRAS $CBRS JUST REPORTED Q3 EARNINGS
- Core Revenue: $230.9M , beating expectations of $214B 🟢
- GAAP Revenue: $210.8M (+55% YoY)
- Core Gross Margin: 41% (+30 bps YoY)
- GAAP Gross Margin: 20%
- Remaining Performance Obligations: $26.1B
Q4 Guidance:
- Core Revenue: ~$310M-$330M
- Core Gross Margin: 47%-49%
- Core Operating Margin: -1% to 1%
Raises FY26 Guidance:
- Core Revenue: $940M-$960M
- Core Gross Margin: 42%-44%
- Core Operating Margin: -10% to -8%
Key Updates:
- Data Center Capacity: 700 MW under contract for delivery by end-2027
- CS-4: Up to 30x faster inference (soon in full production)
CISCO $CSCO JUST REPORTED Q1 EARNINGS
- Revenue: $18.5B, beating expectations of $18.13B 🟢
- Non-GAAP EPS: $1.40, beating expectations of $1.33 🟢
- Non-GAAP Gross Margin: 65.6%
- Non-GAAP Oper Income: $7.0B (+37% YoY)
- Product Orders: +32% YoY
- AI Infra Orders: $9B in FY27 (more than double FY26)
Q2 Guidance:
- Revenue: $18.0B-$18.2B, above expectations of $17.88B 🟢
- Non-GAAP EPS: $1.34-$1.36, above expectations of $1.23 🟢
- Non-GAAP Gross Margin: 65%-66%
Raises FY27 Guidance:
- Revenue: $74.8B-$75.8B, above expectations of $73.02B 🟢
- Non-GAAP EPS: $5.47-$5.53, above expectations of $5.11 🟢
Key Updates:
- Returned to Stockholders: $3.7B
APPLIED MATERIALS $AMAT JUST REPORTED Q4 EARNINGS
- Revenue: $10.41B, beating expectations of $10.3B 🟢
- Adj EPS: $4.16, beating expectations of $4.05 🟢
- Non-GAAP Gross Margin: 50.6%
- Non-GAAP Oper Income: $3.68B
- Non-GAAP FCF: $2.6B
- Semiconductor Systems: $8.0B (+64% YoY)
Q1 Guidance:
- Revenue: $11.10B +/- $500M, above expectations of $10.89B 🟢
- Adj EPS: $4.35 +/- $0.20, above expectations of $4.26 🟢
PETER LYNCH AVERAGED A +29% RETURN PER YEAR FOR 13 YEARS RUNNING FIDELITY'S MAGELLAN FUND
From 1977 to 1990, the fund's assets grew from about $18 million to more than $14 billion, one of the best runs in mutual fund history.
He did it through recessions, rate spikes and the 1987 Black Monday drop. Years later he wrote that "the real key to making money in stocks is not to get scared out of them."
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES SOLD 99.7% OF ITS $NVDA STAKE IN Q3
The quant firm founded by the late Jim Simons held 23,170 Nvidia shares at the end of September, down from 7.09 million at the end of June, according to its latest 13F filing. That stake was worth $1.4 billion in June.
It also sold 99.9% of its Meta stake.
Meanwhile, it piled into other chipmakers:
- Micron: up 619% to 1.52 million shares, now its biggest holding at $1.6 billion
- AMD: up 140% to about 2 million shares, its second biggest at $1.2 billion
It also opened a new $621 million position in SpaceX.
13F filings show U.S.-listed holdings as of Sept. 30.
92% OF JOSH KUSHNER'S THRIVE CAPITAL STOCK PORTFOLIO IS SPACEX
Thrive reported 46.9 million $SPCX shares worth about $7.1 billion as of Sept. 30, according to the 13F it filed today. That's 92% of the $7.7 billion of U.S.-listed stocks it reported.
Its SpaceX stake grew from 18.9 million shares at the end of June.
The rest of the portfolio:
- Amazon: $225 million
- Shopify: $133 million
- Oscar Health convertible notes: $132 million
- Figma: $92 million
- Securitize: $25 million
13F filings show only U.S.-listed stocks, not Thrive's private investments, such as its stake in OpenAI.
SPACEX AND TESLA $TSLA MERGER TALKS ARE PROGRESSING
Advisers are discussing terms, and a deal could be announced as early as December, though it could slip into 2027, according to Bloomberg.
At today's prices, SpaceX is worth about $1.9 trillion and Tesla about $1.6 trillion, or about $3.5 trillion combined.
Elon Musk runs both companies and has been pushing for a merger.
$10,000 IN THE S&P 500 IN 1960 GREW TO $7.58 MILLION WITH DIVIDENDS REINVESTED. WITHOUT THEM, IT GREW TO $1.14 MILLION
That's through the end of 2025, per Hartford Funds.
Since 1940, dividends have made up about a third of the S&P 500's total return.
In the 1970s, they made up 73% of it. In the 2010s, just 17%.
Reinvested dividends look small in any single year. Over decades, they've been the difference between a good result and a great one.
THE U.S. JUST RAN ITS BIGGEST OCTOBER DEFICIT ON RECORD: $404 BILLION
That's up 42% from $284 billion in October 2025, the previous record for the month.
Spending rose 12% to $773 billion, also an October record. Receipts fell 9% to $369 billion:
- Individual income taxes: down 14%
- Customs duties: down 39%
- Interest on the debt: $103 billion in one month, up 13%
October is the first month of the government's 2027 fiscal year.
THE FED WILL SKIP ITS OCTOBER 2027 RATE DECISION
The Fed's Oct. 26-27, 2027 meeting will be dedicated to broad monetary policy strategy, with no interest rate decision, according to the revised 2027 schedule it released today.
That leaves 7 rate decisions next year instead of the usual 8:
Jan. 27, March 17, April 28, June 9, July 28, Sept. 15 and Nov. 17
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh announced the change at his October news conference but didn't set a date at the time, CNBC reported.
MICROSOFT $MSFT IS DEALING WITH A MAJOR OUTAGE ACROSS OUTLOOK, TEAMS AND 365
Outage tracker Downdetector has logged more than 130,000 reports of problems with Microsoft services.
Microsoft says the issue may affect Microsoft 365 connectivity for users in any region. It has started redistributing traffic across its worldwide infrastructure to balance the load.
It's the company's second service disruption today, after Teams problems this morning.


















