Glowing Grapes retweeted
Feeling the AGI/ASI, few observations
1. Opus 5.5 really gives strong vibes of AGI (maybe not fully there, but we're very close, like 80%-90%).
For example, few breakthoughs in training humanoids are needed. We need to move this intelligence into physical world.
2. I don't think Anthropic has discovered any magical formula.
3. Which means, SpaceXAI, Google, and others will soon follow. This prediction is based on the amount of compute they already have + additional compute being added all the time.
4. Never was more confident that Anthropic, SpaceXAI, Google, OpenAI, likely Meta, basically all big US AGI labs will have proper AGI in 2027.
5. And from there we'll move quickly to ASI territory (likely also in 2027).
It looks like few GW of compute are enough for strong AGI, now imagine what we will able to do with 10-20GW of compute which are rapidly coming online.
And then with 100GW-200GW...
2027 will be an utterly insane year.
Glowing Grapes retweeted
There is hyperventilation about AI right now. Some say the worry is overblown and others are convinced we’re doomed.
Regardless of the rhetoric, there won’t be any slowing down. The monetary, political and security game dynamics guarantee that. It’s a race to get there first and there is no stopping it. How we build safety, whether we regulate, and how we cooperate will be a dynamic, unpredictable process. I applaud all who are in the arena doing their best to exercise their best judgment.
Humanity is going to do its thing and…wing it.
Where does that leave us?
So what do we mortals do? Where can we find stability of emotion and thought amidst the turbulence?
I have a suggestion for you.
Say yes.
To the experience and not the outcome.
Bask in the glory of this moment.
We are headed for the singularity.
The apex experience of an intelligent race.
I had a trial run doing this a few months ago when I did the entheogen 5-MeO-DMT. It’s the most powerful psychedelic on earth.
I live streamed it.
It was, without question, the most profound experience of my life. It rendered me dumbfounded and speechless. My consciousness settled onto a single concept: the insane, impossible-to-comprehend preciousness of our existence.
To arrive at that understanding, I had to navigate a gauntlet that threatened my sanity.
Seconds after the 5-MeO-DMT enters your body, you are transported into what feels like a different realm of existence. The molecule then poses a question to you: will you relinquish control or shall I crush you?
If you say no, you’re annihilated and become trapped in a hellscape that has no exit. Primal panic overwhelms.
If you say yes, you are allowed entrance to take one step deeper into this new realm. Then the 5-MeO-DMT asks you again, yes or no.
Each time you say yes, it gets harder to bear the immensity of the terrain. You’re constantly teetering on losing your mind in an expanse that is exhilarating beyond description.
Your only job is to say yes.
Yes to… absolutely… everything.
No hesitation.
No conditionals.
No stated preferences.
Your essence must emanate acceptance of all things.
If you make it through, you arrive at the peak experience of conscious existence. The crown jewel which has no peer.
This is where I think we are heading and what awaits us.
I think the coming years will feel like a 5-MeO-DMT experience for every single one of us. We may feel the crushing weight of uncertainty, speed of change, lack of control, and perceived psychosis.
We will feel challenged in ways that we cannot currently imagine. We will feel primal panic and be uncertain if we can stop ourselves from psychological unraveling.
The antidote isn’t more control or more knowing, it’s acceptance.
This is not giving up or shying away from the fight. It’s calming the core and stabilizing your system to give you strength and stamina and avoid being taken over by the primal panic.
In previous times of my life, I would have caved to 5-MeO-DMT. I didn’t have the physical, emotional, spiritual and psychological wherewithal.
I encourage you to start practicing now. Whether in meditation, breathwork or prayer, take on the most complex issues of your life and arrive at full acceptance. One small step at a time.
Things do not need to resolve as you want, or expect. Your only job is to say yes more thoroughly than you’ve ever said yes before.
We talk a lot about the technology, about what AI can do and what we think it will be able to do. What we don’t talk about much is the spiritual strength we will each need to navigate this transition.
We will need each other more than ever before, and we will need to summon a capacity that currently feels foreign to us.
What lies on the other side? No one knows.
This may be the first singularity event in the universe.
Glowing Grapes retweeted
JUST IN: Trump warns there is a “SICK” conspiracy going on to slowdown AI development, in deference to China.
Glowing Grapes retweeted
BREAKING: China rejects calls from U.S. tech leaders to slow AI development, blasting the warnings as “fearmongering.”
Glowing Grapes retweeted
AI is code. Code is speech.
AI also produces speech.
That means the starting point for any discussion about “regulating” AI in America should be the First Amendment, not some new bureaucratic censorship regime invented in Washington.
We already have a legal framework for speech that has stood the test of time. We don’t need to reinvent the wheel. They want you in a state of panic about AI so that out of fear you will hand them more power (ultimate power in this case) over the future of this great new technology.
The government doesn’t get to create a special category called “AI speech” and suddenly decide that political opinions, controversial ideas, offensive jokes, religious arguments, historical claims, or criticism of the government become regulable simply because AI helped produce them.
We all know by now after the last decade of culture wars that the First Amendment doesn’t exist to protect speech everyone likes. It exists precisely because the people holding political power cannot be trusted with the authority to decide which ideas the rest of us are allowed to hear.
This doesn’t mean AI gets some magical immunity from laws that already apply to speech. No one is suggesting otherwise.
There are longstanding categories of speech that receive little or no First Amendment protection: true threats, legally actionable defamation, fraud, obscenity, incitement satisfying the constitutional standard, etc.
We already have centuries of statutes and case law dealing with these boundaries. We should apply those principles where they actually fit. We don’t need to invent a Ministry of AI Truth because a computer can now generate sentences.
We already have the basic pieces necessary to deal with this technology: the First Amendment, Section 230, criminal law, tort law, consumer-protection law, and the enormous body of precedent defining the narrow categories of speech the government may punish.
We need to start there and frankly we need not go any further.
The people screaming that AI is so unprecedented that we need an entirely new regulatory regime are asking us to hand government enormous power over the most important communications technology since the internet.
We must not allow that to happen. These people can’t ever agree on anything or get anything done and you want to hand them the keys to the future?
I don’t think so.
1A is the baseline.
This is the de facto American position on the topic.
Glowing Grapes retweeted
We cannot allow Silicon Valley to monopolize AI.
Monopoly building is their core business model. It is what they know how to do. Take something that begins as an open frontier, pour billions of dollars into it, centralize the infrastructure, capture the distribution channels, lock everyone into a handful of platforms, and then position themselves as the indispensable gatekeepers between ordinary people and the technology itself. We watched this happen with search. We watched it happen with social media. We watched it happen with mobile computing, cloud infrastructure, digital advertising, and online commerce. We cannot allow it to happen again with artificial intelligence.
The stakes are simply too high.
AI is rapidly becoming a new layer of civilization itself. It will increasingly mediate how people search for information, write software, create art, conduct research, educate their children, build businesses, practice medicine, communicate, and make decisions. Whoever controls that layer acquires enormous power over everything built on top of it. If five corporations control the models, the compute, the interfaces, and the rules governing what those systems are permitted to say and do, then five corporations effectively become the librarians, teachers, editors, programmers, researchers, and increasingly the intellectual gatekeepers of civilization.
That cannot be our future.
There is something particularly insulting about being told that this technology somehow belongs exclusively to the corporations that trained the models. Trained them on what?
Us.
Our books. Our websites. Our photographs. Our conversations. Our code. Our research papers. Our journalism. Our art. Our forums. Our public archives. Decades of accumulated human knowledge and creativity were vacuumed into enormous datasets and transformed into these systems. Silicon Valley did not conjure this knowledge out of thin air. The models are standing on a mountain of human civilization that billions of people spent generations creating.
These systems also do not live in some magical digital cloud floating above the earth. They run on our electrical grids. They occupy enormous data centers built on our land. They consume energy generated by our infrastructure. Their chips move across supply chains protected by our governments and ultimately by our people. Their companies enjoy legal protections, capital markets, universities, roads, communications networks, and political stability created and maintained by the civilization around them.
After drawing upon all of that, we are supposed to accept a future where a tiny priesthood in Silicon Valley owns the intelligence layer of the digital world and rents access back to everyone else on whatever terms they decide?
No.
The models belong to all of us. The knowledge underneath them is our inheritance. The infrastructure supporting them exists inside our civilization. The people whose lives and work generated their training material are not incidental to this story. They are the story.
This is why open models matter. Local models matter. Open-source tooling matters. Independent compute matters. Alternative AI companies matter. The ability to download a model, modify it, run it yourself, build on top of it, and decide for yourself what it should do is not some niche hobby for programmers. It is one of the most important technological questions of our generation.
We need thousands of AI companies, thousands of models, thousands of applications, and millions of people experimenting freely with this technology. We need models running in massive data centers and models running on laptops in basements. We need businesses, churches, schools, families, researchers, developers, and communities building AI systems around their own values and their own needs. No central committee in San Francisco should determine the intellectual boundaries of artificial intelligence for eight billion people.
Glowing Grapes retweeted
Dario has written that we need to “pace the frontier,” and Sam has agreed. People may be surprised by my response: go ahead.
You guys are the frontier. By any reasonable metric — market share, revenue growth, model capability — the two of you have a duopoly on frontier intelligence. You’ve also claimed the lead is widening because of recursive self-improvement.
I don’t see what you see in the lab. If the unreleased models are scary enough that you think you should slow down, I support your decision to be responsible.
But stop pretending you need anyone else’s permission. Stop pretending antitrust law has to be suspended so you can form a cartel. Stop pretending you need a regulatory approval process that supersedes product liability. Stop pretending METR is independent when it is intertwined with Anthropic’s investors and staff. Stop pretending you need those same evaluators to police competitors who aren’t even at the frontier.
Most of all, stop pretending the motivation to slow down is purely altruistic. You face massive product-liability exposure if your products enable a truly damaging cyberattack. The market already punishes models that behave in unpredictable or unauthorized ways. After the Hugging Face episode, it is simply good business for OpenAI and Anthropic to trade some raw power for reliability and predictability. Call it alignment if you want. It is also just giving customers what they want.
Pacing the frontier would also create breathing room for a more intelligent conversation about regulation than Bernie Sanders’ “shut it all down.” China is very unlikely to join a global agreement, as you know, and that has to be taken into account as well.
So go ahead and pace the frontier. You are the ones setting it. The easiest way not to build superintelligence is for you to agree not to build it. Demanding your preferred regulatory framework as the price of that will look like blackmail of the public and the political system. So just do it.
If you do, you’ll buy goodwill for the next conversation. If you don’t, we’ll know this was just another bid for regulatory capture — or an election-season psyop.
Glowing Grapes retweeted
This is the work experience of the EU technology chief
The European Union is calling for global artificial intelligence rules, its top tech official said today, after a viral warning from a former Anthropic engineer said AI could end humanity.
politico.eu/article/henna-vi…
Our bet is that better AI will make films more personal.
So I made a film where hurting someone turns you into candy.
Would that make us civilised?
Created with @seedance 2.5.
Happy to collaborate with @BytePlusGlobal on this project.
#seedance25
Glowing Grapes retweeted
The chance that AI wants to kill us seems close to zero. The chance that there's some psychopath humans that control AI and they want ultimate power seems very likely.


















