Steve Miller (@askslim) header
Steve Miller (@askslim) profile picture

#Financial Show Host Trader/Analyst #Poker player, #ClassicalLiberal #CycleAnalysis #Charting #Stocks #Futures #Markets #Trading #Investing 🇺🇸🇮🇱✡️

Florida, USA
Joined February 2009
Photo by Steve Miller (@askslim)Photo by Steve Miller (@askslim)Photo by Steve Miller (@askslim)Photo by Steve Miller (@askslim)Photo by Steve Miller (@askslim)Photo by Steve Miller (@askslim)Photo by Steve Miller (@askslim)Photo by Steve Miller (@askslim)
Steve Miller retweeted
You took the trade on someone else’s idea. Now it’s going against you, and you’re waiting for them to say something, or building the case that it isn’t your fault. The trade stopped being yours. A trader who gives away ownership of the result gives away the ability to change it. A trader who owns it can fix it. My book shows why traders give away ownership, and how to change that. “A Trader’s Ride” ~The life you build ~The trader you become Slim’s new book coming soon Get notified (free signup): askslim.com/free-account/
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Steve Miller retweeted
Investors are getting a taste of what the dangers are of believing you can just hold everything forever. Valuations matter, even if it takes a while to prove it. And those to think they could just hold through market volatility, learn painful lessons. There’s a bear market out there. And when it comes, the pain will be worse than now in AI, because it will be broad. Yes, every time in history, the peak level the bear market began was eventually surpassed on the upside by the next bull market. Sometimes it takes many years. And many investors don’t ever get to take the ride because they did not prudently lighten up at a point of excess. And many investors get forced out of the market because their confidence level in the “long-term” was a trap they didn’t understand. And many of them never have the stomach to return. ~Slim
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Steve Miller retweeted
Investors can see the picture, and its not pretty. $GOOGL, there is a rush to the exits, as the days of "Googling it" driving big growth are over. Cycle analysts, what do you see? Watch the free video to learn more: askslim.com/cycle-analysis-w…
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Steve Miller retweeted
$CAT used to be a Ag equipment stock Then it became a mining equipment stock Then it became an AI stock, benefitting from the huge build out, so it soared with AI. Now that the big spending is in question, investors are bailing - One of the worst -42%. Its's not over on the downside. And that peak at 1073 may not be seen again for years. Learn more at askSlim.com
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Steve Miller retweeted
Gold charts have been sending negative warnings, which we shared with askSlim members. You have seen them in our free videos. Look at this chart. Read what you see and tell the story for through the end of the year or beyond. #Gold $GLD $GC_F
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Steve Miller retweeted
Well except that bitcoin has no intrinsic value. It has little purpose or utility other than gambling.
Bitcoin should be at $300K a coin now. Gold is a $25 trillion global asset. If Bitcoin just captures 30% of that, you’re looking at $7-8 trillion in market cap. That’s $600K, $700K per coin. All things being equal, given the AI boom and the rotation of capital in and out of gold, Bitcoin should be at $300K right now.
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Steve Miller retweeted
Every trader who held a loser too long can name the moment they knew. The level broke. The bounce failed. The chart said it. They saw it & stayed anyway. Ask them why, most can’t answer. They’ll say hope or stubbornness. The real answer was already inside them before the trade was placed. Read about it in... “A Trader’s Ride” ~The life you build ~The trader you become Slim’s new book coming soon Get notified (free signup): askslim.com/free-account/
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Stealth bear market.
There it is. Over 60% of the S&P 500's components are now in bear market territory, down -20% or more from their record highs. Four of the Magnificent 7 stocks are now in bear market territory, with these seven names erasing a combined -$4 trillion in market cap since their highs. We are in a "stealth" bear market. And, we believe it's a huge opportunity as we outlined below on October 15th.
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Steve Miller retweeted
Guess what!!! Small cap stocks are not safe haven from plunging tech / A1 and dropping crypto. It will bleed into the Russell2000.
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Steve Miller retweeted
Can the stock market withstand the collapse of AI. These stock got way ahead of themselves and now many are getting crushed. Yet the S&P500 is just a few percent from the high. I’ve warned of a bad November. Your call?
27%November new high
41%November crusher
32%Total mystery
112 votes • Final results
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Steve Miller retweeted
$CAT beats Q3 earnings with $7.20 EPS, but the stock plummets ~10%. Why? It’s an AI story, not a mining one. The AI Hook: Caterpillar is now an AI infrastructure play. Its Power Systems segment supplies massive backup generators to tech data centers. Combined with construction, this now drives 80%+ of revenue. Mining Reality: Despite falling metal prices, CAT’s Mining unit actually grew sales 15% to $4.6B. The core business is stable. 📉 The Drop: It's a valuation correction. Investors priced CAT like a high-flying tech stock. When forward data center guidance came in "flat/moderate" instead of an exponential blowout, the AI tech premium evaporated. #Caterpillar #StockMarket #Earnings #AI #DataCenters #Investing #Stocks
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Steve Miller retweeted
The math says the Fed is not fighting inflation hard enough. The open question is whether it has the stomach to go where the math points, or whether it stops early again. Read this 👇 The Fed funds rate has averaged about five and a half percent since 1954. Even excluding the Volcker peak, the average is near five. If the current rate sits in the four to four and a half range, it is below the historical norm, not above it. The real rate is the number that matters. Subtract inflation and you are looking at roughly zero to one percent positive. That is not restrictive. That is neutral at best. Volcker did not break inflation with a nominal rate near five. He took it to twenty percent while inflation ran ten to fourteen. Real rates of six to ten percent positive. That is what forced deleveraging. A restrictive stance today points to a funds rate in the six to seven percent range. Some argue higher, given how much debt the system carries. The same rate bites harder on leveraged borrowers than it did in past cycles. The catch: the Fed has never sustained that level without breaking something. Every time real rates went that positive, you got a recession or a financial crisis. 1980. 1981. 2001. 2008. The pattern is the Fed gets there, panics, and cuts before inflation is fully dead. #Fed #Inflation #Rates #Markets ~ Slim
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Steve Miller retweeted
All corporate bailouts should be banned!
JUST IN: House Democrats introduce resolution to ban taxpayer-funded bailouts for AI companies if the industry faces a financial collapse.
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Steve Miller retweeted
What happens to a stock market when that socialist government spends more than it can afford on programs and that brings a public revolt? Just ask #France - $EWQ What happens when hard left communists take over a country? Just ask #Brazil - $EWZ
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Steve Miller retweeted
The worst years of trading of my life taught me more than the best ones. I'd rather you learn it sooner and cheaper. "A Trader's Ride"
~The life you build
~The trader you become Slim's new book coming soon Get notified: Free signup askslim.com/free-account/
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Steve Miller retweeted
I went a long way down before I understood what was driving me. You may not have to. "A Trader's Ride"
~The life you build
~The trader you become Slim's new book
Coming soon
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Steve Miller retweeted
OK, students of "Cycle Analysis." $MU, what's the plan?
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Steve Miller retweeted
Thirty days of disciplined trading, gone in one position. Nobody sits down and plans that. So why does it keep happening? Learn about that in… "A Trader's Ride"
~The life you build
~The trader you become Slim's new book
Coming soon
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Steve Miller retweeted
#Bitcoin - Here is the analysis we showed last Friday on the Market Week Show. /BTC_F following the ideal patterns well. Learn Cycle Analysis! Slim brings an amazing offer for the askSlim.com Cycle Analysis Workshop Thursday
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