Adult human male.

Australia
Joined September 2015
NYC has a considerably lower crime rate than most large American cities. It's also a city of 8+ million where lots of crazy shit happens on a daily basis. I don't blame anyone for being concerned but it's sort of a test for whether you think in terms of narratives or base rates.
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Hillary Clinton wanted to drone strike Julian Assange.
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"People aren't ready, this is gonna change everything" You know what people weren't ready for? Fucking mammoths. Tigers eating them. Monkeys ripping their arms off. The black plague. The ice age. Smallpox. Vikings pulling up on the beach. Drinking water that gives you diarrhea until you die. Getting a scratch and losing your whole leg. The Mongols. The Spanish Inquisition. One volcano can send us back to the dark ages and these safety guys are gonna be shocked. Oh the robots didn't kill us? It was a volcano? Imagine their disappointment as the hot ash rains down on them. A solar flare is gonna explode your phone in your pocket your legs are gonna be covered in battery acid and your bank account will stop working. You're afraid of a computer program doing math? "Things are moving too fast" homie you live on a rock that periodically deletes everything. You are one the most luckiest entities in a 100 light year radius living during a golden era. Cheer up. My ancestors crossed an ocean in a wooden box because they ran out of fucking potatoes. "The social disruption will be enormous!" Nigga World War 2? World War 2? Hop in the people carrier we're landing on the beach. Are these people out of their fucking minds? Do they not know what we've survived already? A couple decades of air conditioning and people suddenly think oh this is the natural condition of mankind. No. We used to have eight kids because seven didn't make it. You're gonna be fine. Man the fuck up. Accelerate.
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adding a teaspoon of cinnamon to your morning coffee to lower blood sugar sounds like a wellness trend with zero science behind it until you read the meta analysis of 16 randomized trials showing cinnamon reduced fasting blood glucose by an average of 24.59 mg/dL. then it sounds like a $0.03 intervention doing what some diabetics pay $300 per month in medication to achieve cinnamon has been used as a medicine in Chinese, Indian, and Middle Eastern healing traditions for over 4,000 years. it was more valuable than gold by weight in ancient Egypt. the pharaohs didn't value it for the taste. they valued it because their physicians documented what modern endocrinologists confirmed 4,000 years later: it changes how the body handles sugar the mechanism is methylhydroxychalcone polymer (MHCP). this compound mimics insulin at the cellular level. it activates insulin receptors on cells independently of insulin itself. the result: glucose enters cells even when insulin signaling is impaired. additionally, cinnamon slows gastric emptying (food moves through your stomach more slowly) which reduces the speed at which glucose enters the bloodstream after meals. slower entry means lower spike. that's it. insulin mimicry plus slower digestion • reduced fasting blood glucose by 24.59 mg/dL on average across 16 randomized controlled trials in a 2019 meta analysis. the reduction is clinically meaningful for pre diabetic and type 2 diabetic individuals • improved insulin sensitivity by 13 to 27% in a separate clinical trial. the cells that were partially deaf to insulin became more responsive from a spice • lowered triglycerides by 29.6 mg/dL and total cholesterol by 15.6 mg/dL in the same meta analysis. the cardiovascular benefits come as a secondary effect of improved glucose metabolism • reduces HbA1c (the 3 month average blood sugar marker) by 0.83% in diabetic subjects. a 0.5% reduction is considered clinically significant. cinnamon exceeded that threshold • the anti inflammatory potency of cinnamon ranks in the top 5 of all spices tested. cinnamaldehyde directly inhibits the NF kB pathway that drives chronic inflammation • slows carbohydrate digestion in the small intestine by inhibiting alpha glucosidase. the same enzyme target as acarbose, a prescription diabetes drug. one is a $150 monthly prescription. the other is in your spice rack the diabetes pharmaceutical market generates $60 billion annually. a meta analysis showing that a $3 jar of cinnamon produces clinically significant blood sugar reduction has obvious commercial implications. the research exists in 16 randomized trials. the product costs less than the gas to drive to the pharmacy. the recommendation doesn't appear in standard medical practice because no company profits from a spice recommendation 1 to 6 grams of ceylon cinnamon daily (roughly 1/2 to 2 teaspoons). CEYLON cinnamon specifically, not cassia. cassia contains high levels of coumarin which is toxic to the liver at high doses. ceylon contains 250x less coumarin. the label should say "ceylon" or "cinnamomum verum." add to coffee, oatmeal, smoothies, or take as capsules. $8 for a 3 month supply of ceylon cinnamon a spice that was more valuable than gold in ancient Egypt produces blood sugar reductions comparable to entry level diabetes medication. 4,000 years of medicinal use. 16 randomized trials. $0.03 per day. and it makes your coffee taste better while doing what the prescription does.
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This is where the Arabs were ahead of us By castrating all their slaves, they made sure that there were no descendants who could claim reparations
I’ve had enough of these grifters. If another government comes whining for slavery reparations from the country that distinguished itself by its relentless global abolitionism, we should treat it as a hostile act and respond with economic sanctions. dailymail.com/debate/article…
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Did I do this right?
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MORE: This special report considers a notional scenario in which Russian agents already in Narva seize the Narva Museum and Town Hall and declare the Narva People's Republic. The Kremlin says Russian drone and air defense units will defend them from bases in Russia. This is not an assessment or forecast that Russian forces will execute any such operation. It presents the strategic, military, and operational challenges NATO may face in the event that the Kremlin conducts a limited attack on a NATO state in the relatively near term. Read the full scenario via the thread below ⬇️
NEW | Special Report: What a Limited Russian Incursion Into Estonia Might Look Like: A Narva Scenario A full-scale Russian invasion of a NATO state is extremely unlikely while Russia remains fully committed to war against Ukraine. But full-scale invasion is not Putin's only option to conventionally escalate against a NATO state. Russia could conduct limited ground operations leveraging drones against NATO states not to conquer them, but to break the alliance by causing it to fail to activate and act appropriately on its Article 5 commitments. This scenario is notional — it is not an assessment or forecast that the Kremlin will conduct such an operation. The purpose of studying a Narva scenario is not to suggest that the Russians will conduct this specific operation, although they have set limited conditions to do so already, but rather to explore in detail what such an attack might look like, how the Kremlin might seek to use it to advance its own domestic objectives and to break the alliance, and how the alliance should act both to deter and to defeat any such attack, whether at Narva or elsewhere. A number of NATO states will likely be very hesitant to invoke Article 5 over a limited incursion, fearing the consequences of appearing to launch the alliance into a full-scale war with Russia. NATO certainly has the ability to deter and, if necessary, defeat a Russian operation of this sort. It is not, at the moment, ready to do so at acceptable risk and cost. The US should take every measure possible to demonstrate its commitment to its alliance obligations. Strategic ambiguity invites Russian adventurism and significantly increases the odds that Putin might gamble. NATO must deter and, if necessary, defeat a limited Russian incursion at both the political and the military levels. European states can help deter scenarios like this by developing indigenous counter-drone capabilities, interceptor drones, and skilled drone units of their own that can rapidly identify and strike Russian drone operator positions.
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🛑No war in Europe is going to escalate right now. Don’t panic. President Trump is cooking. @realDonaldTrump knows how to use each actor’s weak point (energy, security, or the economy) to force cooperation. He is not an ideological patron of any side. Even with Russia he is, at the same time, a backer and a restraint. So nothing will escalate. The same way the Houthi threat did not turn into a larger catastrophe last week. The same way the Islamic Regime’s threat stayed inside the region and was managed. If you do not understand what I am talking about, it is because you are only watching the surface layer of the two sides in each conflict. Those sides are only the front line: Ukraine versus Russia. Iran versus the US and Israel. Hamas versus Israel. But all three wars are asymmetric. That means they do not last without an outside sponsor. The constant sponsor in all of them is Europe. Europe gives Ukraine money, weapons, intelligence, and media and political coverage. In return, Ukrainian soldiers fight and die, and Russia is contained from advancing into Europe. The Palestine cause, AKA a destabilized Middle East of weak and dependent players, follows their old colonial habits: divide and conquer. The prize is control over energy. Europe also keeps the conflict open as a moral and political lever against Israel, against anyone who wants to close the file, and, even better, as a way to scapegoat Israel to get votes internally. Europe has no reason to give up Palestine and the benefits that come with it. The Islamic Regime and the whole axis of resistance , previously with Assad in Syria, work the same way, first in 1979 and still now. The Shah was too independent and not submissive, unlike the Saudis. Europe, and their arm in the US, the Democrats, decided he had to go. The Islamic Revolution did not become a lasting regime through an Islamist-Marxist terrorist rebellion by itself. It needed a Western opening and a European political ceiling. Today the regime is extremely weak, but it holds on because it is still being given time, channels, and the hope that if it survives or rebrands, it can stay. That hope is part of the sponsorship. Without outside lifelines, and once there is a real determination to end the terror, IRGC elites will run the way Assad did. The problem is that Europe does not feel the pain itself. So it has no haste and no real appetite to end these wars. It keeps moving the goalposts. Let me remind you of something: just as the US hostage-release track was moving, France and the UK recognized a Palestinian state in September. @SecRubio called it out directly: they were sabotaging the peace talks. All the hostages were released by October anyway. That is how they manipulate and sabotage. This is only one example. It is not direct, so it cannot be dealt with directly. On paper they condemn the Islamic Regime, sanction it, and reduce diplomatic talk. In the back channels they continue the relationship and keep the essential parts alive. So what does @realDonaldTrump do? Instead of trying to force Europe into cooperation directly ( which fails, because the double game is covert) he inflicts two kinds of pain: an energy crisis and a security crisis. 🔴On energy: Trump allows Ukraine, within a controlled range, to hit Russian infrastructure. Ironically, hypocrite Europe still needs Russian energy. That produces a real shortage for Europe. Plus: do you remember Saudi Arabia’s move last week? It cancelled its September oil shipments to Europe. The story was this: at first Saudi Arabia placed its bet on Europe plus China instead of the US. Trump let it taste the pain of the Houthis. When it asked for help and saw that Europe and China would not provide it, that was a lesson for the Saudis. Then they called off the shipment. That was another lesson for Europe: deepen the energy crisis so Europe drops the double game on the Islamic Regime and cooperates in ending it. You may say supply cuts also raise prices in the US. That is true. But the pain is asymmetric. The US does not face a real fuel shortage. That is why Trump secured US oil first. He sees the US pain as absorbable. Europe faces both the price and a genuine squeeze. 🔴Now security. This one is easier to see. You can be sure Putin is threatening and that no full European war is coming. Europe still cannot take the risk. It does not have the hardware to defend itself. The threat is enough to produce psychological pressure and fear. Look at Denmark. When Denmark granted the Greenland security deal, you could see that the threat works. Nothing more was needed. The same threat does not land on the US in the same way, because the US knows it can meet it. That is the security asymmetry. This is how Trump forces Europe to stop using Ukraine as a shakedown and to allow that war to be compromised and closed. When that happens, Russia also has less reason to keep holding the Islamic Regime’s card. And do not forget: the Islamic Regime is the head of the "axis of resistance". See? Things are moving. Trump is in no rush to finish the job, because he is resetting the stage. These issues, especially the Palestine headache, can be solved for good by going after the underlying beneficiaries. It is also not that far off. So again: keep calm. Donald Trump knows what he is doing.
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BREAKING: The U.S. Space Force is exploring a standby fleet of ready-to-launch satellites that could be sent to orbit rapidly if American spacecraft are destroyed or disabled during a conflict, SpaceNews reports. The concept would keep replacement satellites on the ground in reserve, allowing the military to restore critical capabilities without waiting years for a new spacecraft to be built. It is the next step in the Space Force’s push toward “tactically responsive space” - the ability to launch and reconstitute orbital systems on military timelines rather than traditional aerospace schedules. The service has already demonstrated rapid-response launch through missions such as VICTUS HAZE, which moved into on-orbit operations this year.
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When Fukushima exploded, foreign embassies told everyone to FLEE. Commercial planes turned around. Ships steered away as fast as they could. An invisible radiation cloud was drifting across the ocean. And where was the USS Ronald Reagan? STEERING DIRECTLY INTO IT. AT MAXIMUM SPEED. The radiation alarms were screaming on the bridge. Every textbook said: "Turn back. Save yourselves." The Captain and his crew said: "There are Japanese families shivering on rooftops out there. WE DON'T TURN BACK." 24 hours a day, in freezing sleet, they ran their desalination plants to the brink of failure. Sailors gave up their OWN fresh water. They stopped taking hot showers. They ate cold rations. Why? To produce tens of thousands of gallons of pure, uncontaminated drinking water for Japanese babies. Mechanics with radiation badges worked through the night on snow-covered decks so helicopters could fly non-stop rescue sorties. While the world backed away in terror, American sailors ran through the fire for us. Never tell me true heroes don't wear dog tags. 🇺🇸🔥🇯🇵
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Effective Altruism is essentially a time-travel cult. It is trying in all kinds of ways to "kill Hitler" now (among a million other interventions) for imagined future effects. This is sci-fi madness. This is rationalism tipping over into fanatical and hubristic mysticism.
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Replying to @ssankar
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The great conservative insight is that order is really hard to achieve. It's really precious, and it's really easy to lose. — Jonathan Haidt
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TIL that “trolling” is not a reference to the creatures that live under bridges but rather the fishing practice of dragging bait behind a boat to catch fish
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EA AI safetyism increasingly looks like Marxism-Leninism for the algorithmic age. The old vanguard claimed privileged knowledge of the inevitable course of History. The new one claims privileged knowledge of the probabilistic course of Humanity. Both use an elaborate intellectual framework to reach the same political conclusion: a small group of enlightened people must constrain everyone else for their own good. That has never lead to anything except monumental human suffering.
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Imagine if the U.S. responded to Pearl Harbor by claiming “Kamikaze means safe travels” and then letting in millions of Japanese pilots who supported the attacks. Instead, we nuked Japan. Twice. And now they behave.
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Best comment on the FT I’ve seen for a while. Explains a lot of the last 14 years. I would probably edit to “ if reasonable people don’t address reasonable voters reasonable concerns then unreasonable people will , and unreasonably ”
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Do a little research into Nobel Prize winners in the sciences who received key information for their breakthroughs in the form of dreams or uncanny encounters. (Encounters with glowing raccoons, etc.) It might surprise you if you think science is all about experimentation.
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On radically different incomes life in America can be surprisingly similar. Imagine three single mothers, each raising a ten-year-old boy. One is a public-school teacher in Tampa earning $50,000 a year. Another is a lawyer in Atlanta earning $200,000. The third is a venture-capital partner in Chicago earning $1 million. On paper, they inhabit three different Americas. One earns twenty times more than another. One is 25th percentile im wealth the other 84th the last one top 1%. They describe inequality in the USA. Now look at their sons. All three wake up with electricity, running water, refrigeration, heating and air conditioning. They eat plenty of food, ride in safe modern cars, wear sneakers, watch YouTube, play the same video games, use similar phones and tablets and have access to vaccines, antibiotics, dentists and modern medicine. One goes to public school, another to private school, the third perhaps to an elite private school. One flies economy once a year, another travels frequently, the third may occasionally fly private. Their houses, neighborhoods and vacations are different. But their actual daily lives are far less different than their mothers’ incomes suggest. The socialist argument has always been about equality of outcomes. Well, look around. In much of ordinary material life, capitalism has already produced something remarkably close to it. The millionaire’s refrigerator does not keep milk twenty times fresher. Her son’s iPhone does not make YouTube twenty times more entertaining. He cannot eat twenty breakfasts, sleep twenty hours at once or enjoy a video game twenty times more because his mother earns twenty times as much. For several hours every day, these three boys may be doing almost exactly the same thing. This would have been unimaginable two centuries ago. The child of a rich family and the child of a laborer often lived in genuinely different physical worlds. One had plentiful food, warmth, books, servants, doctors and transportation. The other might lack adequate calories or clean water. Industrial capitalism destroyed much of that inequality by doing something socialism never managed very well: making formerly scarce things cheap enough for almost everyone. Cars, refrigerators, televisions, air conditioning, computers and smartphones began as luxuries and became mass-market goods. The entrepreneur became rich precisely by making what the rich had available to everybody else. And that may explain one of the great ironies of the new American enthusiasm for socialism. Capitalism’s victories are now so complete that nobody notices them. Clean water is not considered wealth. Neither is electricity. Nor refrigeration. Nor an air-conditioned bedroom, instant global communication, unlimited music, thousands of films or a computer in your pocket more powerful than anything that existed when many of today’s billionaires were children. Those things have become invisible because almost everyone has them. What remains visible are the inequalities capitalism has not eliminated: the mansion, the private school, the beachfront house, the prestigious university, the best neighborhood. But if the political demand is that ordinary people should be able to enjoy many of the same basic experiences as the rich, something extraordinary has already happened. Put these families on a chart and the inequality looks enormous. Put their ten-year-old boys on three sofas at eight o’clock at night, eating pizza in sweatpants and staring at nearly identical screens, and the difference becomes surprisingly hard to see. Equality of income? Obviously not. Equality of many of the outcomes that actually fill a human day? Far more than we admit.
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In 1990, more than a third of the planet lived in extreme poverty. Today it's under 10 percent. Over a billion people climbed out in a single generation. The fastest, largest escape from poverty in human history. It didn't come from government aid or charity. It came from capitalism. Free markets, private property and trade. When people are free to start a business, own what they build and sell it, they lift themselves out of poverty. Every time. Everywhere it's been tried. Nothing in history has lifted more people out of poverty.
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Despite humans not looking too scary as baseline, we are utterly terrifying to even the largest predators around. Even ones who have never seen people using guns, or large scale human technology, inherently understand humans as the most dangerous of predators
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