30 | Investing to $1,000,000 in my taxable brokerage | Crazy enough to jump out of planes for fun | not financial advice
Joined January 2019
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Kyle Adams retweeted
great episode of This Week In AI
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Runlayer CEO Andy Berman oversees AI rollouts for Fortune 500s. He says the models are ready for enterprise-level work, but the companies aren’t.
“An LLM without access to the right tools and resources, and specifically the data sources, which most companies will not give access to today… is almost useless.”
New TWiAI with @berman66, @runlayer, @johnjnay, @normativeai, @jason and @Lons
0:00 PayPal - Pay zero processing fees on your first $100K in eligible PayPal payment volume. Learn more at paypal.launch.co
1:43 What we learned from Anthropic's S-1
9:30 Why only 2-3% of companies are really using AI
18:03 Jason's "reverse to-do list" agent
23:23 Will AI labs evolve beyond charging per token?
32:36 Browser use is basically solved
41:24 Are colleges giving performative "slop" degrees?
53:00 Why r/opensource banned AI projects
59:39 So what happens to the junior lawyers and analysts?
1:06:01 Peter Thiel's "math people vs. word people" binary
🎥 Watch the full episode here 👇
Just went through $SILC earnings and raised the position.
Similar to last quarter where it sold off, but the underlying fundamentals are strong.
The design wins haven’t even materialized much for this fiscal year, so next year will be continued strong growth.
At $35 this is a no brainer.
Kyle Adams retweeted
Runlayer CEO Andy Berman oversees AI rollouts for Fortune 500s. He says the models are ready for enterprise-level work, but the companies aren’t.
“An LLM without access to the right tools and resources, and specifically the data sources, which most companies will not give access to today… is almost useless.”
New TWiAI with @berman66, @runlayer, @johnjnay, @normativeai, @jason and @Lons
0:00 PayPal - Pay zero processing fees on your first $100K in eligible PayPal payment volume. Learn more at paypal.launch.co
1:43 What we learned from Anthropic's S-1
9:30 Why only 2-3% of companies are really using AI
18:03 Jason's "reverse to-do list" agent
23:23 Will AI labs evolve beyond charging per token?
32:36 Browser use is basically solved
41:24 Are colleges giving performative "slop" degrees?
53:00 Why r/opensource banned AI projects
59:39 So what happens to the junior lawyers and analysts?
1:06:01 Peter Thiel's "math people vs. word people" binary
🎥 Watch the full episode here 👇
Kyle Adams retweeted
$SILC with a double beat, raised guidance, close to profitability while only partialy being exposed to the AI trade with many tailwinds at 3x sales.
The market doesn't give a damn.
Let me bring you back to speed about $SILC.
Manufacturing hardware designed to reduce bottlenecks - rings a bell?
~$130M capitalization, sitting on $74M of net cash. Double-digit growth guidance.
Why does the market ignore this name? Because a strong balance sheet isn't enough to deserve a premium, and the company has been struggling.
A hardware cyclical business that boomed and crashed post-covid, struggling to find new demand for its tech.
Until AI networking bottlenecks, robotics and now quantum. Three new verticals which will require very specific and customized compute optimization hardware, and $SILC excels at doing exactly that.
They sell packaged optimizers. That's all they do.
But until the market sees proof of this comeback - not only in words but in numbers, it won't reward it. The stock rose on optimism but is still missing proof.
Was.
This contract is the first step toward letting the market know that management's optimism is founded and that these new verticals have a real demand.
The market will adapt once this materializes.
Kyle Adams retweeted
Stay tuned for our next information arbitrage Delta Sheet thread. This one will be on a cheap defense company with multiple levers to grow for several years. No .. it’s not $IEHC or $SODI. However, they would’ve been good guesses. @Mike10947310 @Diego_La_Torre_ @KyleAdamsStocks @BlackScholesMan
Good read on $IA. One of my mistakes buying at $5 and selling way too soon.
Seems like the thesis is stronger today than even then, so going to give it a deeper look.
Gave you a follow @UCompounders.
I've turned over hundreds of rocks, and out of everything, $IA is the company I chose to make my biggest position: about 30%.
The stock trades at $18 and I'm convinced it'll hit $100 someday. The question is when. (No reverse split planned, I promise.)
Full thesis below:
Kyle Adams retweeted
Today, we’re announcing Runlayer has raised $30M from Felicis and Khosla Ventures to help companies go all in on AI.
Runlayer is the golden path for AI: enablement, security, and control in one platform.
So, how does it give your team the right tools for AI? 🧵
Kyle Adams retweeted
Within 18-24 months, every enterprise will have an AI platform team.
15 years ago there was no cloud infra team. Now every company has one.
10 years ago there was no data platform team. Then all of a sudden you have Databricks and Snowflake, and there's a data platform team.
If you asked 50 Fortune 500s today "Where does this all live?" They'd say it lives somewhere between security, IT, or we have no idea.
There's too much infrastructure here that has to be controlled, coordinated, aligned.
And over the next 18 to 24 months, you're going to see a new function.
That's the AI platform team.
Kyle Adams retweeted
If you're not tuned in to enterprise AI adoption, let me tell you that no one knows what they're doing.
It's a gigantic power struggle between governance, security, AI enablement, IT, data science, all between one set of agents.
All while the board says "We need to be AI native" without a clue what that actually means.
If you're at a small startup that's using agents and skills and domain-specific harnesses, be very grateful.
Should probably clarify and add I have nothing against people who post thoughtful posts, but just don’t love seeing people post buys over and over. I have a lot of respect for people like @mvcinvesting who post thoughtful content.
If I had a dollar for every time I saw a $NBIS or $IREN post about buying more of the stock over the last few days, and it then proceeding to go lower I’d be a very wealthy man.
Just remember we are entering a rate hike cycle, people are questioning the AI spend heavily, Anthropic is looking at an IPO of $500B less, and many of these large AI labs have hundreds of billions of dollars in capex commitments, and will have a hard time finding capital soon to provide the necessary $ to fund it.
AI and the technology are real, but there are many other factors at play, and if the ROI doesn’t show up soon, then we should expect a slowdown.
Just some food for thought.
If I had a dollar for every time I saw a $NBIS or $IREN post about buying more of the stock over the last few days, and it then proceeding to go lower I’d be a very wealthy man.
Just remember we are entering a rate hike cycle, people are questioning the AI spend heavily, Anthropic is looking at an IPO of $500B less, and many of these large AI labs have hundreds of billions of dollars in capex commitments, and will have a hard time finding capital soon to provide the necessary $ to fund it.
AI and the technology are real, but there are many other factors at play, and if the ROI doesn’t show up soon, then we should expect a slowdown.
Just some food for thought.
Kyle Adams retweeted
$PPIH, $ASYS, $SILC - 3 AI names I like.
Don’t have much debt, strong balance sheets, and should see strong earnings growth the next 12-18 months.
I’d be super cautious buying companies with a lot of debt (think neoclouds), especially when interest rates will surely go up the next few quarters, and many of them need to raise a lot more capital, which will be expensive.
$PPIH, $ASYS, $SILC - 3 AI names I like.
Don’t have much debt, strong balance sheets, and should see strong earnings growth the next 12-18 months.
I’d be super cautious buying companies with a lot of debt (think neoclouds), especially when interest rates will surely go up the next few quarters, and many of them need to raise a lot more capital, which will be expensive.
Kyle Adams retweeted
I started a position in $ASYS.
I really like the setup here. The business is increasingly shifting toward AI-driven semiconductor advanced packaging, while the weaker SiC-related business continues to shrink. AI-related revenue was up ~120% YoY last quarter, TPS backlog is up 69%, and I think 2027 could be an inflection year as this demand really starts hitting the P&L.
I’m also a big fan of new CEO Guy Shechter. He has deep semiconductor experience, strong industry relationships, and has been very visible meeting customers, partners and investors based on LinkedIn. Add in $83M+ of cash, and Amtech has plenty of flexibility to invest behind its strongest businesses or pursue an accretive acquisition.
There’s also some longer-term optionality around thermal/cooling applications that I’m watching. Only one initial deal has been done here. Too early to tell though, so not a main part of the thesis.
The stock isn’t optically cheap on current earnings, but 2027 estimates paint a much different picture. Around $15/share, I think the risk/reward is compelling enough to own an initial position.
Looking forward to digging deeper into this one.
Good day to raise my $ASYS to a full position.
We are now at the level the CFO bought shares open market.
I started a position in $ASYS.
I really like the setup here. The business is increasingly shifting toward AI-driven semiconductor advanced packaging, while the weaker SiC-related business continues to shrink. AI-related revenue was up ~120% YoY last quarter, TPS backlog is up 69%, and I think 2027 could be an inflection year as this demand really starts hitting the P&L.
I’m also a big fan of new CEO Guy Shechter. He has deep semiconductor experience, strong industry relationships, and has been very visible meeting customers, partners and investors based on LinkedIn. Add in $83M+ of cash, and Amtech has plenty of flexibility to invest behind its strongest businesses or pursue an accretive acquisition.
There’s also some longer-term optionality around thermal/cooling applications that I’m watching. Only one initial deal has been done here. Too early to tell though, so not a main part of the thesis.
The stock isn’t optically cheap on current earnings, but 2027 estimates paint a much different picture. Around $15/share, I think the risk/reward is compelling enough to own an initial position.
Looking forward to digging deeper into this one.
Kyle Adams retweeted
"If a peer comes to ask me how to deal with the agentic risk that we're all seeing the first thing I'd tell him or her is to get Runlayer." - Jonathan Jaffe, CISO at Lemonade
We're proud to partner with @Lemonade_Inc to govern their agentic workloads.
Over the past 90 days, Runlayer has managed 300K MCP tool calls across Lemonade's 1700+ person workforce while executing 25M+ security checks.
"Runlayer has allowed Security to enable the business rather than be a source of friction."