Roster Math

Roster Math: the best defenses in our projection 1. Florida +13.2 (1st overall) 2. Arizona +12.5 (3rd overall) 3. Duke +12.4 (2nd overall) 4. Houston +12.4 (8th overall) 5. Kansas +10.9 (10th overall) 6. Michigan State +10.8 (6th overall) 7. Michigan +10.5 (11th overall) (1/5)

Roster Math: the best offenses in our projection 1. Florida +17.7 (1st overall) 2. Illinois +14.7 (5th overall) 3. Duke +14.2 (2nd overall) 4. UConn +13.2 (4th overall) 5. Auburn +13.2 (16th overall) 6. Alabama +13.0 (17th overall) 7. Texas Tech +12.7 (15th overall) (1/5)

Roster Math: projected records for our top 25 1. Florida 25.6-4.4 (22 to 29 wins) 2. Duke 25.1-6.9 (21 to 29 wins) 3. Arizona 22.3-7.7 (18 to 26 wins) 4. UConn 23.7-8.3 (19 to 28 wins) 5. Illinois 23.1-8.9 (18 to 28 wins) 6. Michigan State 23.3-8.7 (18 to 28 wins) (1/7)

NC State is 36th in Roster Math at +13.8. The roster projects to +19.9 on the floor (returning +8.8, transfers +11.2, freshmen -0.1); Preston Edmead contributes the most at +5.2. (1/4)

Roster Math: boom or bust, the widest ranges in our top 40 1. Arkansas (25th) +17.5 · +9.9 to +25.1 2. Arizona (3rd) +24.1 · +16.5 to +31.6 3. Gonzaga (14th) +20.1 · +12.6 to +27.6 4. Michigan (11th) +20.7 · +13.2 to +28.2 5. Florida (1st) +30.9 · +23.4 to +38.4 (1/10)

Florida is 1st in Roster Math at +30.9. The roster projects to +35.3 on the floor (returning +31.9, transfers +3.5, freshmen +0.0); Thomas Haugh contributes the most at +7.4. (1/4)

Roster Math: sleepers, the best chance of Top 25 from outside our top 25 1. Vanderbilt (26th) +16.0 · 35% chance of Top 25 2. Ohio State (27th) +15.9 · 34% chance of Top 25 3. UCLA (28th) +15.6 · 32% chance of Top 25 4. Utah State (29th) +15.5 · 31% chance of Top 25 (1/8)

Purdue vs Gonzaga (#38 vs #14) · neutral court Roster Math: Gonzaga by 4.3, 64% to win, 73-77 on 67 possessions. Purdue's #31 offense meets Gonzaga's #13 defense; Gonzaga wants the pace, the other side does not. Net: Purdue +13.6, Gonzaga +20.1

Baylor is 37th in Roster Math at +13.7. The roster projects to +17.7 on the floor (returning +4.4, transfers +11.7, freshmen +1.5); Isaac Celiscar contributes the most at +4.8. (1/4)

BYU vs Ohio State (#23 vs #27) · neutral court Roster Math: BYU by 1.6, 55% to win, 80-79 on 70 possessions. Ohio State's #23 offense meets BYU's #27 defense. Net: BYU +18.1, Ohio State +15.9