Open-source intelligence analyst for @criticalthreats. Covering security and political developments in Central & Southern Africa. RT does not equal endorsement.
Washington, DC
Joined March 2022
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Yale Ford retweeted
NEW | Former Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) President Joseph Kabila officially joined the M23 rebellion as the political leader of a rebranded movement called the Front pour la Refondation de la Nation (FRN).
CTP Africa Analyst @yale0214 explains why this is important. ⬇️
Forget the US-DRC partnership and Washington’s own reasons for insulating Tshisekedi and looking the other way on his (second) electoral coup for a moment
It’s been abundantly clear that US officials don’t actually believe in the WPA as written. There’s no “harmonized” plan and “dual-sided” commitments. It’s “the FDLR and so-called security threats to Rwanda are a pretext for Kagame to steal minerals again” and “we can’t believe the Congolese actually agreed to this”
It’s naive to think this admin is genuinely interested in seeing honored what the Angolans brokered and everybody agreed to
This conflict has become a strategic contest between the US and Rwanda, not the DRC and Rwanda
The immense pressure being put on Rwanda is what Washington would apply to an adversary challenging its stated (grand) strategic interests than a much smaller state engaged in a regional conflict in which the US is mediating as a “neutral arbiter” to “end the machete war,” as the president describes it
Yale Ford retweeted
Rwanda's foreign minister, in an interview with AFP, says his country should not be a "scapegoat" for events in neighboring Democratic Republic of Congo
u.afp.com/Syxw
Yale Ford retweeted
If the US wants to be objective in helping end the long running Rwanda/DRC face-off in Eastern Congo, then sanctioning only one side will not help. The Tshisekedi Govt has its own proxies that threaten Rwanda, so why not sanction all the troublemakers?
home.treasury.gov/news/press…
Fatshi 4 Prez ‘42
Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control imposed sanctions on the Rwandan Ministry of Defence and Zigama Credit and Savings Society, a Rwandan financial institution that has played a key role in facilitating Rwanda’s support for the March 23 Movement and its political wing, the Congo River Alliance.
home.treasury.gov/news/press…
Yale Ford retweeted
Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control imposed sanctions on the Rwandan Ministry of Defence and Zigama Credit and Savings Society, a Rwandan financial institution that has played a key role in facilitating Rwanda’s support for the March 23 Movement and its political wing, the Congo River Alliance.
home.treasury.gov/news/press…
Yale Ford retweeted
The EXCLUSIVE Full Interview of JOSEPH KABILA KABANGE conducted on October 23, 2026 by @TEDDYMAZINA & @CoulibalyBojana, is now available on the CTGL YouTube channel!
Thank you for your patience as we were solving technical issues. youtu.be/LY5u_PFqz3Y?si=vis9… via @YouTube
Yale Ford retweeted
🇧🇮 Red Carpet Welcome: Burundian President Évariste Ndayishimiye Arrives in Moscow for Russia-Africa Summit
Yale Ford retweeted
Le Président de la République du Burundi et Président en exercice de l'@_AfricanUnion, S.E. @GeneralNeva, accompagné de la Première Dame, est arrivé à Moscou, en Fédération de Russie, dans la soirée de ce 27 octobre.
Il co-présidera les travaux du 3e Sommet Russie-Afrique et du Forum économique et humanitaire, ces 28-29 octobre. 🇧🇮🇷🇺
Yale Ford retweeted
From October 20 to 22, the United States convened military planners from the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Rwanda @Marshall_Center in Garmisch, Germany, for the Joint Security Coordination Mechanism (JSCM) Operations Order Conference. The African Union, Qatar, and U.S. interagency partners joined the delegations as they addressed the security obligations at the core of the Washington Accords for Peace and Prosperity. Thanks to @USAfricaCommand and @AfricaACSS for helping guide the participants towards a successful outcome.
The delegations followed through on a commitment they made at the sixth JSCM meeting in August, working to finalize a draft Operations Order for approval. The order will guide the neutralization of the FDLR by the DRC and the disengagement of forces and lifting of defensive measures by Rwanda. We welcome their constructive engagement as they work toward achieving lasting peace and shared prosperity under the Washington Accords.
Yale Ford retweeted
That Lula prevailed in Brazil may be a testament to the power of the public purse to buy the support of voters hurt by Lula’s policies. Now the question is when he will run out of other people’s money, writes @MaryAnastasiaOG
on.wsj.com/4z3RxAa
Yale Ford retweeted
#RDC : « Cette Constitution, je ne l'aime pas, et vous le savez », a déclaré Félix Tshisekedi ce samedi devant l'Union sacrée, selon une source présente. « Vouloir la changer ou la toucher, c'est votre responsabilité. Si, en 2028, vous refusez, je m'arrête là. Mais sachez que j'ai une mission : celle de mettre le pays sur les rails, d'installer une paix véritable et durable. »
Yale Ford retweeted
wild story on Russia recruiting soldiers in Africa for Ukraine fight; includes recruiting in DRC
Russia is stepping up recruitment in Africa for its army, turning to countries such as Zimbabwe and Burundi while halting its drive in Kenya and South Africa after opposition. With @DarynaKrasno
bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Yale Ford retweeted
RDC | L'État a déboursé plusieurs millions de dollars au bénéfice de la mère du président pour les indemnités de sortie de son défunt mari. Plusieurs fondations liées à Félix Tshisekedi ont également bénéficié de très généreux virements du Trésor public.
➡️ l.africaintelligence.fr/iTk
Yale Ford retweeted
Hoover Senior Fellow @NFergus rejects the reading that Europe's riots are migrants running amok, "the sack of Rome all over again."
Ferguson argues that Europe's youth are angry about the wrong thing, and that the real grievance is a welfare system that moves resources from the young to the old.
Watch GoodFellows on Hoover+: plus.hoover.org/plus/researc…
Georgetown University computer scientist Cal Newport joins Hoover Senior Fellows @NFergus, @LTGHRMcMaster, and @JohnHCochrane, as well as moderator @BillWhalenCA, on GoodFellows to lay out what Congress should be asking AI leaders.
After that, the fellows unpack what's fueling the fiery riots across Western Europe and what compelled President Trump to threaten Ukraine with blocked access to Starlink.
In the "Lightning Round," they discuss their Hoover colleague Robert E. Hall receiving a Nobel Prize, America's midterm elections, and whether they will be buying Elon Musk's "flying" roadster.
Watch on Hoover+: hoover.org/plus/research/boo…
Yale Ford retweeted
Référendum : l'Assemblée nationale reprend vendredi l'examen de la loi en nouvelle délibération
Les députés nationaux sont convoqués en plénière ce vendredi 23 octobre 2026 à 13 heures, dans la salle des Congrès du Palais du peuple, pour examiner en nouvelle délibération la proposition de loi fixant les conditions d'organisation du référendum en République démocratique du Congo.
Selon un communiqué officiel signé jeudi par Clotilde Mutita Kalunga, pour le rapporteur empêché, la chambre basse doit d'abord approuver le rapport de la Commission politique, administrative et juridique (PAJ) sur ce texte, avant de procéder à son adoption article par article.
Ce retour du texte devant les élus intervient dans un climat politique tendu, marqué par le débat sur un éventuel changement de Constitution, auquel s'opposent l'opposition et de la société civile. À l'ordre du jour figure également la ratification de l'ordonnance-loi du 7 septembre 2026 portant organisation de l'activité statistique en RDC.
Yale Ford retweeted
Burundi : 21 militaires transférés vers une destination inconnue après avoir refusé de rejoindre le front en RDC sosmediasburundi.org/2026/10… via @SOS Médias Burundi
