Dami (@DamiPayne) header
Dami (@DamiPayne) profile picture

All opinions are my own | Product @Moonpay 👨🏾‍💻| De-Fi 💸| Armchair defensive coordinator 🏈 | Writes at Econtechie and InvestorOS

London, England
Joined August 2018
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Replying to @DamiPayne
So, if you were to ask me where the two areas to be watching the most in AI: 1. Any research or breakthroughs in the model opacity and prompt injection problem. 2. Any new ways to simulate tasks with measurable outcomes that can be used to train and test models.
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Loved how Apple began #wwdc by focusing on listening to feedback, especially fixing search, it has been my top OS frustration point
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The important addition here is that you still need a viable path to high LTV If you can’t generate a mix of high value spend, subscriptions, cross border remittances/payments, saving/investments or lending your low cost base won’t save you.
Starting a neobank is now incredibly cheap. With crypto rails, most of the stack comes out of the box for free. That makes CAC the dominant cost driver, and the whole business becomes a game of acquiring customers for less than they’re worth. The way to keep CAC low is to specialize. Teams often start by focusing on a narrow segment, like farmers in one region, young people in high-inflation economies, or expats in Asia, and build features and marketing tailored precisely to them. The result is great for consumers: they get financial experiences designed for exactly who they are.
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After using Google Omni, I am very confident that Google will win in consumer AI
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Disruption starts in markets incumbents ignore because the margins aren’t worth it. If you’re targeting their core customers from day one, you’re not disrupting anything. You’re just building a worse version of what already exists
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Investors keep asking me what the AI impact on Fintech really looks like. It’s this. Less chatbots more shipping 🚀
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Claude is so much better as a personal AI assistant than ChatGPT but the app is awful in comparison 😩
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Distribution vs Product Quality
My yearly reminder to all founders as you go build that next Google/MSFT/Salesforce killer app in 2026: when distribution is proprietary, distribution wins (Comcast vs Netflix), when distribution is commoditized, best product wins (chrome vs IE), when product is commoditized, best service wins (Amazon vs others), when service is commoditized, best network wins.
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The era of multiple 5k yard seasons is done. Defensive schemes have just gotten much better at disguising coverages and simulating pressures
“I’d love to get into it.” Allow Kirk Cousins to take you to school
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TVL in all of DeFi is about to break its record from November 2021. But this time without algostables and without Alameda. Just years of building to create a strong base and get back to this point.
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These two points are the only breakthroughs that matter in AI agents. I am tired of seeing benchmarks. We need open-ended metrics in complex environmental simulations
Replying to @DamiPayne
So, if you were to ask me where the two areas to be watching the most in AI: 1. Any research or breakthroughs in the model opacity and prompt injection problem. 2. Any new ways to simulate tasks with measurable outcomes that can be used to train and test models.
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I was about to tweet about UX being the end state of composability and realized I already wrote it 4 years ago
Replying to @711_Joseph
Completely agree everyone is fixated on the underlying protocol, but looking at the history tells us that a few protocols will become the standard and the majority of the value will live in a layer completely abstracted from the underlying implementation.
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I recently reread @benthompson article on defining levels of aggregation, given OpenAI’s potential as a super aggregator, prioritising it’s developer business over consumer and advertising looks like a bigger and bigger mistake 🧵
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Ultimately, the flywheel hinges on consumer and ads, so prioritising developer APIs over expanding the consume TAM a massive mistake. This is also the bull case for perplexity. If it lands an AI advertising model in a way that forms a meaningful moat they are well positioned.
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The only potential justification for OpenAI's reliance on developer APIs is the need for short-term revenue, but given its ability to raise funds, this seems more likely a hangover from its reluctance to become a true consumer business.
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I hadn’t been on twitter in a while and I was surprised that my TL is actually readable again
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We are in such a weird time. More and more people are struggling, but at the same time, my short-haul flight has half the plane in business class. Who knows if the K-shaped economy will last, but in the meantime, every consumer strategy has to plan to target the mass affluent
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The most accurate deepseek take. Yes, the work is innovative in its approach, but the goal of frontier models was to push boundaries of capabilities rather than optimizing for efficiency.
Congrats to DeepSeek on producing an o1-level reasoning model! Their research paper demonstrates that they’ve independently found some of the core ideas that we did on our way to o1.
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It is impressive how high quality the results are, but they are built on the back of all the work done by openAI and Anthropic to push boundaries with scale
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