billswiley (@billswiley) profile picture
Joined May 2012
Photo by billswiley (@billswiley)Photo by billswiley (@billswiley)Photo by billswiley (@billswiley)
I hate to be this cynical, but I’ll be honest…running for Mayor exposes you to things that make you believe the city is actually being overtaken by demonic energy. Drive south Fig at night. Go to 6th and San Pedro. You see children openly prostituting, drug zombies setting dogs and cats on fire, babies born to crackheads and tossed in a dumpster, dead people just lying in the streets…that’s not even to mention the dozen neighbors of ours who burned alive in what is now a crumbled hellscape. Many times I wondered if the city’s problems weren’t beyond the reach of any politician’s capacity to actually fix. There is a cultural and spiritual rot that can’t be fixed at the ballot box. Until we fix the culture, we are kinda just rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic and the shit we shovel around every 4 years doesn’t really mean a thing.
I am not kidding about the demons in LA btw. My best friend works at McDonald’s and some dude tried getting her to be his sugar baby while she was handing him his order in the drive thru. My other friend was on a film set and one of the actors tried getting him to be in her p0rno outta nowhere while he was helping her down a hill. And I was acting in a film where I learned one of the stuntmen was invited to this house and they were trying to get him into a cult while doing a bunch of demonic rituals. Bunch of unclothed men in bed. No clothes at all. He immediately left. Not to mention I’ve been followed and attacked by drug addicts. I know people who were almost killed. DONT COME TO LA. DONT DO IT.
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New #paper. Tons of important conversations among knowledge workers never make it into the scientific record - all we get are sanitized final "papers", cut down to match a journal's max allowed length. Recordings (like youtube.com/playlist?list=PL…) help, but we can do better. Here's our attempt: @karina__kofman organized, many contributors in the discussion. rosa.uniroma1.it/rosa04/orga… The journal Organisms (rosa.uniroma1.it/rosa04/orga…) was brave enough to agree to this idea: they published a transcript, very minimally edited (i.e., mostly unaltered) of a conversation among some great people. It's the discussion thread accompanying our recent paper (link.springer.com/article/10…) on definitions of life. Check it out - all of this would normally have disappeared, buried in people's email databases and not available to the community. How many other amazing conversations could be mined by students, future AI's, etc.?
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billswiley retweeted
New on SteveSailer dot Net -- Gregory Clark’s new book: “To Have and Have Not” The economic historian has posted online the final volume of his groundbreaking trilogy on heredity and environment because he can’t find an unwoke academic publisher. stevesailer.net/p/gregory-cl…
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Steve Hilton: “California has become a state where if you do the right thing, you're punished, and if you do the wrong thing, you're rewarded. That is upside down, but that's the story beneath everything, and that's what we need to turn around. That's what this election is actually about.” “There's this Latino couple who wanted me to come and see their business in South Central LA. It's not Skid Row, but it's pretty rough, and it's the usual squalor that I'm afraid we're used to in this city because they don't know how to run the place. But in the middle of all that squalor, this beautiful little store. It's a shoe store, and they've been running it fourteen years. Latino couple. We went in, we were talking, they gave me all the usual things that I'm very familiar with; the taxes, the ridiculous bureaucracy, the permits that get more complicated and costly every year, the electric bill, et cetera. They said, ‘But that's not why we wanted you to come here. Come with me.’ They took me outside. We went for a walk, two city blocks. Could have gone even further. Every single part of the sidewalk: street vendors. You think, ‘Illegal street vendors. What are they selling?’ Shoes and apparel and T-shirts. Just the entire sidewalk. This 14-year business, a lovely little local business, everything spotless, everything clean, exactly what we would want to see, is going out of business because you've got people there that are not paying taxes, not paying electric, not paying rent, not complying with any licensing. And then I said to the guy, ‘When did all this happen? Has this been here all the time you've been here?’ ‘No, it's the last six or seven years.’ I said, ‘Is it something to do with the pandemic?’ ‘No.’ I looked into it. Eight years ago, in 2018, they passed a bill in Sacramento to legalize street vending in California across the state. Cities can't do anything about it. Counties can't do anything about it. What does it tell you when you take that into account?” @SteveHiltonx ------------------------------ Thanks to our partners for making this possible! Google for Startups connects founders with the right people, products, and best practices to help startups build faster and go further. startup.google.com/ Explore ideas, industries, and technologies worth understanding with Chamath every week on Learn with Me: research.socialcapital.com/a…
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A bunch of Nobel Prize-winning economists have endorsed California's proposed billionaire wealth tax. I can't oppose them on authority. But I know some academics who can.
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billswiley retweeted
I love Werner Herzog so much
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billswiley retweeted
After learning last week that @sfbos had unanimously voted to appoint a felon-kidnapper-rapist as an @sfgov commissioner, I indexed every Supervisor vote and meeting for easier searching: sfbos.info
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Last week I posted a new paper with Patrick Norrick: “Terra Incognita: The Economics of a Shrinking World.” We chose the title deliberately. No society in history has experienced the fertility levels now seen in South Korea, China, Thailand, Colombia, Chile, and many other countries. Our knowledge of the causes (and of the economic consequences) remains far more limited than most public discussion acknowledges. Much of what we write is, at best, educated conjecture. The paper also struggles against a space limit. We wrote 20,000 words, far from the 250,000 or so we would need to address some issues in more detail (if I had the time and resources to hide away for a year, I could do that, but not now). That means some ideas are only sketched. Nonetheless, we emphasize several important points. First, fertility has fallen very fast everywhere: rich and poor countries, east and west, north and south, conservative and liberal societies, religious and non-religious societies (with the exception of the Jewish population of Israel; fertility has also collapsed among the Muslim population within the pre-1967 borders), you name it. Even in sub-Saharan Africa we see fast and unprecedented drops in fertility (alas, from a high initial level). Second, and this is really interesting, the fertility collapse has been concentrated in poor and lower-middle-income countries much more than in rich countries. By now, income per capita and fertility are positively correlated within OECD countries. We conjecture this will hold globally in a few decades. Third, and related to the second point, the fertility collapse has been concentrated among poor and lower-middle-income women within countries. In countries such as the U.S., the rich and highly educated now have more children than the poor and less educated. Fourth, we document why we do not understand the data from the U.N. World Population Prospects. See, for example, Tables A.1 and A.2. Fifth, we explain why some proposed mechanisms struggle when confronted with the data. A more subtle point is at work here. Many commentators do not seem to understand the difference between proximate causes and ultimate causes. Yes, births might have gone down because fewer women are in long-run relationships. That is the proximate cause. But you need to explain why fewer women are in long-run relationships (the ultimate cause), and saying that they spend more years in school, to take one example, does not get us very far. Why do they spend more years in school? Once you start down the whole chain of reasoning, things become much harder than they seem. The paper can be found here: sas.upenn.edu/~jesusfv/Demog… Comments always welcome!
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The tech industry is always making content where the hero is tech, but humans only care about stories where the hero is human Even the best scifi stories are centered around humans. Dune isn't about stillsuits, Star Wars isn't about droids Right now, the hero people care about about isn't the chatbot that answers medical queries, but the desperate father takes research into his own hands to figure out his kid's illness. Many other examples Trying to make tech the hero is forced, astro-turfed, self-congratulatory. The only heroes are human
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Star Axis is complete. Fifty years in the making, land artist Charles Ross has finished his monumental observatory on a mesa in New Mexico. A staircase, aligned with Earth's axis, climbs to a open lens that tracks Polaris and the 26,000-year cycle of Earth's gravitational wobble. Read the beautiful feature in the NYT: na2.hubs.ly/H06Q16C0
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Great summary from @garryslist about corruption in District 10 — SFPUC “Friends with Community Benefits” scheme, YCD, Dwayne Jones, mentor to Shamann Walton, indicted on 59 counts of fraud, to Walton’s mentee and endorsed successor DJ Brookter. garryslist.org/posts/the-non…
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Georgetown University recently crossed a sticker price of $100,000 per year--but nobody pays the sticker price, right? Not quite. Less than half of Georgetown's students receive any financial aid. Across higher ed, lots of students pay the sticker price. My latest
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"Nobody pays the sticker price of college tuition" Tell that to the 64% of Georgetown undergrads who get zero financial aid at a school that now costs over $100,000 a year. Analysis by @PrestonCooper93 found that at some of America's most expensive colleges (Tufts, NYU, UChicago), more than half of students pay full freight. In the priciest tier of schools, 42% of students got no aid at all. This is what happens when government money floods into higher education. When Washington guarantees loans for virtually any amount a school charges, colleges have no reason to compete on price. So prices climb and now 16 schools charge six figures a year, WOAH! If we want affordable college, the answer must include price transparency, accountability for schools, and restoring actual price competition. #HigherEd #StudentLoans #TuitionCrisis #EducationPolicy
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billswiley retweeted
There use to be a time Market street was lined up with chess boards for people to participate in chest tournaments. Now, if you do this, you’ll get $120 ticket. But it’s OK for five people in a group to sit around with each other and pass Fentanyl Pipes and Foil to each other and nothing will happen. BRING CHESS BOARDS BACK!
Replying to @war24182236
That's where the chess boards used to be.
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Residents of the small San Joaquin Valley city of Avenal, California are furious They voted in April to recall the majority of their city council, but the city council members are refusing to leave office Over 75% of voters approved recalling all four officials. Kings County certified the results in May Voters targeted Mayor Alvaro Preciado and Councilmembers Leticia Gamez, David Reynosa, and Pablo Hernandez. 4 of the 5 council seats The city leaders who are refusing to leave are saying the recall was conducted unlawfully by Kings County Elections instead of the city itself and lacked proper city authorization So they wanted to be able to give authorization for a vote to remove them…. Sure…… I looked into this and verified they should all be removed. Under California law, the recalled Avenal officials should be removed from office California’s recall process is governed by the California Constitution (Article II, Sections 13-19) and the California Elections Code (Division 11, §§ 11000 et seq.). Once a recall election is properly held and a majority votes “Yes” to recall an official, that official is removed from office upon certification of the results (Elections Code §11384) The election was conducted by Kings County, the county elections official, which is standard procedure for local recalls when the city does not handle it itself. The county certified the results after verifying the process
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billswiley retweeted
At UC Berkeley Law, 37.5% of students claim a disability. Students don’t have to disclose this to employers, and accommodations come with no downside. Those who don’t opt in are competing at a disadvantage on the exams that determine their futures.
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billswiley retweeted
That water clarity is an engineering decision, and the math behind it is wilder than the video. Roman aqueducts ran on gravity alone. No pumps, no pressure systems. Engineers carved channels with a gradient so shallow it borders on absurd. The Pont du Gard in southern France drops 2.5 centimeters over 275 meters. That's roughly the thickness of a coin over the length of three football fields. They surveyed that accuracy with plumb lines and wooden leveling instruments. The clarity you're seeing is a direct product of flow velocity. Too steep and the water erodes the channel walls, picks up sediment, turns brown. Too flat and it stagnates. Roman engineers targeted a slope of about 20 centimeters per kilometer, which kept the water moving fast enough to stay fresh but slow enough to stay clear. Before the water reached the city, it passed through multi-chamber settling tanks where velocity dropped near zero. Suspended particles sank. Clean water flowed out the top into the next chamber. Repeat three or four times. Pliny specified the minimum slope in writing. Vitruvius published the exact mortar ratio for hydraulic cement: one part lime to two parts volcanic ash for underwater work. The pozzolana from Pozzuoli reacted with water to form a calcium-aluminum-silicate compound that actually gets stronger the longer it sits submerged. Modern concrete degrades in water. Roman concrete bonds with it. Scale the whole system and it gets harder to process. Eleven aqueducts fed Rome at its peak. Combined output: roughly 1 million cubic meters of water per day. That works out to about 250 gallons per person for a city of one million. Modern New York delivers about 125 gallons per person per day. Ancient Rome had access to double the per capita water supply of the largest city in the United States, running entirely on slope and stone. The Trevi Fountain in Rome is still fed by one of them. Two thousand years, same source, same gravity, same water.
🚨| La claridad de un acueducto del imperio Romano, de hace 2000 años
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This is a textbook example of everything that is wrong with globalist wildlife activists and I will use it in my classes going forward, thanks Ben! Ben is a British aristocrat, son of the daughter of the 8th Marquess of Londonderry whose father is a knighted financier and businessman from a prominent banking family, the Goldschmidts. Look at the confidence and swagger he has in weighing in on Montana wildlife policy! Look at the outright contempt and scorn he has for everyday Montanans, ranching families, and our democratically elected leaders! Look at how he threatens and taunts us, saying that no matter what local Montana stakeholders want, it will always be people like him, NGOs bankrolled by global capital and foreign aristocrats, that will get to tell us what to do with our land! This embodies our core of the issue with American Prairie. Contrary to what Ben and other lib panic accounts on here would have you think, Montana locals are not opposed to bison conservation. Montanans have been on the vanguard for some of the greatest bison conservation success stories in human history. Modern bison restoration in Montana has centered heavily on science-based management of the Yellowstone National Park herd, which is the largest continuously wild bison population in the United States. Montana agencies and researchers spent decades on the cutting edge of bison research, monitoring genetics, disease prevalence (brucellosis), population dynamics, and habitat conditions to rebuild and maintain a healthy herd while reducing risks to surrounding livestock. Montana spearheaded many of the most important collaborative research and management institutions for buffalo conservation, research, and restoration to public, tribal, and private land. But Ben wouldn't know or care about this because he's a British aristocrat! LOL! Ben's post references an NGO called American Prairie, which has a bison herd on public land managed by the Bureau of Land Management in northeastern Montana (different from the well-known Yellowstone bison herd many people are familiar with from family trips to Yellowstone National Park). Under the BLM grazing system, permits are not typically auctioned at open-market rates. Instead, grazing privileges are tied to a “preference” system connected to ownership of nearby private land, often referred to as a “base property.” American Prairie entered this system by purchasing deeded ranches adjacent to BLM allotments, thereby acquiring the associated grazing preferences. After obtaining these ranches, the organization requested that the BLM modify existing grazing permits to allow bison rather than cattle. Following an environmental review process, the BLM approved the inclusion of bison in 2022. As referenced in Ben's post, that approval was just revoked following pressure from Montana citizens, lawmakers, and ranching families. Why do Montanans oppose American Prairie? The major issue is that American Prairie’s ability to acquire large ranch holdings is possible through substantial financial backing from wealthy out-of-state and international donors, including Swiss- and German-born billionaires and high-net-worth individuals from places such as New York City and San Francisco (usually tech guys' foundations). A multigenerational Montana ranching family, or a young seventh-generation rancher hasn't the faintest hope in competing for ranch properties that carry BLM grazing preferences. Once those deeded ranches are purchased, the associated federal grazing privileges generally transfer with them, boxing young Montanans out of the livelihood that generations of their forebears have practiced. Montana’s ranching livelihoods and the culture of the cowboy is central to the state’s identity, economy, and history. It is what makes it unique and what brings millions of visitors to the state. If we are going to offshore and strip mine everything in this country to global capital, then be prepared to say goodbye to what makes the American West wild, open, and free.
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