Helima (@CroftHelima) header
Helima (@CroftHelima) profile picture

OPEC watcher, energy and geopolitics enthusiast, proud supporter of the Icelandic national soccer team, mother of three little Vikings...

Joined June 2014
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🇮🇷🇺🇸 This DOES NOT properly reflect what was reported. What @IRNA_1313 put out was the following, which... is distinctly less bullish.
*IRAN SUPREME LEADER HAS GRANTED GOVT AUTHORITY FOR TALKS: IRNA
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Helima retweeted
The United Arab Emirates pledged to strengthen its energy infrastructure, saying the Middle East war demonstrated the value of investing in alternative supply routes and spare capacity to ride out times of crisis bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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At the top Middle East oil conference, Biden administration energy adviser @AmosHochstein has a message to the Trump administration energy officials (who cancelled their trips to Abu Dhabi): “The least you can do is to show up.”
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🇦🇪 Adnoc CEO Sultan al-Jaber: "Since the Hormuz Strait was disrupted, nearly 1 bn barrels have been drained from global inventories. In some markets... stocks of diesel are at their lowest seasonal level in 35 yrs. Others are facing a 600bn ft3 LNG supply gap. Simply put, the world has eroded its supply buffers."
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US officials are promoting a plan for Russia to resume sales of natural gas to Europe via pipelines running through Ukraine, the WSJ reported 🇺🇸🤝🇷🇺 The scheme would involve selling Russian gas via a US intermediary to avoid European restrictions wsj.com/world/europe/u-s-pus…
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After a three week lull, Ukraine has hit two large Russian refineries in the last 48 hours. Drones heavily damaged the 165,000 b/d Novokuibshevsk refinery Thursday night, and last night saw drones knock out a catalytic reformer at the huge 470,000 b/d refinery at Ufa.
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Russia to extend diesel export ban until late January 2027 — Novak The Russian government is preparing to extend its diesel export ban until the end of January 2027, with certain exceptions for global markets, Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak told reporters. "Yes, a government decree is currently being drafted to extend the ban on diesel shipments until the end of January next year - effectively for three months. However, as before, specific exceptions will be made for supplies to global markets," Novak said. Novak told TASS that Russia was beginning to lift its diesel export ban ahead of schedule. He noted that Russia had already dispatched three tankers carrying Russian diesel to the United States, with a fourth scheduled to depart on October 29. Russian companies may export 500,000 tonnes of diesel in October under agreements to supply the US and global markets. (TASS)
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"Qatar presented a draft peace plan to ⁠Iran on Sunday, according to an official ​briefed on negotiations. But a senior Iranian official ​dismissed the proposals as unacceptable and said Tehran would maintain its nuclear position." reuters.com/world/middle-eas…
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MORE: Rezaei’s views are consistent with the Iranian official view, which demands that the United States first implement Iran’s conditions, including lifting the US naval blockade, releasing Iranian frozen assets, and recognizing Iran’s claimed authority over the Strait of Hormuz. IRGC-affiliated Tasnim News Agency reported on October 29 that Iran had not yet responded to the letter and still considers any departure from its seven conditions “unacceptable.”
NEW: Iran is unlikely to respond positively to a recent US letter proposing comprehensive direct negotiations. A senior US official and an Iranian official told the New York Times on October 28 that US Vice President JD Vance sent Supreme National Security Council (SNSC) Secretary Major General Mohsen Rezaei a letter through Qatari mediators that proposed comprehensive direct negotiations. Rezaei recently reiterated hardline negotiating positions, which were demands that the United States end the war on all fronts, release frozen assets, and lift the naval blockade before negotiations over anything else resume. These views are consistent with official Iranian state positions. (1/2)
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Washington can change the messenger/ recipient a 100 times, but it’ll get nowhere if the demands remain maximalist and the message remains surrender dressed up as diplomacy. wsj.com/world/middle-east/va…
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The Administration is still looking for a Delcy Rodriguez in Tehran; what they found so far to quote my @CarnegieEndow colleague @ksadjadpour are Iranian Kim Jong Uns.
🇺🇸🇮🇷Vice President Vance sent a letter to Iran's national security chief stressing that any negotiations to head off U.S. military strikes "require discussions on the nuclear issue," a U.S. official said. My report on @axios axios.com/2026/10/28/vance-i…
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European Commission sounds the alarm (now !!!) about the number of oil refineries closing in the region over the last 20 years. "We need to counter this trend," says EU Energy Commissioner Dan Jørgensen. "This crisis is a wake-up call." Quite.
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Europe faces a difficult winter. We must ensure reliable fuel supplies for our citizens, businesses, & defense. And we must ensure that these supplies are affordable. Today we started our dialogue with European refineries. Looking at short-term & long-term. Press point ↓
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It would undoubtedly be an intense military campaign, but I seriously doubt it would be a short one, given the scale and severity of Iran’s potential retaliation. More importantly, there is little reason to believe that even a devastating military campaign would force Tehran to capitulate or return to the negotiating table on Washington’s terms. #Iran #iranwar
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Netanyahu’s Political Dead End Could Be the preview for the Next War with Iran One critical point that deserves far more attention is Netanyahu’s political predicament. He has no viable governing coalition, yet there is little reason to believe he has any intention of voluntarily giving up the prime minister’s office. This creates a potentially dangerous situation. With no clear political path to remaining in power, Netanyahu may see another confrontation with Iran as an opportunity to fundamentally change the political equation. A national security emergency could put enormous pressure on his political rivals to join a national unity government under his leadership. This is a very plausible scenario and one that should not be underestimated. The concern is not simply that Netanyahu might exploit another war for political future. It is that his inability to form a government, combined with his determination to remain prime minister, could create a powerful incentive to initiate or escalate a confrontation with Iran.. Any assessment of the likelihood of another war with Iran must take into account not only the military and strategic calculations, but also Netanyahu’s political survival. #IranWar‌ #iran
(Reuters) - Israel's election appeared to end in deadlock on Tuesday, exit polls showed, leaving neither Prime Minister Netanyahu nor rival Gadi Eisenkot with a clear path to forming a government and raising the prospect of prolonged coalition bargaining or another election.
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Houthis say they attacked Saudi oil pumping stations, Riyadh airport as fighting intensifies Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthis said on Monday they had ‌attacked Saudi Arabia's East-West crude oil pumping stations and Riyadh airport, as rising hostilities choke oil supplies and threaten to erupt into a larger conflict. The Saudi-led coalition in Yemen said earlier it had destroyed two ballistic missile launchers in the capital Sanaa, including one used to fire a ​missile towards Riyadh that the coalition said it had intercepted. There was no immediate Saudi confirmation of the Houthi attacks. (Reuters)
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🇸🇦🇸🇬 Saudi Arabia will begin storing crude in Singapore from 2H 2027 under a joint arrangement between the countries, Singapore's energy, trade and industry minister said Monday. In Asia-Pacific, Aramco already has pacts to store crude in Korea and Japan. direct.argusmedia.com/articl…
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Helima retweeted
President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva came from behind to win Brazil’s runoff election, halting a right-wing wave sweeping Latin America and defying predictions that the 80-year-old political veteran had finally reached the end of his extraordinary career. bloom.bg/4BsvV24 📷: Maira Erlich/Bloomberg
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