Dan Taylor (@ProfAnalytics) header
Dan Taylor (@ProfAnalytics) profile picture

Professor @Wharton; Forensic Analytics; expertise in financial data analysis, SEC filings, accounting fraud, and insider trading.

Joined January 2020
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This is why I study insider trading.
“I’m guided by what I’m really outraged about and what I think I can actually try to influence. It may be that I can only influence things one case at a time, but ultimately, the plan is always to try and improve the system.” May we all pick outrageous causes for change..
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Please explain to me why markets are pricing Susan Collins (R-ME) at 33%? 2020 final polling avg = D+5. She smoked ‘em, result was R+8 (13 pt error). 2026 polling avg = D+2, but Mr. Market puts her at 33%. I have looked at this every which way, but cant wrap my head around it.
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Replying to @Wharton
@Wharton is now the ONLY top MBA program to have a class on fraud hunting in its curriculum. In Spring, Forensic Analytics is now open to @Wharton MBAs. Guest speakers include individuals who hunt fraud for a living: DOJ/SEC, Short Activists, and Forensic Investigators.
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h/t to the og @RealJimChanos for reminding me about his class at Yale SOM. And of course @blueorcainvest at UT Austin. Any others I missed? DMs open.
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This is a big deal. You will now be able to trade prediction contracts on corporate KPI (earnings, sales etc) both on @Kalshi (CFTC) and @Cboe (SEC). Similar instruments, but different rules and regulators. I don’t see this as sustainable long-term.
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Maybe the whistleblowers will finally get some money.
SEC announces you can recover from the $48.8 million collected from Nikola. Unfortunately, you'll never recover the over $600 million that Trevor the Fraud skipped out on by buying a pardon. sec.gov/files/litigation/adm…
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When President Donald Trump backed away from threats to strike Iranian power plants on March 23, it sparked a frenzy of buying and selling across oil, equities and other markets. Here's how the investigation went inside the CFTC. bloomberg.com/news/features/…
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This is absolutely unparalleled. tldr; Political appointee at CFTC intervenes in the enforcement investigation of oil futures trading before Trump tweets.
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Dan Taylor retweeted
Kalshi has better stock trading rules than Congress.
SCOOP: Kalshi has launched an investigation into a series of suspicious trades on their platform on President Trump's selection of Katie Zacharia to be his next White House press secretary. Zacharia was at about a 1% odds favorite to becoming press secretary prior to today's developments but at least three traders placed "yes" bets on her getting the job prior to any news of Trump selecting her. Story w/ @PhilipWegmann and @KThomasDC wsj.com/finance/regulation/k…
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Love campus in early Fall
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Halted on -20% drop. If the stock was tokenized, do the tokens halt trading too? How? Across all crypto exchanges? [Hint: they dont] Brave new world. Buh-bye securities laws.
$SDEV's headline is "stablecoin company." It's a fake biotech (NovaBay) whose assets are nearly all one token, SKY. It "raised" $134M in January, but only $25M was cash. A CEO-linked fund supplied 74% of the tokens, and the CEO signed the deal for both sides, a blatant conflict of interest. Two funds now hold the majority of the stock, and a pending S-3 would let its investors resell 212.9M shares, 4x what's outstanding. Its position is $180M... selling it would take nearly 10 days of every buyer and seller combined, and its own filing warns reported volume may be inflated by wash trading. Fugazi Research considers $SDEV uninvestable at any price above ZERO. Click for our full report ⬇️ fugaziresearch.com/p/sdev-a-…
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Companies need to realize that if ppl can get exposure via synthetics, then there is one less reason to buy equity, making it more difficult for public companies to raise money
Anthropic has listed for IPO. But you don’t need to wait to trade. Get exposure to Anthropic any day, any time on Coinbase. The magic of pre-IPO perps.
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What many don’t realize is that $HOOD NEVER offered 4x DTBP before (!!) Now they will. Congrats they caught up to Schwab, IBKR, and virtually everyone else where 4x DTBP has been standard.
Your buying power just got a boost. 🔥 Trade with up to 4x buying power on margin, rolling out soon on Robinhood.
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Dan Taylor retweeted
New: In late 2024, FBI investigators had enough evidence to launch a sweeping bribery probe that could ensnare top lawmakers, including Sen. Susan Collins. Then Trump was reelected and eviscerated the FBI and DOJ teams handling public corruption probes. propub.li/4yLLwaF
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“United Airlines and American Airlines near deal to review each others pricing models”
OPENAI AND ANTHROPIC NEARED DEAL TO STRESS-TEST EACH OTHER’S AI - THE INFORMATION
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