March 2026 - Future [part journal ; part proof for goldfish/warthog memories]
#1 Squeezing shorts all the way back to all time highs for S&P500 ✅
nitter.cf/bitcoindata21/status/2…
If you want regular updates, the link is in the bio. Next time I talk about these stocks will likely be a conclusion on how it played out. Good luck to all.
In order to buy these stocks, it was a question of selling the AI/bitcoin miner stocks. The chart below shows the relative value between the two groups - this made it easier to shift over, and it has paid of in the short term already.
*The chart is not up to date, but it is shared regularly in discord
The sentiment is non existent when you look beyond the usual names like MSTR or BMNR. When I search for them, it's mostly spam/bot posts.
I understand that many got rugged in 2025 by these stocks, with many trading at 20-100x mNAV... but I don't focus on the past. Only the present and calculating future possibilities matters to me.
Here is a stock trading above fair value - SDEV, which has pumped and dumped recently. It went all the way up to 12x mNAV. Sure I missed the pump, but I would rather invest in companies that are below fair value.
Process
Avoiding btc and eth DATs unless they are at severe discounts. Given where we are in the cycle, prefer more risk toward other DATs holding more volatile crypto.
I have looked into about 60 companies. Half of them were massively overvalued, especially on a fully diluted basis. In other words, they were planning on inflating share count at shareholders expense.
I am left with about 34-35 companies that I keep track of. Image below shows what I update daily in discord.
My own portfolio of these stocks is about 200% away from fair value (on a fully diluted basis, that takes into account share unlocks). In other words, 3x to get to fair value, and then add on top of that what the cryptos held will do. The stocks might also trade at a premium at some point (1.5x mNAV would not be crazy).
So take 3x * 1.5x = 4.5x
You are getting a 3-4x levered position vs holding the underlying altcoin. And in certain countries, added tax benefits of holding stocks (that are unlikely for crypto).
Firstly, previous posts (just for my use)
nitter.cf/quantdata21/status/201…
nitter.cf/quantdata21/status/202…
nitter.cf/quantdata21/status/202…
nitter.cf/quantdata21/status/202…
nitter.cf/quantdata21/status/209…
nitter.cf/quantdata21/status/209…
nitter.cf/quantdata21/status/210…
Almost a month since below post. Very happy with the results so far (altcoin DATs have gone from 19% to 33% of portfolio, just by pumping). In that time from my portfolio:
One stock did 4-5x $AVAT
Another did 3-4x
And 2 stocks did 2x
Many of these stocks are still under the radar, while most focus on $MSTR $PURR $BMNR only.
I shared all the details in discord, including regular breakdowns of valuation premiums/discounts. And my positions + changes.
I'm still bullish on altcoin DATs. Be careful what you buy. Something can look like it's trading at a discount, but you need to look at the potential massive dilution that some of these sketchy companies have in their filings (warrants/PIPE/compensation).
Retail is only allowed so much alpha, and if it becomes mainstream, it usually gets shut down eventually.
A few weeks ago a data service I subscribed to starting jumbling up all their numbers received through API. This is a service provided by a market leading company worth $50-100 billion, so probably not a coincidence.
They removed Coinbase app store ranking because its too powerful.
Not the first thing to "disappear", won't be the last. Every 6-12 months.
Replying to @AndreasSteno
This is ragebait. More replies than likes. I disagree. Mbappe shouldnt even come 2nd.







