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Happy Halloween folks ๐
Pretty big week, Iโm satisfied with foundry progress for Samsung, market not happy to wait 3 months for shareholder returns but Iโm ok with it. Great Hynix earnings, commentary and shareholder return signal. Quite bad guidance from Kioxia, they blamed quite a few things but Iโd imagine the real reason is bending the knee to $AAPL. $GOOG and $AMZN earnings seemed quite positive for AI capex beneficiaries. $TOYO had an overhang removed, still a major one left for December.
October 31, 2026 ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐
Max YTD: +83.19%
S&P500 YTD: +10.73%
My positions:
$005935 $000660 $285A $APP $META $TOYO $CRWV $402340 $IESC $INTR $SNAP
TRANSACTIONS:
๐ข New long positions: $INTR
๐ด Closed long positions: $FIS $LMT $TLN
Follow me: @inversemax
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
* Portfolio weightings are relative to my the total market value of holdings. Short positions and day trades are not reflected.
** Holdings include shares and derivatives.
*** The pie chart was AI-generated from spreadsheet data I provided and may contain minor inaccuracies.
**** Nothing in this post constitutes financial advice.
Inverse Max retweeted
$TOYO U.S. customs and border protection released their shipment after thorough review of their supply chain. The major circumventing accusation still remains an overhang but it seems like they make have a favorable outcome.
$TOYO looks asymmetric. High level thoughts:
๐ข Trades at < tangible book value and LSD P/E.
๐ข Potential government credit upside (management and third party representation believes they are eligible).
๐ด Potential circumventing in primary Ethopia facility but US operations ramping offsets the economic risk.
The company looks pretty nasty, but largely seems priced in. I imagine this trade is a โheads I win big, tails I lose nothingโ situation.
$TOYO U.S. customs and border protection released their shipment after thorough review of their supply chain. The major circumventing accusation still remains an overhang but it seems like they make have a favorable outcome.
Close that gap baby
LFG ๐ข๐๐งจ
Now just need buybacks
SK HYNIX $SKHY EARNINGS ARE OUT
3Q OPER PROFIT 83.33T WON, EST. 77.5T WON
3Q SALES 104.62T WON, EST. 98.96T WON
Had the wonderful opportunity to work with P on a memory article. Unique piece on the big three in memory and the alternative ways to play them: preferred shares, parents, holdcos. A free article and right before earnings. The trade does not bet on cycle duration. Nothing is risk free, but this is as close as it gets. Link in replies.
$MU $DRAM $EWY $SKHY
Thanks to @InverseMax for his great work and contribution. Here is his work examining a risk-free memory trade.
Link to full read in replies ๐
$MU $DRAM $EWY $SKHY
Busy week so wasnโt very activate. I liked Metaโs results but the reaction was understandable given the future dilution signal. $GOOG has basically been dead since they diluted.
October 24, 2026 ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐
Max YTD: +78.97%
S&P500 YTD: +11.37%
My positions:
$005935 $000660 $285A $APP $META $FIS $TOYO $LMT $TLN $CRWV $IESC $402340 $SNAP
Follow me: @inversemax
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
* Portfolio weightings are relative to my the total market value of holdings. Short positions and day trades are not reflected.
** Holdings include shares and derivatives.
*** The pie chart was AI-generated from spreadsheet data I provided and may contain minor inaccuracies.
**** Nothing in this post constitutes financial advice.
โHe who sells what isn't his'n, must buy it back or go to prison.โ
May prevent upgrade to developed market status if they block shorting, but the attitude toward the market speaks volumes ๐ข
LEE HYOUNG-IL, SOUTH KOREAโS DEPUTY PRIME MINISTER AND MINISTER OF FINANCE AND ECONOMY: WE ARE PREPARING TO DEPLOY MARKET STABILIZATION MEASURES IF STOCK MARKET VOLATILITY INCREASES.
WE WILL DECIDE WHETHER TO IMPLEMENT SPECIFIC MEASURES, SUCH AS ACTIVATING THE STOCK MARKET STABILIZATION FUND OR TEMPORARILY BANNING SHORT SELLING, BASED ON MARKET CONDITIONS.
Not a pretty week for me. I spent some time reflecting and I still wonder what the true lessons and takeaways are. Had I owned pretty much any other semi stocks, I would have fared a lot better. I understand that I have chosen to long companies that are cyclical, but I still struggle to understand why the money printers that are trading at 2027 book value are getting beaten to death. If the large AI risks truly play out, it totally makes sense for my stocks to fall to book value. I can't speak on the high flyers, but how does it make any sense for them to holding up better?
I posted a little bit about my thoughts this week, with the Livermore story on breaking oats to cover his corn but I want to expand a bit. Korea is a thin market that is dominated by Samsung and Hynix. Micron trades over 5x the dollar volume of Samsung and Hynix. Nvidia, Broadcom, SanDisk, AMD, Intel, all trade well more dollar volume than Samsung/Hynix. Even neoclouds like CoreWeave and Nebius trade at over half of the dollar volume despite being a tiny fraction of the market cap.
So, if you are trying to bring AI stocks down, is the most logical method not to try to nuke Korea and have that sentiment ripple over to American AI stocks? The obvious risk is getting caught offside but with KOSPI futures, EWY, Samsung GDR, Hynix GDR and ADR, SK Square, SK Inc, it seems relatively easy to put this trade on and then find an exit route/hedge.
Anyway, always willing to learn so if someone has thoughts or opinions I'd be glad to heard them.
October 16, 2026 ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐
Max YTD: +84.39%
S&P500 YTD: +11.9%
My positions:
$005935 $000660 $META $285A $APP $TOYO $FIS $LMT $TLN $CRWV $IESC $402340 $SNAP
TRANSACTIONS:
๐ข New long positions: $402340
๐ข Increased long positions: $005935 $000660
๐ด Closed long positions: $EOS.ASX $138930
Follow me: @inversemax
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
* Portfolio weightings are relative to my the total market value of holdings. Short positions and day trades are not reflected.
** Holdings include shares and derivatives.
*** The pie chart was AI-generated from spreadsheet data I provided and may contain minor inaccuracies.
**** Nothing in this post constitutes financial advice.
Samsung EV below Micronโs. Hynix trading possibility at next year book value, actively returning capital. Low bars to step over.
Maybe applicable to todayโs market:
Livermore was short corn, but a powerful trader had cornered the corn market, making it difficult to cover his short without driving prices higher. Livermoreโs solution was to short oats to trigger selling pressure, hoping traders would then anticipate weakness in corn and sell it too. This helped him exit his corn position.
Perhaps if someone wanted to trigger selling among AI infrastructure, the easier move would be to break the Korean market and have that spillover to the American market.
October 10, 2026 ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐
Max YTD: +117.44%
S&P500 YTD: +14.11%
My positions:
$005935 $000660 $285A $META $APP $TOYO $FIS $CRWV $LMT $TLN $EOS.ASX $138930 $IESC $SNAP
TRANSACTIONS:
๐ข New long positions: $FIS $LMT $EOS.ASX
๐ด Reduced long positions: $SNAP
๐ด Closed long positions: $RRX
Follow me: @inversemax
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
* Portfolio weightings are relative to my the total market value of holdings. Short positions and day trades are not reflected.
** Holdings include shares and derivatives.
*** The pie chart was AI-generated from spreadsheet data I provided and may contain minor inaccuracies.
**** Nothing in this post constitutes financial advice.
ํธ๋ผํ๊ฐ $META 2500๋ง ๋ฌ๋ฌ ๋งค์ํ๋ค๋ ๋ด์ค ๋ด๋ค. ๊ฒฐ๊ตญ ๋ํต๋ น๋ ๋ด ํฌํธํด๋ฆฌ์ค ๋ฐ๋ผ ์ฌ๋๊ตฌ๋.
ํธ๋ผํ, 8์์ ๋ฉํ ์ฃผ์ ์ต๋ 2,500๋ง ๋ฌ๋ฌ ๋ฐ ์คํ์ด์คX ์ฑ๊ถ ์๋ฐฑ๋ง ๋ฌ๋ฌ ๋งค์ $META , $SPCX
์ฃผ์ ์์ฐ ๋งค์
: ๋๋๋ ํธ๋ผํ ๋ํต๋ น์ 8์ ๊ณต์ง์ ์ฌ์ ๊ณต๊ฐ ๋ด์ญ์ ๋ฐ๋ฅด๋ฉด, ๋ฉํ(Meta) ์ฃผ์์ ์ต๋ 2,500๋ง ๋ฌ๋ฌ, ์คํ์ด์คX(SpaceX) ํ์ฌ์ฑ๋ฅผ ์ต๋ 500๋ง ๋ฌ๋ฌ ๊ท๋ชจ๋ก ๋งค์
ํ์ต๋๋ค.
์ ์ฑ
์๋ช
์ง์ ๊ฑฐ๋: ์คํ์ด์คX ์ฑ๊ถ ๋งค์
์ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์์
์ฉ ์ฐ์ฃผ ์ด์ก ํ๋๋ฅผ ๋ชฉํ๋ก ํ ์ ํ์ ์ ์ฑ
์ ์๋ช
ํ๊ธฐ ๋ถ๊ณผ ์ดํ ์ ์ ์ด๋ฃจ์ด์ก์ต๋๋ค.
ํ๋ฐํ ์์ฐ ๊ฑฐ๋: 8์ ํ ๋ฌ ๋์ ๋ณด๊ณ ๋ ์ฃผ์ ๋ฐ ์ฆ๊ถ ๋งค์ยท๋งค๋ ๊ฑฐ๋๋ ์ด 517๊ฑด์ ๋ฌํฉ๋๋ค.
๊ฑฐ๋ ์ด์ก ์ถ์ฐ: ๊ฐ ๊ฑฐ๋ ํญ๋ชฉ์ ๊ฐ์น๊ฐ ๊ตฌ๊ฐ๋ณ๋ก ๋ณด๊ณ ๋๋ ์ฌ์ ๊ณต๊ฐ ํน์ฑ์ ๋ฐํ์ผ๋ก CNBC๊ฐ ๋ถ์ํ ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ, 517๊ฑด์ ๊ฑฐ๋ ์ด์ก์ ์ฝ 7,430๋ง ๋ฌ๋ฌ์์ ์ต๋ 2์ต 7,330๋ง ๋ฌ๋ฌ์ ์ด๋ฆ
๋๋ค.
๋งค์ ๋ฐ ๋งค๋ ๊ท๋ชจ: ์ ์ฒด ๊ฑฐ๋ ์ค ๋งค์ ๊ท๋ชจ๋ ์ต์ 4,420๋ง ๋ฌ๋ฌ, ๋งค๋ ๊ท๋ชจ๋ ์ต์ 3,010๋ง ๋ฌ๋ฌ๋ก ์ง๊ณ๋์์ต๋๋ค.
500๐ฅณ
Next goal: 1,000. A long way off, but hope to be there this year.
Here are the people who helped me become a better trader and man. In no particular order:
All-rounders
@pequityresearch A king. Best guy for research. Love this guy.
@JohnTinsmanAOT Growth genius.
@mvcinvesting Concentrated and sharp investor. Similar style to myself in some sense.
@TheBigBerbowski Great vibes and always something to learn. Great all-around follow.
@vonwehhrn A stud and beauty.
@SingularityRes Good research. Always worth reading.
@escvel0city11 Sharp takes across the board.
@Skeptical1704 Ready to crush a 10 bagger at any moment.
@shantaram83 Money machine with a beautiful watch collection.
@EricJhonsa Brilliant and rational mind.
@rubicon59 Seems to never miss.
@KyleAdamsStocks Often the first one to find a gem on X.
AI
@ScarcityTrade Always scouting for multibaggers.
@PolarisLog Fellow Samsung enjoyer.
@kioxiaman Kioxia's second biggest fan. (I'm the first).
@rooney_EE Technical and sharp engineer.
Nano / microcap
@leevalueroach Deep in the nano and microcap trenches.
@convexititties Frequent multibaggers.
@charlesbhutch Microcap genius. I have to attribute a significant amount of my 2025 outperformance to this gentlemen.
@Aksel465 Great write-ups.
@invdiary Junior mining. Great track record.
Philosophy
@optionsly Some of the brightest most unique takes. Makes you think.
Thank you all for the support, the likes, the shares, and ideas.๐ค
๐ข $80 billion USD operating profit (1% above consensus).
Samsung
2026.10.08 07:44:36
๊ธฐ์
๋ช
: ์ผ์ฑ์ ์(์๊ฐ์ด์ก: 1,572์กฐ 6,489์ต) A005930
๋ณด๊ณ ์๋ช
: ์ฐ๊ฒฐ์ฌ๋ฌด์ ํ๊ธฐ์ค์์
(์ ์ )์ค์ (๊ณต์ ๊ณต์)
๋งค์ถ์ก : 1,950,000์ต(์์์น : 2,008,422์ต/ -3%)
์์
์ต : 1,074,000์ต(์์์น : 1,067,467์ต/ +1%)
์์ด์ต : -(์์์น : 884,415์ต)
**์ต๊ทผ ์ค์ ์ถ์ด**
2026.3Q 1,950,000์ต/ 1,074,000์ต/ -
2026.2Q 1,714,995์ต/ 894,924์ต/ 716,245์ต
2026.1Q 1,338,734์ต/ 572,328์ต/ 472,253์ต
2025.4Q 938,374์ต/ 200,737์ต/ 196,417์ต
2025.3Q 860,617์ต/ 121,661์ต/ 122,257์ต
























