Sondaże, średnie sondażowe i analiza polityczna🇵🇱🇺🇸🇪🇺
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Wyniki referendum o odwołanie prezydenta Krakowa Aleksandra Miszalskiego:
🟣Tak: 97,9%
🟠Nie: 2,1%
W niemal wszystkich obwodach za odwołaniem zagłosowało co najmniej 90%. W 10 obwodach za odwołaniem zagłosowało 100% wyborców!
Wyniki w obwodach oraz link do interaktywnej mapy👇🏻
231elections retweeted
Total turnout is 31.1%
Democrats are at 🔵39.7%
Republicans are at 🔴30.3%
Democrats expand their turnout advantage to 9.4 points, while Republicans maintain a lead in ballots cast
231elections retweeted
Most of today’s vote is in and Republicans expand their lead in ballots cast to just 🔴R+1.8
In person early vote was better for Republicans than yesterday at 🔴R+10.5, but this is still a big over performance by Democrats compared to previous cycles
Total turnout is 31.1%
Democrats are at 🔵39.7%
Republicans are at 🔴30.3%
Democrats expand their turnout advantage to 9.4 points, while Republicans maintain a lead in ballots cast
Most of today’s vote is in and Republicans expand their lead in ballots cast to just 🔴R+1.8
In person early vote was better for Republicans than yesterday at 🔴R+10.5, but this is still a big over performance by Democrats compared to previous cycles
231elections retweeted
5 days out from election day and Democrats still somehow lead the in person early vote in FL-18, which Trump won by 17 points in 2024
5 days out from election day and Democrats still somehow lead the in person early vote in FL-18, which Trump won by 17 points in 2024
A lot going on in this poll, including in the MT-02 question:
🔴Downing (inc.): 29%
🔵Miller: 18%
⚪️Eisenhower: 15%
❓Undecided: 31%
Eisenhauer has loaned his campaign $250k and fund raised an additional $97k from individual donors
That’s over 10x more than the $30k the Dem nominee has raised
Troy Downing the Republican incumbent has raised $2.7 million this cycle
Montana State University poll | 10/5-10/21
US House 2026 | Montana’s 1st congressional district
(Trump +11 | 2024)
🟦Sam Forstag 49%
🟥Aaron Flint 32%
🟨Nick Sheedy 4%
Link to poll: msubillings.edu/class/nams/p…
231elections retweeted
Seven counties are already at 90%+ of 2022 TOTAL early vote turnout compared to 83% statewide:
•St Lucia: 96%
•Osceola: 93%
•Alachua: 93%
•Polk: 93%
•Hendry: 92%
•Flagler: 90%
•Lake: 90%
Over 4 million Floridians have now voted in the 2026 midterm elections!
Total turnout is currently 29.2%
Democrats are at 🔵37.5%
Republicans at 🔴28.4%
Democratic turnout edge has grown to 9.1 points
Follow to stay updated and track the live count on our site👇🏻 231elections.com/midterms-20…
Seven counties are already at 90%+ of 2022 TOTAL early vote turnout compared to 83% statewide:
•St Lucia: 96%
•Osceola: 93%
•Alachua: 93%
•Polk: 93%
•Hendry: 92%
•Flagler: 90%
•Lake: 90%
231elections retweeted
Byron Donalds’ wife is trying to claim that Republicans are having a good turnout year because they have a 1.5 point lead in ballots cast
The reality is that in early voting (mail+in person) Democrats are doing 5 points better than at this point in 2022 and 10 points better than this point in 2024
Byron Donalds’ wife is trying to claim that Republicans are having a good turnout year because they have a 1.5 point lead in ballots cast
The reality is that in early voting (mail+in person) Democrats are doing 5 points better than at this point in 2022 and 10 points better than this point in 2024
231elections retweeted
Mail ballots are 🔵D+7.8
In person early is 🔴R+8.5
Cumulative early vote is 🔴R+1.5
2022 at this point was R+6.6
2024 at this point was R+11.6
231elections retweeted
Over 4 million Floridians have now voted in the 2026 midterm elections!
Total turnout is currently 29.2%
Democrats are at 🔵37.5%
Republicans at 🔴28.4%
Democratic turnout edge has grown to 9.1 points
Mail ballots are 🔵D+7.8
In person early is 🔴R+8.5
Cumulative early vote is 🔴R+1.5
2022 at this point was R+6.6
2024 at this point was R+11.6
231elections retweeted
Total Florida early vote (mail+in person), still shows a big Dem over performance.
Party lead in early voting 6 days before election day:
2026: 🔴R+1.5
2024: 🔴R+11.7
2022: 🔴R+6
2020: 🔵D+2.8
Day 10 of IPEV in Florida was R+9.7, bringing Republicans’ cumulative lead to R+8.3
The in person vote continues to be disappointing for Republicans. Shift in turnout toward Dems by day compared to 2024:
Day 1: 🔵D+24
Day 2: 🔵D+23
Day 3: 🔵D+20
Day 4: 🔵D+15
Day 5: 🔵D+14
Day 6: 🔵D+16
Day 7: 🔵D+16
Day 8: 🔵D+13
Day 9: 🔵D+9
Day 10: 🔵D+8
Shift through days 1-10: 🔵D+15.3
Total Florida early vote (mail+in person), still shows a big Dem over performance.
Party lead in early voting 6 days before election day:
2026: 🔴R+1.5
2024: 🔴R+11.7
2022: 🔴R+6
2020: 🔵D+2.8
Day 10 of IPEV in Florida was R+9.7, bringing Republicans’ cumulative lead to R+8.3
The in person vote continues to be disappointing for Republicans. Shift in turnout toward Dems by day compared to 2024:
Day 1: 🔵D+24
Day 2: 🔵D+23
Day 3: 🔵D+20
Day 4: 🔵D+15
Day 5: 🔵D+14
Day 6: 🔵D+16
Day 7: 🔵D+16
Day 8: 🔵D+13
Day 9: 🔵D+9
Day 10: 🔵D+8
Shift through days 1-10: 🔵D+15.3
231elections retweeted
Day 10 of IPEV in Florida was R+9.7, bringing Republicans’ cumulative lead to R+8.3
The in person vote continues to be disappointing for Republicans. Shift in turnout toward Dems by day compared to 2024:
Day 1: 🔵D+24
Day 2: 🔵D+23
Day 3: 🔵D+20
Day 4: 🔵D+15
Day 5: 🔵D+14
Day 6: 🔵D+16
Day 7: 🔵D+16
Day 8: 🔵D+13
Day 9: 🔵D+9
Day 10: 🔵D+8
Shift through days 1-10: 🔵D+15.3
Day 9 of early voting saw a continued Republican turnout advantage but still represents a big shift towards Dems vs 2022 and 2024.
Shift in turnout toward Dems by day compared to 2024:
Day 1: 🔵D+24
Day 2: 🔵D+23
Day 3: 🔵D+20
Day 4: 🔵D+15
Day 5: 🔵D+14
Day 6: 🔵D+16
Day 7: 🔵D+16
Day 8: 🔵D+13
Day 9: 🔵D+9
Shift through days 1-9: 🔵D+16.3
Day 10 of IPEV in Florida was R+9.7, bringing Republicans’ cumulative lead to R+8.3
The in person vote continues to be disappointing for Republicans. Shift in turnout toward Dems by day compared to 2024:
Day 1: 🔵D+24
Day 2: 🔵D+23
Day 3: 🔵D+20
Day 4: 🔵D+15
Day 5: 🔵D+14
Day 6: 🔵D+16
Day 7: 🔵D+16
Day 8: 🔵D+13
Day 9: 🔵D+9
Day 10: 🔵D+8
Shift through days 1-10: 🔵D+15.3
Day 9 of early voting saw a continued Republican turnout advantage but still represents a big shift towards Dems vs 2022 and 2024.
Shift in turnout toward Dems by day compared to 2024:
Day 1: 🔵D+24
Day 2: 🔵D+23
Day 3: 🔵D+20
Day 4: 🔵D+15
Day 5: 🔵D+14
Day 6: 🔵D+16
Day 7: 🔵D+16
Day 8: 🔵D+13
Day 9: 🔵D+9
Shift through days 1-9: 🔵D+16.3