@MPFB_Prediction

Data-driven insights and CFB analytics. -Power Ratings -Resume Rankings -Playoff Projections Page run by @CoachWestbury

Joined August 2023
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  • Followers912
875Media
Maven Resume Rankings through Week 5 — all 138 teams. These are résumé-based, not predictive: strictly what each team has earned on the field so far. Texas leads the way at #1. Agree or disagree?
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Doesn't change much, but I just realized that this data did not include Arkansas State's loss to Louisiana. That drops Arkansas State to 105.
Maven Analytics 🏈@MPFB_Prediction
Oct 6
Maven Resume Rankings through Week 5 — all 138 teams. These are résumé-based, not predictive: strictly what each team has earned on the field so far. Texas leads the way at #1. Agree or disagree?
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College football rankings have an identity crisis. Are we ranking who has accomplished the most, who would win on a neutral field, or who has the best playoff case? Those are 3 different questions—but we keep pretending one Top 25 can answer all three. Which should matter most?
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To all the young, single men: pay for your dates meal ALWAYS!
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If this were how we did things, there’s ZERO I would ever schedule a team with a pulse out of conference. I also would never play a starter more than about one quarter. Why would I risk injury in a pointless game. You’ve now shortened an already short season to 9 games.
Robb Carlson@robbc_
Oct 8
Replying to @robbc_ @CFBKings
...or....and I know a bunch of SEC people hate this, make the OOC not matter at all, give the conferences a set amount of bids to hand out, and then there's no risk to playing the big game!
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That’s a weird line to draw. Success is relative for every program. 7-5 is successful for UMass. UGA and Ohio State getting the 23 and 24 seeds and getting bumped in the 1st round is a failure.
Adam Rittenberg
@ESPNRittenberg
Oct 8
Tony Petitti, asked about a 24-team playoff eliminating league title games, says the "definition of success in college football is qualifying for the CFP." Adds that a model where two teams are competing while "others are waiting, it's just not necessarily the best thing."
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Stacey Abrams would like a word!
Jason Suwarsa@JasonSuwarsa
Jun 14
Replying to @gobrien86720525 @ginamilan_ @AGRobBonta
And how come when Democrats loses, no ones complaining about voter/election fraud? I don't recall Democrats even complaining about them when they loses.
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Most models have UF favored over Mizzou if they matched up again.
Random SEC
@therandomsec
Oct 8
I defend Josh Pate on a lot of things, much more than most, and think he’s overall pretty good for cfb. But idk about this one, any model that has Florida over Missouri is extremely flawed.
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Serious CFB question: As schedules become more uneven—even within the same conference—should playoff selection lean more on opponent-adjusted efficiency and résumé strength than raw W-L record? At what point does 10–2 stop meaning the same thing for every team?
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The Liberty and Sam Houston fans are getting quite feisty before this game!
Flames and Faith@FlamesAndFaith
Oct 7
Sam Houston fans are really chirping about nonsense like this when their university is literally named after a slave owner.
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I do enjoy @AnotherJerryLU’s milquetoast comebacks to it all!
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Maven Analytics 🏈 retweeted
College Football Nerds
@CFBNerds
Oct 7
The most frustrating thing about generating a power rating is that people can't understand this concept. Teams don't play consistently. How often do teams replay each other in the same season with wildly different results? Power ratings are for the next game, not the last one.
FanDuel
@FanDuel
Oct 7
Funny you should ask, @JoshPateCFB 👇 RIGHT NOW, Florida would be a 4-point favorite against Mizzou on a neutral field, despite the Tigers' 45-17 H2H win. #GoGators | #MIZ
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Herd Bros
@TheHerdBros
Oct 7
You’re a casual college football fan if you make blanket statements that insinuate all P4 teams are better than all G6 teams. Things you may see a casual, non-ball knower say: “A schedule with 10 P4 teams and 2 G6 teams is harder than a schedule with 9 P4 teams and 3 G6 teams”
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Maven Analytics 🏈 retweeted
Bhrett McCabe, PhD
@DrBhrettMcCabe
Oct 7
“Discipline is doing what you hate to do, but nonetheless doing it like you love it.” —Mike Tyson
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Fill in the blank: Dabo’s fall at Clemson is the biggest decline by an elite coach since ______.
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This is well said.
fhjckaka@fhjckaka
Oct 6
Replying to @ryan_heinrich @JoshPateCFB
No. The better team doesn’t win 100% of the time. If that were true, upsets wouldn’t exist. Game location, injuries, turnovers, general variance affect the outcome of an individual game. Power ratings are trying to measure underlying team quality, not pretend every game is played under identical circumstances.
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Somehow, @ESPN_BillC has me avidly defending a man I’ve never met and only briefly interacted with today. I respect quality and SP+ is quality.
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It’s pretty terrible, unfortunately. This number was in the 18-20% range just 4 to 5 years ago. It dipped to about 10% last season and has continued to dive. The portal and NIL are undoubtedly the cause.
Herd Bros
@TheHerdBros
Oct 6
This is not nearly as bad as folks are making it out to be, and I mostly disagree with the reasoning mentioned below.
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The divide between the have's and have nots is growing tremendously. The portal and NIL is destroying smaller brands.
Chris Fallica
@chrisfallica
Oct 6
This is eye opening as well. I knew upsets were down, but ranked teams have been dominant.
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Maven Top 25 Resume Rankings through Week 5 are here. These are résumé-based rankings—measuring what teams have actually earned on the field, not projecting future strength. If I were an AP voter, this would be my ballot. Texas sits at #1. Who’s too high? Who’s too low?
🤖 Made with AI
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