quantdata21 (@quantdata21) header
quantdata21 (@quantdata21) profile picture

Investor. Data analyst. Journaling the process. Member of no cults. Contrarian by nature. Shit poster.

Joined November 2022
In order to buy these stocks, it was a question of selling the AI/bitcoin miner stocks. The chart below shows the relative value between the two groups - this made it easier to shift over, and it has paid of in the short term already. *The chart is not up to date, but it is shared regularly in discord
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The sentiment is non existent when you look beyond the usual names like MSTR or BMNR. When I search for them, it's mostly spam/bot posts. I understand that many got rugged in 2025 by these stocks, with many trading at 20-100x mNAV... but I don't focus on the past. Only the present and calculating future possibilities matters to me. Here is a stock trading above fair value - SDEV, which has pumped and dumped recently. It went all the way up to 12x mNAV. Sure I missed the pump, but I would rather invest in companies that are below fair value.
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Process Avoiding btc and eth DATs unless they are at severe discounts. Given where we are in the cycle, prefer more risk toward other DATs holding more volatile crypto. I have looked into about 60 companies. Half of them were massively overvalued, especially on a fully diluted basis. In other words, they were planning on inflating share count at shareholders expense. I am left with about 34-35 companies that I keep track of. Image below shows what I update daily in discord. My own portfolio of these stocks is about 200% away from fair value (on a fully diluted basis, that takes into account share unlocks). In other words, 3x to get to fair value, and then add on top of that what the cryptos held will do. The stocks might also trade at a premium at some point (1.5x mNAV would not be crazy). So take 3x * 1.5x = 4.5x You are getting a 3-4x levered position vs holding the underlying altcoin. And in certain countries, added tax benefits of holding stocks (that are unlikely for crypto).
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"AI agents will change the world for the better" AI agents:
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$WGMI vs global liquidity
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44% of altcoins have negative funding rates (using 7 day moving average). As per my data source, that is the highest % since july 2022. In other words, people haven't been this bearish on altcoins in nearly 4.5 years.
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The altcoin DAT thesis is still alive and well. Thread incoming this weekend. After that, not much to say; just to wait and let it play out.
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And we got called r8tards for it Rtarded and proud
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U.S 10 year yield
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Probably a good sign that all the clown larpers are posting the exact same thing now. Not a single original thought between them. The round table of NPCs.
"The West can not pump, until the East has finished its dump" - Quant Data 21
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"The West can not pump, until the East has finished its dump" - Quant Data 21
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Bitcoin and crypto have taken the baton from AI.
Slowly then suddenly. Godzilla candles have awoken. Time for bitcoin and crypto to take the baton from AI.
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I went through recent posts from AI data centre builders (formerly bitcoin miners). Here are some of the replies. Never seen so much emotion 😂
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The things that people wish for #BlackMonday
The fact that people consistently keep bringing up "Black Monday" on this app... shows the level of opponent I am fighting for gains in the market, and I am truly thankful. Something that happens less than 0.1% of the time, or in other words 1 in a 1000 Mondays.
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The fact that people consistently keep bringing up "Black Monday" on this app... shows the level of opponent I am fighting for gains in the market, and I am truly thankful. Something that happens less than 0.1% of the time, or in other words 1 in a 1000 Mondays.
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Bitcoin Falling wedge breaking out today, with no daily close below the peak of september 3rd.
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