Austin Park (@austinjpark) header
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Cofounder & Head of Research @VoteHub. Math & Polisci @Stanford. Director & Broadcaster @KZSUSportsRadio. Contact: [email protected]. he/him

California, USA
Joined January 2024
Photo by Austin Park (@austinjpark)Photo by Austin Park (@austinjpark)Photo by Austin Park (@austinjpark)Photo by Austin Park (@austinjpark)Photo by Austin Park (@austinjpark)Photo by Austin Park (@austinjpark)Photo by Austin Park (@austinjpark)Photo by Austin Park (@austinjpark)Photo by Austin Park (@austinjpark)Photo by Austin Park (@austinjpark)
Unfortunately, "I'm working late, 'cause I work for an elections data company and it's a Tuesday" is not nearly as catchy as being a singer
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VoteHub Legacy Forecast | U.S. Senate Ratings 🔴 Likely R: FL, MT, MS 🔴 Lean R: KS, NE, SC 🔴 Tilt R: IA 🔵 Tilt D: OH, ME 🔵 Lean D: MI, TX, AK 🔵 Likely D: NH, MN
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5 more days.
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10/29 Forecast Update Democrats' Senate odds reached an all-time high today, but the chamber remains Tilt D. A GOP win is about as likely as drawing a 10 or higher from a deck of cards. 🔵 U.S. Senate: 62.6% (+3.8% since October 1) 🔵 U.S. House: 88.8% (+3.1% since October 1)
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Texas Early Vote Tracking: Day 10 As of Oct. 29, 2026 Total votes: 5,987,623 (+519,479) 61.3% of projected final turnout. Modeled 2026 Vote: 🔵 James Talarico: 45.0% - 54.6% 🔴 Ken Paxton: 43.2% - 52.8% VoteHub currently rates the race as Lean D.
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NEW — Rep. Don Davis’ (D-NC) reelection race against Republican Laurie Buckhout has drawn $52.9 million in ad spending and reservations, making it the most expensive U.S. House general election on record, according to AdImpact.
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Widespread precipitation is forecast for Election Day, with the heaviest activity centered over the Ozarks and rain extending across portions of the Great Plains, Midwest, and Texas.
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NEW — At a rally with Vice President JD Vance in Weatherford, TX, state Comptroller Don Huffines (R) says of early voting turnout: “It’s not going well. It’s ugly right now.”
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NEWS — Alaska Gov. Mike Dunleavy (R) ordered a state investigation into whether Mary Peltola’s campaign helped recruit a second Dan Sullivan to confuse voters in the Senate race.
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NEWS — A federal judge has allowed Mary Peltola’s campaign and the DSCC to intervene in the Justice Department’s Alaska Senate lawsuit, which seeks to block certification if Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan loses, per the Washington Sun.
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Per Fox News, federal prosecutors are reportedly conducting a criminal investigation into how a second candidate named Dan Sullivan qualified for Alaska's Senate ballot, following allegations that Democrats recruited spoiler candidates to draw votes from the GOP incumbent.
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We join Verasight to discuss the latest VoteHub/Verasight polling in Texas and Ohio ahead of the 2026 midterms. nitter.cf/i/broadcasts/2KoBvqkLm…
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Voters hate data centers, and campaigns are catching on. But the buildout is concentrated in a handful of states, leaving a small number of races directly exposed to the fallout, writes Jonathan Schwartz. votehub.com/2026/10/27/the-d…
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NEW — The New York Times reports that aides to Mary Peltola’s campaign and senior DSCC officials helped recruit Daniel J. Sullivan to enter Alaska’s Senate race. Peltola’s campaign and the DSCC deny the claim.
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NEW — Former Florida gubernatorial candidate James Fishback says he is running for president in 2028, per The Hill. Fishback finished third in the state’s 2026 Republican gubernatorial primary with 10.5% of the vote.
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
James Fishback (born January 1, 1995) will be 34 on 2029 inauguration day and is ineligible to serve as president. The claim cites The Hill but he announced it himself on X. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_Fis… history.com/articles/what-… x.com/jamesfishback/…
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NEW: House Majority PAC is adding roughly $300K in final-week ads in NY-21, a Trump +21 district. VP JD Vance is also set to visit the district.
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Georgia Early Vote Tracking 🍑 As of Oct. 28, 2026 Total early votes: 2,082,841 (+169,030) 52.9% of projected final turnout. Modeled 2026 Vote: 🔵 Jon Ossoff: 53.4% - 61.6% 🔴 Mike Collins: 38.4% - 46.6% Remaining votes in Georgia will be more Republican. We rate this race as Solid D.
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S/O to @rsjnevada alum and @StanfordSball SID @kevin_bbass for joining my sports media and society class this morning to talk about storytelling, earning trust and building relationships in sports. 🔗 calvertphoto.substack.com/p/…
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NEW — At a Texas rally tonight, President Trump claimed that recent praise of Sen. Jon Husted’s “anatomy” improved the latter’s poll numbers by 12 points. VoteHub’s polling average shows a mere 0.8-point improvement for Husted since October 12.
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We’re going live with @VoteHub tomorrow at 3:30 PM ET. Join Verasight CEO Ben Leff and VoteHub Head of Data Science @ZacharyDonnini to discuss results from the VoteHub/Verasight polls of Ohio and Texas, including the close U.S. Senate and governor’s races and the statewide generic ballot. Join the stream: nitter.cf/i/broadcasts/2KoBvqkLm…
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Join us tomorrow for a conversation with Verasight about our latest VoteHub/Verasight polls in Ohio and Texas and what they reveal about the U.S. Senate and Governor races in both states!
We’re going live with @VoteHub tomorrow at 3:30 PM ET. Join Verasight CEO Ben Leff and VoteHub Head of Data Science @ZacharyDonnini to discuss results from the VoteHub/Verasight polls of Ohio and Texas, including the close U.S. Senate and governor’s races and the statewide generic ballot. Join the stream: nitter.cf/i/broadcasts/2KoBvqkLm…
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