Center for European Policy Analysis (CEPA), Geopolitics and Security Studies Center (GSSC), and International Center for Defense and Security (ICDS)
Washington, DC
Joined July 2019
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Henrik Larsen retweeted
I have a piece in @ForeignAffairs: the Nordics have made a qualitative leap in military cooperation and are forming a deterrence cluster within NATO.
foreignaffairs.com/northern-…
Jeg indtager det ledige standpunkt, at Forsvarsakademiet bør åbne en sprogofficersuddannelse i fransk med henblik på fremtidige fredsbevarende missioner i Vesteuropa.
Henrik Larsen retweeted
A roadmap for #Ukraine's post-war reconstruction, by @larsenification, former EU political adviser in Ukraine.
Create conditions for support before war end, tackle grand corruption, punish non-compliance, coordinate
tnsr.org/2023/06/thinking-ab…, via @TXNatSecReview
Henrik Larsen retweeted
Completely delusional. Two least popular leaders in Europe - Merz and Macron - are meant to build ‘a stronger Europe for the 21st century’ 🤦🏻♂️
.@_FriedrichMerz should distance himself from the domestic bickering about economic policy and migration, and instead make it his mission to work with @EmmanuelMacron on building a stronger Europe for the 21st century, Jan-Werner Mueller suggests. project-syndicate.org/commen…
Henrik Larsen retweeted
The Arctic has become an additional test of transatlantic cohesion after the Trump administration's claim to Greenland.
How would a Europeanised NATO defend the region? @larsenification icds.ee/en/europeanising-nat…
The Europeanisation of NATO serves two purposes in the Arctic: strengthening European confidence in solidarity with Denmark and providing for a more dedicated European and Canadian effort in the High North and thus indirectly for protecting the US homeland
icds.ee/en/europeanising-nat…
Henrik Larsen retweeted
"Europeanisation of NATO’s Arctic posture allows Europeans to demonstrate solidarity with Denmark without directly confronting Washington."
🔹 Brief VII: The Arctic by Henrik Larsen @larsenification icds.ee/en/europeanising-nat…
Sobering assessment about the threat from Russia--the so-called hybrid attacks risk causing over-anxiety.
Lithuanian PM: No evidence Russia is preparing an attack on NATO in the near future
Lithuanian intelligence services have no information indicating that Moscow is preparing a serious military incident in the coming weeks or months, Prime Minister Mindaugas Sinkevičius said.
“If there is a threat, society needs to be told about it. But we should not exaggerate it or claim that something is definitely going to happen in the coming weeks or months,” he said.
At the same time, the prime minister stressed that the threat from Russia remains, and Lithuania will continue strengthening its defense and security together with its NATO allies.
Henrik Larsen retweeted
Junior scholars: "I feel awkward citing myself"
Senior scholars: "as I cleverly argued (1988; 1991), admirably reiterated (1993; 1995; 1996); and handsomely concluded (2001; 2004; 2007)..."
Re-upping my report on the geopolitics of Greenland's independence in light of the deal, which removes a major source of insecurity for long-term U.S. defence planning: gisreportsonline.com/r/geopo…
Henrik Larsen retweeted
Happy to share my new @CarnegieEndow paper on managing China’s nuclear relations with the United States and its allies.
Published just ahead of the Trump-Xi summit, it seeks to help Washington and Beijing turn their commitment to “strategic stability” into practical progress.
Henrik Larsen retweeted
State of the Union by European Commission President @vonderleyen:
„We will“ - 56 times
„We need to“ - 18 times
„We must“ - 10 times
„We should“ - 4 times
Implementing - Zero times
Doing - 4 times
Achieved - Zero times
Two summits & a new European security strategy announced.
Henrik Larsen retweeted
Check out the Europeanising NATO Brief Series of ICDS, exploring the profound changes that are necessary in planning, command structures, capability profiles as well as leadership and decision-making of the Alliance.
Great work by Tony Lawrence et al
icds.ee/en/europeanising-nat…
Henrik Larsen retweeted
Top 20 countries by French speakers 🇫🇷
1. 🇫🇷 France 67M
2. 🇨🇩 DRC 57M
3. 🇩🇿 Algeria 16M
4. 🇩🇪 Germany 15M
5. 🇲🇦 Morocco 14M
6. 🇮🇹 Italy 12M
7. 🇨🇲 Cameroon 12M
8. 🇨🇮 Côte d’Ivoire 12M
9. 🇬🇧 UK 12M
10. 🇨🇦 Canada 11M
11. 🇧🇪 Belgium 9M
12. 🇲🇬 Madagascar 8M
13. 🇹🇳 Tunisia 6M
14. 🇨🇭 Switzerland 6M
15. 🇧🇫 Burkina Faso 5M
16. 🇭🇹 Haiti 5M
17. 🇸🇳 Senegal 5M
18. 🇧🇯 Benin 4M
19. 🇬🇳 Guinea 4M
20. 🇲🇱 Mali 4M
Note: figures are rounded; they include native + second-language speakers, so totals vary by method.
Source: OIF / ODSEF estimates, 2025–26
Henrik Larsen retweeted
📢New Policy brief on 🇩🇰Denmark's journey from 🇺🇸super-Atlanticist to 🇪🇺European hawk and its dilemma between dependency and abandonmen. Thank you to @ICDS_Tallinn and @KristiRaik for the invitation to contribute icds.ee/en/denmark-from-supe…
Henrik Larsen retweeted
Glad to contribute some thoughts at the end on how to “Make Unilateral Arms Control Measures Matter Today” to this well-researched @UNIDIR report.
At a time of rising geopolitical tensions, what role can unilateral measures play in reducing global risk?
UNIDIR’s latest report explores past precedents and paths forward to reduce weapons arsenals without a reciprocal arrangement in place.
Read more: unidir.org/unilateral
Deterrence by denial
The Greenland crisis is (also) about the prospect of the island’s independence, which introduces uncertainty into long-term U.S. defense planning at sea and in space:
gisreportsonline.com/r/geopo…