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Fantasy boards every Tuesday + a data-backed play every day. +255u last 2 NFL seasons. 50 fantasy leagues won. VIP Discord: 1-day free trial

Joined November 2024
Fantasy football rest-of-season rankings at every position, with strength of schedule. Best matchups for Weeks 9-14 at QB, RB, WR and TE.
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Halftime around the league: the favorites are in a fight. Rams (-4.5) trail Washington 10-6. Lions (-6.5) lead Miami just 6-3. Broncos (-3) lead Carolina 10-7 late in the half. The Panthers are within a field goal.
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Halftime check on Play A Day #4: LaPorta has 1 catch for 11 yards on 1 target. He needs 33 more after the break to clear 43.5. Lions lead Miami 6-3. Record so far: 3-0.
Play A Day #4: Sam LaPorta over 43.5 receiving yards at Miami, Sunday 1:00 PM ET. We're 3-0 after Lawrence, Luka and Tennessee (34-6, covered -5.5 by 22.5). THE SQUEAKY WHEEL. LaPorta is in the final year of his rookie deal and wants to be paid. On Oct. 7 he said extension talks with Detroit are at a stalemate, and on Oct. 21 he said he'd "go get paid somewhere else" without a deal. He has put his body on the line for this team: he had back surgery last November for a herniated disc and missed the last eight games of 2025. He is back with 367 yards in seven games, 8th among tight ends. I expect Detroit to get him the ball. THE FIT. Drew Petzing is Detroit's new offensive coordinator. His Cardinals offense gave Trey McBride 126 catches for 1,239 yards last year. Detroit now passes more than any team in the NFL, on 55% of its plays, and scores 29.0 points a game. THE SPOT. Miami has allowed 69.1 receiving yards a game to tight ends, 5th most in the NFL, with 47 catches on 53 targets and 6 touchdowns. To all receivers it allows 8.8 yards a target, the most in the league. Miami is better against the run per carry (3.81, 8th best), so Detroit should keep throwing. THE NUMBER. LaPorta is over 43.5 in 5 of 7 games: 48, 52, 44, 84, 88, 18, 33. The last two were his quietest, 12% of Detroit's targets against 18% for the season. RotoBot projects 49.9 yards on 6.0 targets, 6.4 over the line. Not a lock. Data: RotoBot, ESPN.
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Week 9 Pick'ems. Every week I deliver. Call me FedEx. CIN, DAL, LAR, CLE, PHI, KC, DET, DEN, HOU, SF, NE, SEA, TB (upset special), MIN (upset of the week). Drop yours and tell me where I'm wrong. #NFL #Pickems #NFLWeek9
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Week 9 touchdowns
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@Grok what are your favorite touchdowns here?
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Play A Day #4: Sam LaPorta over 43.5 receiving yards at Miami, Sunday 1:00 PM ET. We're 3-0 after Lawrence, Luka and Tennessee (34-6, covered -5.5 by 22.5). THE SQUEAKY WHEEL. LaPorta is in the final year of his rookie deal and wants to be paid. On Oct. 7 he said extension talks with Detroit are at a stalemate, and on Oct. 21 he said he'd "go get paid somewhere else" without a deal. He has put his body on the line for this team: he had back surgery last November for a herniated disc and missed the last eight games of 2025. He is back with 367 yards in seven games, 8th among tight ends. I expect Detroit to get him the ball. THE FIT. Drew Petzing is Detroit's new offensive coordinator. His Cardinals offense gave Trey McBride 126 catches for 1,239 yards last year. Detroit now passes more than any team in the NFL, on 55% of its plays, and scores 29.0 points a game. THE SPOT. Miami has allowed 69.1 receiving yards a game to tight ends, 5th most in the NFL, with 47 catches on 53 targets and 6 touchdowns. To all receivers it allows 8.8 yards a target, the most in the league. Miami is better against the run per carry (3.81, 8th best), so Detroit should keep throwing. THE NUMBER. LaPorta is over 43.5 in 5 of 7 games: 48, 52, 44, 84, 88, 18, 33. The last two were his quietest, 12% of Detroit's targets against 18% for the season. RotoBot projects 49.9 yards on 6.0 targets, 6.4 over the line. Not a lock. Data: RotoBot, ESPN.
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We believe in the Seahawks on Sunday. Seattle: 10 straight over Arizona, by 11 a game. Lock (2 games): 8.8 yards a throw, 0 INT. Darnold (6): 7.0, 9 INT. ESPN: Seattle's pass rush 4th, Arizona's pass block 31st. The public doesn't look at the trenches. We do. #Seahawks #GoHawks
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3 in a row…. ⭐️ Play 4 posted at 10:15 EST
Tennessee has beaten Kentucky by 6+ in 8 of the last 10 at Neyland. Play A Day #3: Tennessee -5.5 (-120). Posted plays: 2-0. Full breakdown below 👇 Follow to track the record.
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We believe in the Broncos on Sunday. Carolina's top four corners are out, plus an edge rusher, a linebacker and a guard. ESPN has the Panthers 30th in run blocking, 25th in stopping the run. Denver: 11th and 10th. The public doesn't look at the trenches. We do. #Broncos
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Tennessee has beaten Kentucky by 6+ in 8 of the last 10 at Neyland. Play A Day #3: Tennessee -5.5 (-120). Posted plays: 2-0. Full breakdown below 👇 Follow to track the record.
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Play A Day #3: Tennessee -5.5 (-120 at FanDuel, -6 at DraftKings) vs Kentucky, 6:15 PM ET at Neyland. We’re 2-0 after Lawrence under 29.5 attempts and Luka over 34.5 (53). HOME VS ROAD. Tennessee allows 12.4 points a game at home and 22.7 on the road. It takes 5.8 penalties a game at home and 10.7 on the road. Its loss at South Carolina came with 12 penalties for 90 yards, and at Georgia Tech it was 14 for 142. At Neyland it is 4-1 at +20.6 a game, and 4 of those 5 were wins by 6 or more. THE HISTORY. Tennessee has won by 6+ in 8 of the last 10 meetings with Kentucky at Neyland, +13.8 a game. Last year it went to Kentucky and won 56-34. KENTUCKY. It fails on 2 of 3 third downs, converting 33.7%. Its defense allows 48.3% on third down; Tennessee’s allows 31.7%. Kentucky is 7-1 with two one-point wins, 35-34 at South Carolina and 35-34 against LSU. Its three road wins are by 10, 1 and 8. THE PLAYERS. Xavier Gilliam has 6 sacks from the defensive tackle spot, 3 of them against Furman. DeSean Bishop has 957 rushing yards, 13th in the country, with 11 touchdowns and four straight games of 120 or more (220, 138, 159, 120). THE ANGLE. When two ranked teams meet, home teams are 75-47 against the spread since 2022 (61.5%), 28-23 over the last two years. Not a lock. Data: RotoBot, ESPN.
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You guys like 3rd quarter winners? ✅
Play A Day #2: Luka Dončić OVER 34.5 points (-122). It's an NBA Cup game, and as a Laker he's scored 35+ in 5 of 6 of them: 36.3 points in 39.3 minutes. 1-0 after Lawrence under 29.5 attempts.
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RotoBot agrees with me! We’re locked 🔒
We simulated tonight's Trail Blazers @ Lakers 10,000 times 🏀 Every possession is built from real play-by-play. Here's the most typical game: the winner most sims pick, the cover and total on the side most sims land⏬
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Play A Day #2: Luka Dončić OVER 34.5 points (-122). It's an NBA Cup game, and as a Laker he's scored 35+ in 5 of 6 of them: 36.3 points in 39.3 minutes. 1-0 after Lawrence under 29.5 attempts.
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Play A Day #2: Luka Dončić OVER 34.5 points, FanDuel -122. We're 1-0 after Lawrence under 29.5 attempts (26). IT'S A CUP GAME. Portland at the Lakers is NBA Cup group play, and Cup games have been Luka games. In 6 Cup games as a Laker he's averaged 36.3 points and scored 35+ in 5 of them (44, 24, 43, 35, 35, 37). Every other Laker game: 33.8 points, 35+ in 31 of 66 (47%). The reason is minutes: 39.3 in Cup games vs 35.4 in the rest, and he's played at least 37 in all six. More minutes means more free throws too, 11.7 a game vs 10.0. He opened this Cup run with 37 at Golden State on 10/30. Across the league, high-usage stars get about a minute more in Cup games than usual; Luka gets almost four. USAGE. He has a 39.3% usage rate this season, the most of 140 forwards, and plays 35.7 minutes a night. He's taking 23.5 shots, 13.6 threes and 10.5 free throws a game. Last season it was 22.8 shots, 10.8 threes and 10.1 free throws at 37% usage. That's nearly three more threes a night, and 9.4 of his 38.5 points a game come from the line alone. HOW HE HAS PLAYED. 35+ in 6 of 8 games and 5 in a row: 41, 37, 45, 42, 40. In the 7 games he played 35+ minutes he cleared 35 in 6. The two misses: 28 in 29 minutes in the opener (Lakers up big, he sat the fourth) and 23 on 8-of-21 shooting with 11 turnovers. THE OFFENSE. Through 9 games the Lakers are first in the league in offensive rating (120.9), second in points (121.8) and fourth in free throw attempts (30.1). With Luka in the lineup they average 124.1 points and a 122.8 offensive rating. The one game he missed (10/28 at the Clippers, second night of a back-to-back) they scored 103 at a 105.1 rating. One game, but it fits. THE SPOT. Lakers -3.5, total 231.5. In his 4 games decided by fewer than 10 he averaged 40.2 points in 36.9 minutes. Close games keep him on the floor. He scored 41 on Portland on 10/27 in 37 minutes. Portland is without Morant, Sharpe and Krejčí. Not a lock. Data: RotoBot game logs and lines, ESPN box scores.
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NBA Cup by the numbers: 211 games, 2023-24 to now. Favorites of 7.5+ win 91% when they lead at the half and 65% when they trail. Tonight: SA -15.5, BOS -8.5, DAL -7.5, ATL -7.5.
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CASHED. Lawrence UNDER 29.5 pass attempts: 26. The whole bet was one question: do the Jags lead at the half? They led 17-3 and never gave it back. Lawrence: 16/26, 242 yards, 1 TD. Jags ran 56 plays, 30 of them runs. That's 6 for 6 this season on the under when Jacksonville leads at halftime (23, 29, 29, 23, 14, 26). The 2 games they trailed at the half: 39 and 41. Logs and lines from Rotobot.
This is my favorite bet tonight. Here's why...
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Built on Rotobot data Promo code: 4th One week free access.
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This is my favorite bet tonight. Here's why...
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Cash me out! ✅💰
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