7:00 PM ET 11/4/26: A gale-force non-tropical low a few hundred miles south of Bermuda has disorganized convection; 30% chance to develop in 48 hours and 40% in 7 days. Gale-force winds likely over parts of the central subtropical Atlantic through the weekend.
1:00 PM ET 11/5/26: A gale-force non-tropical low a few hundred miles south of Bermuda has disorganized convection; 30% chance of development in 48 hours and 40% in 7 days. Gale-force winds possible over parts of the central subtropical Atlantic through the weekend.
7:00 AM ET 11/5/26: A broad non-tropical low a few hundred miles south of Bermuda has disorganized convection mainly east of its center. 30% chance of subtropical/tropical development in 48 hours and 50% in 7 days as it drifts slowly east; conditions turn unfavorable by...
1:00 AM ET 11/5/26: A non-tropical low a few hundred miles south of Bermuda has a 30% chance to develop over 48 hours and a 50% chance over 7 days, with subtropical characteristics possible this weekend. Conditions turn unfavorable by early next week.
7:00 PM ET 11/3/26: A non-tropical low a few hundred miles south of Bermuda has a 30% chance to develop in 48 hours and 50% in 7 days, gradually gaining subtropical traits this weekend. Slow eastward movement may bring rough seas in the western/central subtropical Atlantic.
2:44 PM ET 11/4/26: SPC Day 1: Marginal Risk in Greene County today. Isolated severe storms are possible. Marginal: tornado less than 2% and damaging wind 5%.
1:00 PM ET 11/4/26: A non-tropical low a few hundred miles south of Bermuda has a 30% chance to develop in 48 hours and 50% in 7 days, with subtropical characteristics possible this weekend. Conditions turn unfavorable by early next week.
11:15 AM ET 11/4/26: SPC Day 1: Marginal Risk in Greene County today. Isolated severe storms are possible. Tornado less than 2% and damaging wind 5% within the Marginal Risk.
7:57 AM ET 11/4/26: SPC Day 1: Marginal Risk extends from Hancock County eastward to Greene County today. Isolated severe storms are possible. Marginal: tornado less than 2%, damaging wind 5%.
7:00 AM ET 11/4/26: Low pressure is forming along a remnant frontal boundary a few hundred miles south of Bermuda, with a 30% chance of development in 48 hours and 50% in 7 days.
12:34 AM ET 11/4/26: SPC Day 1: Marginal Risk in Greene County today. Isolated severe storms are possible. Marginal: tornado up to 2% and damaging wind up to 5%. Nearly all other areas: tornado up to 2% and damaging wind up to 5%.
1:00 AM ET 11/4/26: Low pressure may form in 1–2 days a few hundred miles south of Bermuda along a weakening front, with a 20% chance of development in 48 hours and 40% in 7 days.
7:00 PM ET 11/2/26: Low pressure may form within a day or so a few hundred miles south of Bermuda, then could gain some subtropical traits late this week or this weekend. Formation chances: 20% in 48 hours, 40% in 7 days. Conditions turn unfavorable by early next week.
1:00 PM ET 11/3/26: Low pressure is expected to form along a weakening front a few hundred miles south of Bermuda within a day or so, with a 20% chance of development in 48 hours and 40% in 7 days.
7:38 AM ET 11/3/26: Wind Advisory is in effect for Johnson, Cocke Smoky Mountains, Sevier Smoky Mountains & Others from 4 PM this afternoon to 7 PM EST Wed. SE winds 15–25 mph with gusts up to 55 mph; isolated gusts above 60 mph. Secure loose items.
7:00 AM ET 11/3/26: Low pressure may form a few hundred miles south of Bermuda along a weakening front, with subtropical characteristics possible late this week. Subtropical development chances: 10% in 48 hours, 30% in 7 days.
1:00 AM ET 11/3/26: Low pressure is expected to form along a weakening frontal boundary a few hundred miles northeast of the Bahamas in a day or so, with a 10% chance of subtropical development in 48 hours and 30% in 7 days.
7:00 PM ET 11/1/26: Low pressure is expected to form along a weakening frontal boundary a few hundred miles northeast of the Bahamas in a day or so, with a 30% chance of subtropical development over 7 days. Any development is unlikely through 48 hours.
1:00 PM ET 11/2/26: Low pressure may form along a weakening frontal boundary a few hundred miles northeast of the Bahamas in a couple of days, with a 30% chance of subtropical development over 7 days.




















