#Doctor Board Certified Lifestyle Medicine | @imperialbiz | #digitalhealth #Tech | Founder @humanbehaviourc (750K+ members) and Ameli App
New York, USA
Joined June 2013
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Dr. Sohaib Imtiaz, MD MPH retweeted
I know a dude who worked for Anthropic, same age as me (30s).
He retired last year.
Paid for the college fund of his niece/nephew, bought his dream house in cash (in the Bay Area too, where home prices are absurd).
Smart dude but wasn't doing the cutting-edge work there, just normal stuff.
Goes to show that being in the right place-right time with a rising tide is often more important than anything (but extremely difficult to plan for).
Who actually gets rich if Anthropic lists at $2 trillion?
The S-1 filed on Monday lets us answer from the filing itself.
The reported target is $1.5T to $2T, listing the week of November 16. The filing implies about 16.9B fully diluted shares. So $2T works out to roughly $118 a share.
The cap table at $2T:
- $199B for the 7 controlling co-founders, about 10%
- $28B for Ben Mann, if his stake matches theirs
- $100B for the Anthropic Public Benefit Fund, 5%
- $331B in employee options and RSUs, about 17% , That pool covers about 5,300 employees, an average of $62M each.
- But when you joined matters enormously.
The S-1 shows how much equity was granted each year, and at what price. [
Headcount went from about 300 to 500 in late 2023, to 940 at end 2024, to 5,300 now.
Match the two, and here is roughly how many people made what at $2T:
- $110M to $400M each: ~300 to 500 people hired by 2023
- $200M to $300M each: ~440 to 640 hired in 2024
- $70M to $95M each: ~1,360 hired in 2025
- $10M to $20M each: ~3,000 hired in 2026
So about 940 people hired by the end of 2024 average nine figures. Everyone hired since averages eight figures.
The 2024 class is the surprise. That year Anthropic granted 1.28B options at $1.30 a share. At $118, that one year of grants is worth about $133B.
Then there is the tender. In April, holders could sell at $25.91 a share. Investors lined up $6B, but only $4.7B sold.
Weeks later, Series H priced at $58.90 a share. At $2T, the people who held would be up 4.6x. And Dario and Daniela Amodei were among the sellers.
The 7 founders have pledged 80% of their equity to charity. That is about $159B at $2T. But the S-1 says the pledges are not legally binding.
Dr. Sohaib Imtiaz, MD MPH retweeted
Today, @takezest is launching the world’s first 2-in-1 melatonin and caffeine capsule.
It is the first product of its kind that helps to reset your sleep schedule and support your circadian rhythm.
We are also announcing Zest RX: clinician-led care for sleep and wakefulness, built for the modern era of superintelligence.
Sleep medicine is stuck in the past: the most prescribed sleep drugs are decades old, often addictive, and sedate you instead of letting you truly rest.
We’re excited to finally bring sleep medicine into the 21st century.
Dr. Sohaib Imtiaz, MD MPH retweeted
One of the best pieces of advice I ever got:
Use money you earn to buy back your time.
Pay for convenience. Outsource what drains you. Remove friction from your day.
Dr. Sohaib Imtiaz, MD MPH retweeted
Ppl dunking on me for the umbrella.
> your face is money
> important for mate selection, career progress, social standing, how you’re perceived, self confidence
> youthful skin is good
> old skin is bad
> the sun ages your skin
> UVB peaks around noon
> UVA stays high all day
> both damage the skin
> I’ve frozen my skin age since starting this project
> a 9 year age reversal
> I love the sun
> wish I could be in it all day
> I baked in the sun for first 40 yrs of life
> but my goal is to not die
> so I’m now sun-aware
> I use a sunlight mimicking device for circadian rhythm, mood and energy
> and protect from sun damage
> I supplement Vit D for optimal levels
> tanned skin is a biomarker of damage
> ppl will say sun avoidance increases mortality
> that study was Swedish women and was observational and not causative
> if you enjoy spending time in the sun, I support you
> you can do so smartly and limit unnecessary damage
Dr. Sohaib Imtiaz, MD MPH retweeted
I've been praying the past few weeks. Unsure why.
There's good evidence behind prayer. It mimics breathwork, calming the nervous system, dropping cortisol, and quieting the brain. Daily prayers show lower depression, anxiety, and pain.
I'd like to develop a prayer practice. Growing up, the protocol was written for me. Explaining whom to pray to, the structure of the prayer, and the boundary conditions.
I don't really know how to pray now.
Dr. Sohaib Imtiaz, MD MPH retweeted
Lots of tech & AI companies are expanding to NYC
- OpenAI opened a SoHo HQ last year
- Anthropic is actively exploring a massive expansion (450,000 sqft)
- Palantir is actively exploring more space
- Perplexity is expanding in Union Square
- Harvey is doubling their office space
- Scale AI has a new HQ in one world trade
NYC is becoming the AI commercialization city Build in SF, sell in NYC.
Dr. Sohaib Imtiaz, MD MPH retweeted
You have no experience.
You’ve never started a company.
You’ve never had a full time job.
Nike is going to kill you.
You’re a kid.
You don’t have technical skills.
You shouldn’t build hardware.
Apple is going to kill you.
You can’t build hardware.
You can’t measure heart rate non-invasively.
Athletes don’t care about recovery.
Under Armour is going to kill you.
It won’t be accurate.
You don’t listen.
You’re an ineffective leader.
You can’t recruit great talent.
You’re going to have to pay every athlete.
You can’t measure sleep non-invasively.
It’s too expensive to research.
Athletes are a small market.
The product costs too much to make.
The product costs too much to sell.
Your valuation is too high.
Consumers aren’t going to want it.
Hardware is too hard.
You should measure steps.
Fitbit is going to kill you.
You can’t build a marketing engine.
You can’t raise enough money.
You need a real CEO.
Google is going to kill you.
You can’t be a subscription.
You can’t build a brand.
You can’t do consumer in Boston.
Your valuation is too high.
You shouldn’t make accessories.
You shouldn’t make apparel.
Lululemon is going to kill you.
You can’t predict Covid.
Stay in your niche.
You are going to run out of money.
You can’t build a health platform.
Amazon is going to kill you.
You can’t measure blood pressure.
You can’t get medical approvals.
The market is too small.
You don’t understand AI.
The market is too competitive.
It won’t work internationally.
The supply chain is too complicated.
You can’t build an AI.
You can’t raise enough money.
It’s too competitive.
Healthcare isn’t going to want it.
…
Just keep going ✌️
Dr. Sohaib Imtiaz, MD MPH retweeted
this is the future of medicine, a real-time dashboard for your health that interacts with your prior medical history
we really are gonna make it
Dr. Sohaib Imtiaz, MD MPH retweeted
How does Lovable Hack Social Algorithms to Have Viral Posts:
"We have a channel called bee swarming where employees post their content and everyone goes to amplify it.
We try to turn every engineer into a marketer and get the whole team posting about things they are excited about.
Then marketing puts its full firepower behind the biggest launches to tell the story." @ElenaVerna
Biggest lessons on how to make posts go viral @antonosika @lukeharries @eglyman @FoundersPodcast?
More companies need to do this
How does Lovable Hack Social Algorithms to Have Viral Posts:
"We have a channel called bee swarming where employees post their content and everyone goes to amplify it.
We try to turn every engineer into a marketer and get the whole team posting about things they are excited about.
Then marketing puts its full firepower behind the biggest launches to tell the story." @ElenaVerna
Biggest lessons on how to make posts go viral @antonosika @lukeharries @eglyman @FoundersPodcast?
Dr. Sohaib Imtiaz, MD MPH retweeted
If physicians learned to use Claude & started building products . .
. . .most of healthcare’s inefficiencies would disappear.
Dr. Sohaib Imtiaz, MD MPH retweeted
Lowest ROI purchases in NYC:
- Matcha
- Smoothies
- Bottle service
- Mediocre Italian food
- $120 Ubers to the airport
- Carriage rides at the park
- Anything in the west village
I need to be in LA by Tuesday morning. My flight from NYC got cancelled due to the blizzard. How can I get there? I've got all off Monday to figure it out
Dr. Sohaib Imtiaz, MD MPH retweeted
Jannik Sinner on the fitness tracker that he & Carlos Alcaraz were asked to remove at Australian Open
“There is certain data we would like to track a bit on court… it’s more about that you can see after the match. This is data we would like to use also in practice sessions. Heart rate, how much calories you burn.. all these kinds of things.”
(via Australian Open Press)
