Matthew Monte (@MatthewMonte3) header
Matthew Monte (@MatthewMonte3) profile picture
Joined September 2021
Photo by Matthew Monte (@MatthewMonte3)Photo by Matthew Monte (@MatthewMonte3)Photo by Matthew Monte (@MatthewMonte3)Photo by Matthew Monte (@MatthewMonte3)Photo by Matthew Monte (@MatthewMonte3)Photo by Matthew Monte (@MatthewMonte3)Photo by Matthew Monte (@MatthewMonte3)Photo by Matthew Monte (@MatthewMonte3)Photo by Matthew Monte (@MatthewMonte3)Photo by Matthew Monte (@MatthewMonte3)
Just attempted to support @redbaronpizza at two local grocery stores in Albuquerque. Both had empty shelves where they were normally stocked. America!
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The pattern is unmistakable. Every time the government tries to spend to make something more affordable, it just raises the cost. Look at this chart every time a socialist promises they will spend their way out of our affordability crisis.
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30-yr mortgage rates are up ~1 point in a year (7.24%). The 10 other times since 1978: housing starts fell over the next year 7 times (median -5.7%), autos were flat, and a recession followed within 2 yrs 4 times. Base case: a grind, not a crash. Not investment advice.
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In all 3 housing-led recessions of the last 50 years (1980, 1990, 2007), auto sales fell more than 8% from a year earlier 7-17 months before the recession began. Today autos are down 1.3% on that measure. The warning sign hasn't fired.
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How $MO grows with fewer smokers: Q3 cigarette shipments -2.9%, Marlboro -6.4%, yet smokeable revenue +3.7% and operating income +3.9%. Pricing still does the work. Soft spot: Copenhagen -10%, Skoal -13%. on! pouches +13% but losing category share. I own a small MO position.
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Matthew Monte retweeted
For Oklo, achieving first criticality at our Groves Isotope Test Reactor was a milestone in reactor building experience. As CEO Jake Dewitte explains, it was an opportunity to “learn from it and make the next one better.” In a conversation with @tboypod's @NickOfNewYork & @jackkramer, Jake discussed why successfully turning Oklo’s first reactor on is such an important step in Oklo’s journey toward deploying future reactors at speed and scale. Watch the full conversation: youtu.be/CsjoJEZkuGI?si=7At5…
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Matthew Monte retweeted
Where people see nuclear waste, Oklo sees a resource. Oklo is developing fuel recycling technology to get more value from existing fuel sources, recover usable material to support future clean energy generation and reduce nuclear waste. That means greater fuel availability, stronger resource efficiency, and lower energy costs over time.
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