Institutional-grade crypto analytics, data and research for digital assets. Next-gen intelligence for next-gen markets. https://nitter.cf/t.co/wF9Ro8W6J5 https://nitter.cf/t.co/nTrHauS2bR
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📊 DeFi Analytics | 30 Oct
Uniswap V3 volume hit $796M in one hour as the Binance breach hit markets.
⛽ 253 gwei peak Ethereum base fee, from ~0.1 gwei for most of October
💵 $4.1B drop in USDC supply in 30 days, the most of any stablecoin
🏛️ $10.6B record open interest in RWA perpetual futures
📲 blockscholes.com/premium-res…
📊 BlockScholes Data: Cross-Exchange Options Volume Update
Across three exchanges over the past week.
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🟠 BTC: Daily turnover ranged $1.4B-$3.3B over the past week, peaking at $3.3B on 23 Oct. Calls and puts were close to evenly split.
💎 ETH: Daily turnover ranged $671M-$1.3B over the past week, peaking at $1.3B on 23 Oct. Calls took the larger share at 62% of volume.
🟣 SOL: Daily turnover ranged $52M-$116M over the past week, peaking at $116M on 28 Oct. Puts took the larger share at 54% of volume.
🔷 HYPE: Daily turnover ranged $11M-$132M over the past week, peaking at $132M on 29 Oct. Calls took the larger share at 65% of volume.
Block Scholes retweeted
Will the Nov. 3rd US Midterm Elections rock markets?
With control of the US House and Senate hanging in the balance, the stakes for financial markets could be huge.
Join @Bybit_Learn, @glassnode, and @BlockScholes on Mon, Nov 2 @ 9:00AM UTC - as we discuss the key market risks, and what traders should watch next.
📺 nitter.cf/i/broadcasts/2ybVXKJKM…
📊 Daily Comment | 30 Oct
The largest crypto theft on record, and how derivatives repriced it.
🚨 $6.3B drained from Binance's hot wallets
📈 67.8% peak in ETH 7-day implied vol as downside demand spiked
🏢 $19.53B Q3 net income for Strategy
📲 blockscholes.com/premium-res…
📊 Block Scholes Implied Volatility Index (BSIV) | 30 October 2026
30-day constant maturity · BTC · ETH · SOL
🟠 BTC: 43.3% (▲ 3.2 pts · 7d)
🟣 ETH: 60.2% (▲ 5.3 pts · 7d)
🟢 SOL: 63.0% (▲ 1.8 pts · 7d)
🏦 A Binance security breach triggered a crypto selloff: BTC -5.1% to a low of $76.7K (weakest since mid-Sept), ETH -6.1% to $2,191, BNB -6.2%; AAVE -11%
📈 Vol jumped: 30d IV up across BTC/ETH/SOL, ETH leading — BTC near $77.6K at the $78K max-pain of today's ~$10.9B monthly options expiry
📲 Crypto vol & risk signals: t.me/blockscholes
📊 Fed Meeting Pricing | Fed holds, but futures still price more hikes.
🏦 3.75–4% range held, with 2 dissents for a hike
📈 4.03% Dec-26 futures-implied rate vs 3.88% effective today
🗓️ 4.26% implied by Mar-27, ~1.5 more hikes priced
📊 Daily Comment | 29 Oct
NYSE owner ICE backs a US venue for 24/7 perps on Hyperliquid.
🏛️ $650B+ traded on trade[XYZ]'s Hyperliquid markets in just over a year
🇺🇸 3.4% US Q3 GDP growth vs 3.2% expected
📉 3rd straight day of outflows from US spot ETH ETFs
📲 blockscholes.com/premium-res…
Block Scholes retweeted
Bitcoin options priced 37.8% forward implied volatility for the Nov. 3 midterm window on Oct. 26, per @blockscholes.
That was 0.1 points above the 30-60-day forward, versus a 10.8-point gap eight days before the 2024 vote.
via @akibablade
cryptoslate.com/bitcoin-hold…
📊 Block Scholes Implied Volatility Index (BSIV) | 29 October 2026
30-day constant maturity · BTC · ETH · SOL
🟠 BTC: 39.0% (▼ 1.1 pts · 7d)
🟣 ETH: 54.7% (▲ 0.6 pts · 7d)
🟢 SOL: 59.3% (▼ 1.8 pts · 7d)
🏦 Fed held at 3.75%–4.00% Wednesday in a 10-2 vote — Cook & Hammack dissented for a hike, and Warsh flagged nearly six years of above-target inflation
📉 With the decision behind it, vol came down: BTC 30d lower on the day, SOL easing, only ETH higher on the week
📲 Crypto vol & risk signals: t.me/blockscholes
📊 Crypto Risk Appetite | 28 Oct
Sentiment is falling far faster in ETH than in BTC.
📉 0.48 on our ETH Risk Appetite Index, now under the 0.5 line
🟠 $80K: the range BTC still lacks a driver to break
🟢 1.05 for SUI, still above 1.0 as BTC, ETH, SOL and XRP slide
📲 blockscholes.com/premium-res…
Block Scholes retweeted
Derive V3 is live. More builders. More LPs. More assets. More launches coming. 🔥
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📊 Block Scholes Risk Appetite Index | 28 October 2026
Crypto risk signal · BTC · ETH · SOL · HYPE
🏦 ETH staking hit a record ~43.8M ETH in Q3 even as staking yields eased to ~2.63% (from 2.81%) — more supply locked up for less reward
📊 Yet risk appetite keeps cooling: RAI eased across all four majors, ETH & HYPE in the lower half of Constructive
📲 Crypto vol & risk signals: t.me/blockscholes
📊 Daily Comment | 28 Oct
US allies made their smallest Treasury purchases since 2021.
🏦 60%+ drop in Treasury buying by US-aligned nations, led by Asia
🪙 $81,500+ for BTC heading into today's FOMC decision
🏛️ Ripple wins final OCC approval for its national trust bank
📲 blockscholes.com/premium-res…
📊 Block Scholes Implied Volatility Index (BSIV) | 28 October 2026
30-day constant maturity · BTC · ETH · SOL
🟠 BTC: 40.2% (▼ 2.4 pts · 7d)
🟣 ETH: 56.6% (▲ 1.0 pts · 7d)
🟢 SOL: 59.7% (▼ 2.9 pts · 7d)
🏦 Fed decides today with a pause priced at 90.6%; BTC rose from <$79.5K to >$81.5K into it as equities recovered — Philly Semi +3.60%, Nasdaq-100 +1.29%
📉 30d eased for BTC & SOL on the week, only ETH higher
📲 Crypto vol & risk signals: t.me/blockscholes
📊 Rate Hikes, Midterms and Prediction Markets | 27 Oct
🗳️ 91.5% Polymarket odds of a Democratic House; 64.5% for the Senate
📉 0.1 vol pts election premium in BTC options vs 10.8 pts before the 2024 vote
🏛️ 3.1% odds the CLARITY Act becomes law in 2026
🏦 75.5% odds of a Dec Fed hike after September's 25bp move
📲 blockscholes.com/institution…
📊 Daily Comment | 27 Oct
Anthropic's IPO filing revived the AI trade.
🤖 $97.5B equity raise planned by Meta, hours before Anthropic filed for its Nasdaq IPO (ANT)
📈 +0.70% S&P 500, +1.09% Nasdaq-100, chip index up close to 3%
₿ $110.3M into spot BTC ETFs as BTC held $79K-$81K; $88.6M out of ETH ETFs
🏦 6.05M ETH at Bitmine after +10,452; Strategy paused BTC buys after 5 weeks
📲 blockscholes.com/premium-res…
📊 Block Scholes Implied Volatility Index (BSIV) | 27 October 2026
30-day constant maturity · BTC · ETH · SOL
🟠 BTC: 41.2% (▲ 0.4 pts · 7d)
🟣 ETH: 56.0% (▲ 0.9 pts · 7d)
🟢 SOL: 60.1% (▼ 7.9 pts · 7d)
🏦 Tech fundraising lifted the AI trade: Anthropic (Claude) filed for a Nasdaq IPO (ticker ANT); Meta eyeing up to $97.5B, Broadcom a $63B chip deal, SpaceX $40B
📉 Crypto vol drifting lower — SOL leading, BTC/ETH flat near $80K — even as the Fed decides tomorrow (Oct 28), now inside the 30d window
📲 Crypto vol & risk signals: t.me/blockscholes
📊 Altcoins Analytics | 26 Oct
ZEC led altcoin ETF inflows; BTC ETFs gave back $773M late in the week.
🏦 +$305M net into BTC ETFs after $1.08B Mon–Wed; ETH ETFs −$221M
💰 $41.1M into ZEC ETFs, money in on 4 of 5 days; ZEC +5% vs BTC −1%
🔄 1.36% of mcap: NEAR's 20d ETF inflow, still incl. its $36.0M launch day (out 27 Oct)
📊 56% of top-50 alts beat BTC over 90d, short of the 75% altseason line
📲 blockscholes.com/premium-res…
