@labourballi
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Made a facebook meme page at Uni in 2013 & now using it as my Twitter Alt. 👕Merch designs on request: https://nitter.cf/t.co/rgWlPwITUX
England, United Kingdom
Joined December 2020
- Tweets25.3K
- Following752
- Followers1.9K
- Likes44.7K
Labourball retweeted
Irregular crossings by Syrians into the EU continue to decrease since Assad's fall.
Before December 2024, @Frontex detected around 4,000 Syrians a month at the EU's external borders. In 2025, the monthly average was 511. So far in 2026, it's 169.
In April 2026, Frontex recorded just 75 detections, the lowest monthly figure since May 2011. The 2025 total of 6,126 was the lowest annual figure since 2011, and well below even the COVID year of 2020 (21,631). Detections in January–July 2026 were down 66% on the same period of 2025 and 95% on 2024.
July did tick up to 373, mostly on the Aegean sea route, but this likely reflects seasonality, since more crossings happen in the summer months. Crossings also rose over summer 2025, and they remain a fraction of pre-transition levels.
This is what researchers have long argued: conflict, not poverty, is the main driver of irregular migration. Syria is still one of the poorest countries in the world. Yet once the immediate threat of violence and arbitrary detention receded, so did the impulse to risk a deadly crossing.
The transition has not made Syria prosperous quite yet. But it may have made it survivable, and for many, that is enough to stay.
Labourball retweeted
The Lib Dems continue to roll out terrible tax proposals faster than I can keep up.
Today, let's have a trade war with the US to raise a teensy amount of money. theguardian.com/politics/202…
Who writes this stuff?
Labourball retweeted
If we’re going to build suburbs, let’s build them like this!
Brabazon on the outskirts of Bristol has a density of 75 homes per hectare, triple the usual. It was originally planned for 2,000 homes but will now see 6,500 built
There’s start up offices, parks, trees, a lake…
Labourball retweeted
This is a really important data comparison and it's why my colleagues @jujulemons and @pdmsero have called for a "contributory" migration system for the UK, which ensures that expected fiscal contributions outweigh expected fiscal costs.
Overall migration would be similar but the composition would change to favour younger workers and more skilled workers. We also design mechanisms for covering the costs of dependants.
britishprogress.org/reports/…
Immigrants must earn more to be net fiscal contributors in the UK vs elsewhere
Fascinating new column by @JBurnMurdoch, based on research by @Usama_Polani
ft.com/content/124c1cf0-4885…
Labourball retweeted
China’s emissions are falling due to reducing oil use. Part of this was a 7% drop in aviation, with high-speed rail replacing domestic flights.
Very clever environmental campaigners in the UK said that would never happen here based on made up numbers.
carbonbrief.org/analysis-chi…
Labourball retweeted
Immigrants must earn more to be net fiscal contributors in the UK vs elsewhere
Fascinating new column by @JBurnMurdoch, based on research by @Usama_Polani
ft.com/content/124c1cf0-4885…
Interesting. Britain's fiscal architecture may enable volumes of fiscally net-negative migrant workers.
Solutions include high minimum salary requirements for immigrants, different tax rates for non-nationals or stricter pension requirements. But are these politically palatable? – at Hutton, England
Unpacking the real fiscal costs of immigration ft.trib.al/zR0rH3b
Labourball retweeted
Why do so many care about inheritance tax when fewer than 5% of estates pay it?
Because that statistic counts the dead.
Our new model counts living pensioner households instead. 20% have enough assets to face the tax. Over 50% in parts of London.
Thread:
Guess I should have known @CrossCountryUK would be literally incapable of running a service from Manchester to the south-west on a Saturday.
@Heidi_Labour can you please boot them off the contact a little earlier than late 2027? They couldn't run a bath! – at Manchester, England
UK leftists shout about independence from the USA. Good idea in principle but neccesitates several policies they oppose:
🏭 1 Strengthening domestic arms industry
🤖 2 Building more data centre capacity
🛢️ 3 Oil & Gas expansion alongside renewables to achieve energy autarky – at Urmston, England
Comments off on official Green Party tweets. Too many people calling out their deputy leader as a landlord? – at Urmston, England
– at Urmston, England
Council by-election result: Walkley, Sheffield, 17 September 2026.
Labour gain from Green.
Labour 53.4% (+14.4)
Green 28.8% (-11.3)
Reform UK 12.5% (-1.6)
Liberal Democrats 2.6% (-0.2)
Conservative 1.4% (-0.7)
Independents and others 1.3% (-0.7)
Changes on 2026.
Sheffield council: Labour 26, Liberal Democrats 22, Green 19, Reform UK 11, Ind and others 6.
Labourball retweeted
Russian sabotage networks have hit mosques in the United Kingdom. With the obvious motivation being increasing social tension in British society.
Ukrainian guilty of vandalism at mosques linked to Russian network behind Starmer arson attack bbc.in/3SNx2bi
Labourball retweeted
English regional change since Burnham became PM:
Labour:
North West 28.3 → 36.0 (+7.7)
North East 29.2 → 35.6 (+6.4)
South East 13.7 → 19.6 (+5.9)
East Midlands 18.9 → 23.9 (+5.0)
West Midlands 22.3 → 25.1 (+2.8)
Yorkshire & Humber 20.8 → 23.1 (+2.3)
London 29.1 → 30.8 (+1.7)
East of England 17.4 → 19.0 (+1.6)
South West 16.9 → 18.1 (+1.2)
Reform UK:
East Midlands 32.3 → 25.0 (−7.3)
North East 32.5 → 25.4 (−7.1)
Yorkshire & Humber 31.5 → 26.7 (−4.8)
North West 27.4 → 23.4 (−4.0)
South West 27.7 → 24.6 (−3.1)
South East 26.2 → 23.8 (−2.4)
East of England 29.8 → 28.2 (−1.6)
West Midlands 27.9 → 26.9 (−1.0)
London 15.1 → 16.3 (+1.2)
Vote share in the seven polls to 20 July 2026 and in the seven polls to 16 September 2026.
Regional subsamples, weighted by subsample size.
Local Government has become a conduit for NIMBYism, Councillor's main job seems to be to just say virtually any development isn't suitable for their little parcel of voters, who invariably reward them for KeepingThingsTheSame™️
Here's to the guys who made this possible, take a bow fellas! 🇮🇱🇺🇸🎉 – at Wigan, England
BREAKING: Saudi Aramco has cancelled all of its September European crude oil allocations and is scrapping every cargo slated for late-September loading onward, with a European lifter saying no Saudi oil cargoes at all until November, per initial reports citing oil trading firm Onyx and market sources.
That takes the world's largest exporter out of the European market for the rest of September and all of October, a de facto force majeure on Saudi crude to Europe from the 3rd largest energy producer in the world.
Labourball retweeted
The sheer scale of electricity transmission buildout planned is quite something when you see it on a map.
Around 2,200 miles of upgrades to existing lines. A further 4,200 miles of brand new lines - onshore and offshore. In just 15 years, if it all runs to plan.
Thanks Trump. – at Wigan, England
Exclusive: UK household energy bills are forecast to jump *by about 25%* in January as the Iran war drives up gas and electricity prices, according to analysis by Bloomberg Economics
The coming price spike means UK inflation could climb above 4% next year, double the BoE target, the analysis finds
The Ofgem energy price cap is expected to rise by about £427 to around £2,150 a year for the average household, according to the forecasts
This would push bills close to the £2,500 cap brought in by the government following Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022
It’s a major threat to Andy Burnham’s pledge to be the cost-of-living prime minister
Story by @EamonFarhat: bloomberg.com/news/articles/…